Election 2016 Overview

Democrats

Last Delegate Update: 2016-07-26 08:33 UTC

Roll call: Clinton 2842, Sanders 1865, DNV 56

Delegate Race Details

 

 

Delegate Totals

(2,382 delegates needed to win)

Dels%DelsNeed%RxBetter
Clinton2782.559.56%WINNER
Sanders1889.540.44%ELIMINATED
4,672 delegates allocated so far
91 delegates still TBD
(98.09% allocated, 1.91% TBD)

Clinton vs Trump

Last Poll Update: 2016-08-28 07:21 UTC

 

Electoral College Details

 

 

Electoral Vote Summary

(270 electoral votes needed to win)

ClintonTrumpMargin
Trump Best
Expected
Clinton Best

Republicans

Last Delegate Update: 2016-06-30 06:00 UTC

Roll call: Trump 1725, Cruz 484, Kasich 125, Rubio 123, Others 12, DNV 3

Delegate Race Details

 

 

Delegate Totals

(1,237 delegates needed to win)

Dels%DelsNeed%RxBetter
Trump154162.80%WINNER
Cruz56923.19%ELIMINATED
Rubio1666.76%ELIMINATED
Kasich1636.64%ELIMINATED
Carson70.29%ELIMINATED
Bush40.16%ELIMINATED
Paul20.08%ELIMINATED
Fiorina10.04%ELIMINATED
Huckabee10.04%ELIMINATED
2,454 delegates allocated so far
18 delegates still TBD
(99.27% allocated, 0.73% TBD)
Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2016 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

2016 Delegate Race: Intro | Tour | FAQ || 2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

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The 'Expected' scenario represents each candiate winning all the states they are ahead in based on poll averages.

'Best' scenarios represent the candidate winning all of the states they are ahead in, plus all states where their opponent leads by less than 5%.

The 'tipping point' state is the state that puts the winning candidate over the top if the states are sorted by margin.

 

Full listing of general election state polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Delegate information is compiled from The Green Papers, Wikipedia's 2016 List of Democratic Superdelegates, Abulsme's 2016 List of Republican Unbound Delegates, and sometimes others.

Delegate totals are best estimates based on data from the sources above. Full references are available in the notes field in the raw data files linked below.

 

Raw delegate data files (CSV) used on this site: Democrats / Republicans

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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