| Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | <> | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
|---|
2024-04-14 00:00 | Beacon/Shaw [2] | 46.0% | 5.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-04-11
2024-04-16 | 2024-04-18
2024-04-19 19:33 |
2024-04-14 00:00 | Beacon/Shaw w/5P [2] | 40.0% | 18.0% | 42.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-04-11
2024-04-16 | 2024-04-18
2024-04-19 19:24 |
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG w/Lean w/5P [4] | 33.6% | 29.0% | 37.4% | Trump
by 3.8% | 2024-04-08
2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17
2024-04-17 18:01 |
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG w/5P [4] | 31.6% | 33.5% | 34.9% | Trump
by 3.3% | 2024-04-08
2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17
2024-04-17 17:48 |
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG w/Lean [4] | 36.3% | 21.4% | 42.3% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2024-04-08
2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17
2024-04-17 17:38 |
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG [4] | 33.3% | 28.1% | 38.6% | Trump
by 5.3% | 2024-04-08
2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17
2024-04-17 17:31 |
2024-04-01 00:00 | Bullfinch Total [2] | 42.0% | 19.0% | 39.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2024-03-29
2024-04-03 | 2024-04-08
2024-04-18 15:53 |
2024-04-01 00:00 | Bullfinch Definitely [2] | 35.0% | 31.0% | 34.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2024-03-29
2024-04-03 | 2024-04-08
2024-04-18 15:46 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data w/Lean [8] | 48.5% | 0.0% | 51.5% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 17:39 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data [8] | 41.2% | 13.0% | 45.8% | Trump
by 4.6% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 17:33 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data w/Gen3P w/Lean w/4P [8] | 42.2% | 13.9% | 43.9% | Trump
by 1.7% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 17:27 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data w/Gen3P w/4P [8] | 40.0% | 16.8% | 43.2% | Trump
by 3.2% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 16:28 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data w/Gen3P w/Lean w/3P [8] | 41.2% | 14.3% | 44.5% | Trump
by 3.3% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 16:24 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data w/Gen3P w/3P [8] | 40.3% | 15.9% | 43.8% | Trump
by 3.5% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 16:18 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data w/Gen3P w/Lean [8] | 43.8% | 11.3% | 44.9% | Trump
by 1.1% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 16:13 |
2024-03-28 12:00 | Big Data w/Gen3P [8] | 42.3% | 14.2% | 43.5% | Trump
by 1.2% | 2024-03-26
2024-03-30 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-18 16:03 |
2024-03-27 00:00 | Spry w/3P [2] | 39.8% | 17.2% | 43.0% | Trump
by 3.2% | 2024-03-25
2024-03-28 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-04 15:23 |
2024-03-27 00:00 | Spry [2] | 43.7% | 8.3% | 48.0% | Trump
by 4.3% | 2024-03-25
2024-03-28 | 2024-04-04
2024-04-04 15:19 |
| Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | <> | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
|---|
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Total [4] | 45.0% | 7.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-03-17
2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02
2024-04-03 05:08 |
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Definitely [4] | 37.0% | 22.0% | 41.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2024-03-17
2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02
2024-04-03 05:03 |
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee w/4P [4] | 40.0% | 15.0% | 45.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2024-03-17
2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02
2024-04-03 04:58 |
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee w/6P [4] | 37.0% | 24.0% | 39.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-03-17
2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02
2024-04-03 04:51 |
2024-03-16 12:00 | Emerson w/5P [3] | 40.6% | 16.2% | 43.2% | Trump
by 2.6% | 2024-03-14
2024-03-18 | 2024-03-21
2024-03-22 02:04 |
2024-03-16 12:00 | Emerson w/Lean [3] | 49.7% | 0.0% | 50.3% | Trump
by 0.6% | 2024-03-14
2024-03-18 | 2024-03-21
2024-03-22 01:58 |
2024-03-16 12:00 | Emerson [3] | 43.5% | 11.1% | 45.4% | Trump
by 1.9% | 2024-03-14
2024-03-18 | 2024-03-21
2024-03-22 01:48 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Echelon Total [2] | 45.0% | 4.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2024-03-12
2024-03-19 | 2024-04-15
2024-04-15 16:24 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Echelon Definitely [2] | 40.0% | 16.0% | 44.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2024-03-12
2024-03-19 | 2024-04-15
2024-04-15 16:18 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/4P | 39.0% | 20.0% | 41.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-03-14
2024-03-17 | 2024-03-25
2024-03-25 18:53 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Mitchell w/5P [2] | 42.0% | 14.0% | 44.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-03-15
2024-03-16 | 2024-03-24
2024-03-24 19:07 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Mitchell [2] | 44.0% | 9.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-03-15
2024-03-16 | 2024-03-24
2024-03-24 19:04 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | SSRS w/4P [2] | 34.0% | 26.0% | 40.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2024-03-13
2024-03-18 | 2024-03-22
2024-03-22 14:58 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | SSRS [2] | 42.0% | 8.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2024-03-13
2024-03-18 | 2024-03-22
2024-03-22 14:48 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 45.0% | 10.0% | 45.0% | TIED | 2024-03-08
2024-03-12 | 2024-03-26
2024-03-26 11:08 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 40.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | TIED | 2024-03-08
2024-03-12 | 2024-03-26
2024-03-26 10:58 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Quinnipiac [2] | 45.0% | 7.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-03-08
2024-03-12 | 2024-03-14
2024-03-15 02:45 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Quinnipiac w/5P [2] | 36.0% | 23.0% | 41.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2024-03-08
2024-03-12 | 2024-03-14
2024-03-15 02:37 |
2024-02-24 00:00 | North Star | 43.0% | 14.0% | 43.0% | TIED | 2024-02-22
2024-02-25 | 2024-02-26
2024-02-28 03:38 |
2024-02-23 00:00 | Kaplan | 36.0% | 18.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2024-02-22
2024-02-23 | 2024-02-26
2024-02-28 03:29 |
2024-02-22 12:00 | Emerson w/5P [2] | 38.7% | 18.9% | 42.4% | Trump
by 3.7% | 2024-02-20
2024-02-24 | 2024-02-26
2024-02-27 01:34 |
2024-02-22 12:00 | Emerson [2] | 44.0% | 10.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-02-20
2024-02-24 | 2024-02-26
2024-02-27 01:24 |
2024-02-16 00:00 | EPIC | 41.0% | 14.0% | 45.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2024-02-13
2024-02-18 | 2024-02-21
2024-02-22 03:10 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 44.0% | 10.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-02-12
2024-02-18 | 2024-02-28
2024-03-01 06:37 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 40.0% | 19.0% | 41.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2024-02-12
2024-02-18 | 2024-02-28
2024-03-01 06:27 |
2024-02-10 12:00 | Beacon/Shaw [2] | 45.0% | 8.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-02-08
2024-02-12 | 2024-02-14
2024-02-16 03:16 |
2024-02-10 12:00 | Beacon/Shaw w/5P [2] | 37.0% | 21.0% | 42.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2024-02-08
2024-02-12 | 2024-02-14
2024-02-16 03:10 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata LV 2W [3] | 50.6% | 0.0% | 49.4% | Biden
by 1.2% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01
2024-03-02 02:41 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata LV [3] | 45.0% | 11.0% | 44.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01
2024-03-02 02:40 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata All [3] | 41.0% | 16.0% | 43.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01
2024-03-02 02:34 |
2024-01-19 00:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 42.0% | 11.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2024-01-16
2024-01-21 | 2024-01-31
2024-01-31 19:12 |
2024-01-19 00:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 37.0% | 20.0% | 43.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2024-01-16
2024-01-21 | 2024-01-31
2024-01-31 19:06 |
2024-01-07 12:00 | Target Insyght | 45.0% | 14.0% | 41.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2024-01-04
2024-01-10 | 2024-01-12
2024-01-12 22:43 |
2024-01-04 12:00 | Glengariff w/5P [2] | 29.0% | 30.0% | 41.0% | Trump
by 12.0% | 2024-01-02
2024-01-06 | 2024-01-09
2024-01-10 04:04 |
2024-01-04 12:00 | Glengariff [2] | 39.0% | 14.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2024-01-02
2024-01-06 | 2024-01-09
2024-01-10 03:57 |
2024-01-03 12:00 | Zogby | 44.0% | 9.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-01-02
2024-01-04 | 2024-01-07
2024-01-08 04:59 |
2023-12-29 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P | 37.0% | 24.0% | 39.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2023-12-28
2023-12-30 | 2024-01-08
2024-01-08 22:37 |
2023-12-03 00:00 | SSRS w/4P [2] | 31.0% | 30.0% | 39.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2023-11-29
2023-12-06 | 2023-12-11
2023-12-12 02:28 |
2023-12-03 00:00 | SSRS [2] | 40.0% | 10.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2023-11-29
2023-12-06 | 2023-12-11
2023-12-12 02:24 |
2023-12-02 00:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 42.0% | 12.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2023-11-27
2023-12-06 | 2023-12-14
2023-12-15 01:42 |
2023-12-02 00:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 35.0% | 26.0% | 39.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2023-11-27
2023-12-06 | 2023-12-14
2023-12-15 01:38 |
2023-11-28 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P | 38.0% | 23.0% | 39.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2023-11-27
2023-11-29 | 2023-12-05
2023-12-06 01:52 |
2023-11-13 12:00 | EPIC | 41.0% | 13.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2023-11-10
2023-11-16 | 2023-11-18
2023-11-19 07:03 |
2023-11-03 12:00 | Morning Consult w/4P [2] | 38.0% | 25.0% | 37.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2023-10-30
2023-11-07 | 2023-11-10
2023-11-10 20:02 |
2023-11-03 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 43.0% | 14.0% | 43.0% | TIED | 2023-10-30
2023-11-07 | 2023-11-10
2023-11-10 19:57 |
2023-11-02 00:00 | Emerson RV [2] | 42.6% | 16.4% | 41.0% | Biden
by 1.6% | 2023-10-30
2023-11-04 | 2023-11-09
2023-11-10 01:40 |
2023-11-02 00:00 | Emerson LV [2] | 44.4% | 12.6% | 43.0% | Biden
by 1.4% | 2023-10-30
2023-11-04 | 2023-11-09
2023-11-10 01:37 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV w/3P [6] | 34.0% | 32.0% | 34.0% | TIED | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-07 16:54 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV w/3P [6] | 31.0% | 35.0% | 34.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-07 16:51 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV Definitely [6] | 35.0% | 32.0% | 33.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 17:32 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV w/Lean [6] | 46.0% | 8.0% | 46.0% | TIED | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 17:29 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV Definitely [6] | 31.0% | 35.0% | 34.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 16:03 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV w/Lean [6] | 43.0% | 9.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 15:59 |
2023-10-08 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P [2] | 38.0% | 22.0% | 40.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2023-10-07
2023-10-09 | 2023-10-15
2023-10-16 04:43 |
2023-10-08 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton [2] | 41.0% | 18.0% | 41.0% | TIED | 2023-10-07
2023-10-09 | 2023-10-15
2023-10-16 04:39 |
2023-10-08 00:00 | Morning Consult | 44.0% | 12.0% | 44.0% | TIED | 2023-10-05
2023-10-10 | 2023-10-19
2023-10-19 15:52 |
2023-10-05 12:00 | MRG Total [2] | 35.1% | 23.3% | 41.6% | Trump
by 6.5% | 2023-10-02
2023-10-08 | 2023-10-11
2023-10-12 05:50 |
2023-10-05 12:00 | MRG wo/Lean [2] | 31.1% | 29.2% | 39.7% | Trump
by 8.6% | 2023-10-02
2023-10-08 | 2023-10-11
2023-10-12 05:46 |
2023-10-03 00:00 | Emerson | 44.1% | 13.4% | 42.5% | Biden
by 1.6% | 2023-10-01
2023-10-04 | 2023-10-16
2023-10-17 01:00 |
2023-09-27 00:00 | PPP | 48.0% | 8.0% | 44.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2023-09-26
2023-09-27 | 2023-09-29
2023-09-29 15:51 |
2023-09-10 00:00 | Susquehanna | 46.0% | 11.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2023-09-07
2023-09-12 | 2023-09-15
2023-09-15 21:06 |
2023-08-09 00:00 | EPIC Total [2] | 46.0% | 9.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2023-08-06
2023-08-11 | 2023-08-17
2023-08-18 05:34 |
2023-08-09 00:00 | EPIC wo/Lean [2] | 43.0% | 17.0% | 40.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2023-08-06
2023-08-11 | 2023-08-17
2023-08-18 05:29 |
2023-08-02 00:00 | Emerson w/3P [2] | 41.2% | 15.5% | 43.3% | Trump
by 2.1% | 2023-08-01
2023-08-02 | 2023-08-04
2023-08-05 02:16 |
2023-08-02 00:00 | Emerson [2] | 44.1% | 12.3% | 43.6% | Biden
by 0.5% | 2023-08-01
2023-08-02 | 2023-08-04
2023-08-05 02:12 |
2023-07-12 12:00 | Mitchell | 45.0% | 12.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2023-07-11
2023-07-13 | 2023-07-21
2023-07-22 00:29 |
2023-07-09 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies Total [2] | 45.0% | 11.0% | 44.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2023-07-08
2023-07-10 | 2023-07-13
2023-07-14 07:16 |
2023-07-09 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies Definitely [2] | 40.0% | 21.0% | 39.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2023-07-08
2023-07-10 | 2023-07-13
2023-07-14 07:13 |
2023-06-21 12:00 | Prime w/NL [2] | 40.0% | 17.0% | 43.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2023-06-14
2023-06-28 | 2023-07-13
2023-08-15 14:24 |
2023-06-21 12:00 | Prime [2] | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | TIED | 2023-06-14
2023-06-28 | 2023-07-13
2023-07-14 05:44 |
2023-06-11 12:00 | EPIC wo/Lean [2] | 41.0% | 21.0% | 38.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2023-06-08
2023-06-14 | 2023-06-16
2023-08-09 01:18 |
2023-06-11 12:00 | EPIC Total [2] | 44.0% | 12.0% | 44.0% | TIED | 2023-06-08
2023-06-14 | 2023-06-16
2023-06-16 21:17 |
2023-04-18 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies | 45.0% | 13.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2023-04-17
2023-04-19 | 2023-04-21
2023-04-23 21:10 |
2022-12-07 00:00 | PPP | 50.0% | 7.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 7.0% | 2022-12-06
2022-12-07 | 2022-12-09
2023-03-24 07:09 |
2022-12-03 12:00 | EPIC | 47.0% | 10.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2022-11-30
2022-12-06 | 2022-12-09
2023-03-24 07:03 |
2022-10-30 00:00 | Emerson | 44.4% | 8.9% | 46.7% | Trump
by 2.3% | 2022-10-28
2022-10-31 | 2022-11-02
2023-03-24 02:39 |
2022-10-13 12:00 | Emerson | 43.7% | 11.9% | 44.4% | Trump
by 0.7% | 2022-10-12
2022-10-14 | 2022-10-18
2023-03-23 04:21 |
2022-09-17 12:00 | EPIC | 48.0% | 8.0% | 44.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2022-09-15
2022-09-19 | 2022-09-22
2023-03-23 02:10 |
2022-08-16 00:00 | Blueprint | 41.2% | 18.0% | 40.8% | Biden
by 0.4% | 2022-08-15
2022-08-16 | 2022-08-18
2023-03-21 03:53 |
2022-02-03 00:00 | Blueprint | 38.2% | 21.4% | 40.4% | Trump
by 2.2% | 2022-02-01
2022-02-04 | 2022-02-10
2023-03-20 14:11 |
2021-11-14 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Definitely [2] | 38.0% | 17.0% | 45.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2021-11-11
2021-11-16 | 2021-11-21
2023-07-04 00:46 |
2021-11-14 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Total [2] | 41.0% | 6.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 12.0% | 2021-11-11
2021-11-16 | 2021-11-21
2023-03-20 13:24 |
2020-11-03 12:00 | Election2020 | 50.6% | 1.5% | 47.8% | DEM
by 2.8% | 2020-11-03
2020-11-03 | 2020-11-03
2023-03-15 07:00 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 47.3% | 5.2% | 47.5% | REP
by 0.2% | 2016-11-08
2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08
2019-02-20 03:01 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 54.2% | 1.1% | 44.7% | DEM
by 9.5% | 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:37 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 57.4% | 1.6% | 41.0% | DEM
by 16.5% | 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:06 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 51.2% | 1.0% | 47.8% | DEM
by 3.4% | 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:21 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 51.3% | 2.6% | 46.2% | DEM
by 5.1% | 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:53 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 51.7% | 9.8% | 38.5% | DEM
by 13.2% | 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:35 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 43.8% | 19.9% | 36.4% | DEM
by 7.4% | 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03
2014-03-17 03:25 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 45.7% | 0.8% | 53.6% | REP
by 7.9% | 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08
2014-05-17 10:27 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 40.2% | 0.5% | 59.2% | REP
by 19.0% | 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06
2014-05-22 03:42 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 42.5% | 8.5% | 49.0% | REP
by 6.5% | 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:58 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2020 data using the methodology in the January 2023 blog post titled "Prepping the Math Stuff for 2024".