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2020 Electoral College

Comparison of Best Polled Candidate Combinations in Wisconsin [10 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2019-04-16 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2019-04-23 06:36 UTC

State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to National Summary

 

Biden Trump
52.3% 44.1%
 
Biden up by 8.2%
(Strong Biden)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 10.5 years.

Biden vs Trump Wisconsin Details

Sanders Trump
49.7% 44.6%
 
Sanders up by 5.1%
(Strong Sanders)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 6.5 years.

Sanders vs Trump Wisconsin Details

O'Rourke Trump
50.3% 45.3%
 
O'Rourke up by 4.9%
(Weak O'Rourke)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 10.5 years.

O'Rourke vs Trump Wisconsin Details

Warren Trump
51.5% 46.5%
 
Warren up by 4.9%
(Weak Warren)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 14.5 years.

Warren vs Trump Wisconsin Details

Booker Trump
50.6% 46.5%
 
Booker up by 4.1%
(Weak Booker)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 18.5 years.

Booker vs Trump Wisconsin Details

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full raw data for polls used on this site: pipe delimited text or formatted webpage

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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