Election 2016 Overview
Last Delegate Update: 2016-07-26 08:33 UTC
Roll call: Clinton 2842, Sanders 1865, DNV 56
(2,382 delegates needed to win)
Clinton vs Trump
Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 18:52 UTC
Earned EC: Trump 306, Clinton 232
Actual EC: Trump 304, Clinton 227, Others 7
Post Mortem Analysis here
Electoral Vote Summary
(270 electoral votes needed to win)
Last Delegate Update: 2016-06-30 06:00 UTC
Roll call: Trump 1725, Cruz 484, Kasich 125, Rubio 123, Others 12, DNV 3
(1,237 delegates needed to win)
|Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.
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The 'Expected' scenario represents each candiate winning all the states they are ahead in based on poll averages.
'Best' scenarios represent the candidate winning all of the states they are ahead in, plus all states where their opponent leads by less than 5%.
The 'tipping point' state is the state that puts the winning candidate over the top if the states are sorted by margin.
Delegate information is compiled from The Green Papers, Wikipedia's 2016 List of Democratic Superdelegates, Abulsme's 2016 List of Republican Unbound Delegates, and sometimes others.
Delegate totals are best estimates based on data from the sources above. Full references are available in the notes field in the raw data files linked below.
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.
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