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2020 Electoral College

Biden vs Trump - Wisconsin [10 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2020-11-01 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2020-11-03 17:51 UTC

Leaders:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Biden vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

Biden Trump
 
 

Probabilities

Chances of winning given historical Election Graphs poll average accuracy:

Biden Trump
/td> 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterBidenTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2020-11-01 00:00

Research Co

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-31
2020-11-01

2020-11-02
2020-11-02 22:35

2020-10-31 00:00

Change Research

53.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-29
2020-11-01

2020-11-02
2020-11-03 08:23

2020-10-31 00:00

Civiqs

51.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-10-29
2020-11-01

2020-11-01
2020-11-02 03:07

2020-10-31 00:00

AtlasIntel

50.6%

48.7%

Biden
by 1.9%

2020-10-30
2020-10-31

2020-11-01
2020-11-01 22:04

2020-10-30 12:00

Susquehanna Total w/Lean w/3P [3]

49.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-10-29
2020-10-31

2020-10-31
2020-11-01 22:13

2020-10-30 12:00

Susquehanna Total w/3P [3]

49.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-10-29
2020-10-31

2020-10-31
2020-10-31 23:13

2020-10-30 12:00

Susquehanna Definitely w/3P [3]

47.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-29
2020-10-31

2020-10-31
2020-10-31 23:11

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterBidenTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2020-10-30 00:00

Swayable w/3P

54.6%

44.9%

Biden
by 9.7%

2020-10-27
2020-11-01

2020-11-02
2020-11-03 07:07

2020-10-30 00:00

Ipsos w/5P [3]

53.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-27
2020-11-01

2020-11-01
2020-11-02 01:53

2020-10-30 00:00

Ipsos w/Lean [3]

53.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-27
2020-11-01

2020-11-01
2020-11-02 00:56

2020-10-30 00:00

Ipsos [3]

53.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-27
2020-11-01

2020-11-01
2020-11-02 00:54

2020-10-30 00:00

Emerson w/Lean [2]

52.7%

45.3%

Biden
by 7.4%

2020-10-29
2020-10-30

2020-10-31
2020-10-31 23:01

2020-10-30 00:00

Emerson [2]

52.5%

44.8%

Biden
by 7.7%

2020-10-29
2020-10-30

2020-10-31
2020-10-31 22:58

2020-10-28 12:00

Siena w/3P

52.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-10-26
2020-10-30

2020-11-01
2020-11-01 11:09

2020-10-28 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/3P

53.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-10-26
2020-10-29

2020-11-02
2020-11-03 04:33

2020-10-27 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [28]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-10-20
2020-11-02

2020-11-03
2020-11-03 17:51

2020-10-27 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [28]

54.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-20
2020-11-02

2020-11-03
2020-11-03 17:51

2020-10-27 00:00

Morning Consult

53.8%

40.5%

Biden
by 13.3%

2020-10-22
2020-10-31

2020-11-02
2020-11-02 11:41

2020-10-27 00:00

CNN/SSRS RV w/3P [2]

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-23
2020-10-30

2020-10-31
2020-10-31 22:39

2020-10-27 00:00

CNN/SSRS LV w/3P [2]

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-23
2020-10-30

2020-10-31
2020-10-31 22:37

2020-10-26 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [28]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-10-19
2020-11-01

2020-11-02
2020-11-03 15:43

2020-10-26 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [28]

54.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-19
2020-11-01

2020-11-02
2020-11-03 15:43

2020-10-25 00:00

Swayable w/3P

53.7%

44.9%

Biden
by 8.8%

2020-10-23
2020-10-26

2020-10-28
2020-10-30 23:04

2020-10-25 00:00

Trafalgar w/Lean w/3P [2]

47.5%

47.1%

Biden
by 0.4%

2020-10-24
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-29 17:52

2020-10-25 00:00

Trafalgar w/3P [2]

46.1%

45.4%

Biden
by 0.7%

2020-10-24
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-29 17:50

2020-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [28]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-10-17
2020-10-31

2020-11-01
2020-11-03 15:43

2020-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [28]

54.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-17
2020-10-31

2020-11-01
2020-11-03 15:43

2020-10-23 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [28]

54.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-16
2020-10-30

2020-10-31
2020-11-02 13:21

2020-10-23 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [28]

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-10-16
2020-10-30

2020-10-31
2020-11-02 13:21

2020-10-23 12:00

Marquette LV Allocated w/3P [4]

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-21
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-28 18:30

2020-10-23 12:00

Marquette Low Turnout w/3P [4]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-10-21
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-28 18:27

2020-10-23 12:00

Marquette LV w/3P [4]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-21
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-28 18:25

2020-10-23 12:00

Marquette RV w/3P [4]

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-10-21
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-28 18:21

2020-10-23 12:00

Ipsos w/5P [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-20
2020-10-26

2020-10-26
2020-10-26 22:17

2020-10-23 12:00

Ipsos [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-20
2020-10-26

2020-10-26
2020-10-26 22:13

2020-10-23 12:00

Gravis

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-10-23
2020-10-23

2020-10-24
2020-10-25 18:12

2020-10-23 00:00

ABC/WaPo RV w/3P [2]

56.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 17.0%

2020-10-20
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-28 17:17

2020-10-23 00:00

ABC/WaPo LV w/3P [2]

57.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 17.0%

2020-10-20
2020-10-25

2020-10-28
2020-10-28 17:15

2020-10-22 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [28]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-15
2020-10-29

2020-10-30
2020-11-02 13:21

2020-10-22 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [28]

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-10-15
2020-10-29

2020-10-30
2020-11-02 13:21

2020-10-19 00:00

Fox News RV w/3P [2]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-10-17
2020-10-20

2020-10-21
2020-10-22 06:15

2020-10-19 00:00

Fox News LV w/3P [2]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-17
2020-10-20

2020-10-21
2020-10-22 06:01

2020-10-18 00:00

Susquehanna Total w/3P [2]

45.0%

45.0%

TIED

2020-10-16
2020-10-19

2020-10-21
2020-10-21 19:40

2020-10-18 00:00

Susquehanna Definitely w/3P [2]

42.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-10-16
2020-10-19

2020-10-21
2020-10-21 19:08

2020-10-18 00:00

Change Research

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-16
2020-10-19

2020-10-20
2020-10-21 15:41

2020-10-17 12:00

YouGov LV [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-13
2020-10-21

2020-10-26
2020-10-26 17:20

2020-10-17 12:00

YouGov RV [2]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-13
2020-10-21

2020-10-26
2020-10-26 17:17

2020-10-17 12:00

RMG w/Strong D Turnout [3]

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-14
2020-10-20

2020-10-22
2020-10-22 17:43

2020-10-17 12:00

RMG w/Strong R Turnout [3]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-10-14
2020-10-20

2020-10-22
2020-10-22 17:25

2020-10-17 12:00

RMG [3]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-10-14
2020-10-20

2020-10-22
2020-10-22 17:04

2020-10-17 00:00

Latino Decisions

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-14
2020-10-19

2020-10-20
2020-10-21 18:22

2020-10-16 12:00

Ipsos w/5P [2]

51.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-10-13
2020-10-19

2020-10-19
2020-10-20 00:20

2020-10-16 12:00

Ipsos [2]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-13
2020-10-19

2020-10-19
2020-10-20 00:16

2020-10-16 00:00

Morning Consult

54.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-10-11
2020-10-20

2020-10-22
2020-10-22 16:17

2020-10-15 12:00

Trafalgar w/3P

47.3%

46.3%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-10-14
2020-10-16

2020-10-19
2020-10-19 23:04

2020-10-15 00:00

YouGov w/Lean [2]

51.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-13
2020-10-16

2020-10-18
2020-10-18 19:34

2020-10-15 00:00

YouGov [2]

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-13
2020-10-16

2020-10-18
2020-10-18 19:32

2020-10-14 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-28

2020-10-29
2020-11-02 13:21

2020-10-14 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-28

2020-10-29
2020-11-02 13:21

2020-10-13 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-29
2020-10-27

2020-10-28
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-13 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-29
2020-10-27

2020-10-28
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-12 12:00

Trafalgar w/3P

47.3%

45.4%

Biden
by 1.9%

2020-10-11
2020-10-13

2020-10-15
2020-10-15 18:17

2020-10-12 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

53.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-10-10
2020-10-13

2020-11-02
2020-11-03 04:15

2020-10-12 00:00

David Bidner Research

53.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-10
2020-10-13

2020-10-14
2020-10-15 15:09

2020-10-11 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-27
2020-10-25

2020-10-26
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-11 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-27
2020-10-25

2020-10-26
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-10 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-26
2020-10-24

2020-10-25
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-10 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-26
2020-10-24

2020-10-25
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-10 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/3P

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-10-09
2020-10-10

2020-11-02
2020-11-03 04:16

2020-10-10 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-26
2020-10-23

2020-10-24
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-10 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-26
2020-10-23

2020-10-24
2020-10-29 04:54

2020-10-10 00:00

Civiqs

53.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-11

2020-10-15
2020-10-15 19:56

2020-10-10 00:00

Siena w/3P

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-11

2020-10-12
2020-10-12 18:01

2020-10-09 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-25
2020-10-22

2020-10-23
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-09 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-25
2020-10-22

2020-10-23
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-09 00:00

Ipsos w/5P [2]

52.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-06
2020-10-11

2020-10-12
2020-10-13 03:38

2020-10-09 00:00

Ipsos [2]

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-06
2020-10-11

2020-10-12
2020-10-12 21:41

2020-10-08 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-24
2020-10-21

2020-10-22
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-08 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-24
2020-10-21

2020-10-22
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-07 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-23
2020-10-20

2020-10-21
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-07 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-23
2020-10-20

2020-10-21
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-07 00:00

Morning Consult

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-02
2020-10-11

2020-10-13
2020-10-13 19:10

2020-10-06 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/3P

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-04
2020-10-07

2020-10-09
2020-10-09 19:22

2020-10-05 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-21
2020-10-19

2020-10-20
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-05 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-21
2020-10-19

2020-10-20
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-05 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-21
2020-10-18

2020-10-19
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-05 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-09-21
2020-10-18

2020-10-19
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-04 12:00

Baldwin Wallace w/4P

49.2%

42.5%

Biden
by 6.7%

2020-09-30
2020-10-08

2020-10-11
2020-10-11 06:21

2020-10-04 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-20
2020-10-17

2020-10-18
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-04 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-20
2020-10-17

2020-10-18
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-03 12:00

Change Research

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-02
2020-10-04

2020-10-06
2020-10-07 17:50

2020-10-02 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-18
2020-10-16

2020-10-17
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-02 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-09-18
2020-10-16

2020-10-17
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-02 12:00

Marquette RV w/Lean w/3P [4]

46.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-04

2020-10-07
2020-10-08 16:51

2020-10-02 12:00

Marquette RV w/3P [4]

45.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-04

2020-10-07
2020-10-08 16:50

2020-10-02 12:00

Marquette LV w/Lean w/3P [4]

47.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-04

2020-10-07
2020-10-08 16:15

2020-10-02 12:00

Marquette LV w/3P [4]

46.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-04

2020-10-07
2020-10-08 15:58

2020-10-02 12:00

Ipsos

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-29
2020-10-05

2020-10-05
2020-10-06 16:43

2020-10-02 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-09-18
2020-10-15

2020-10-16
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-02 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-09-18
2020-10-15

2020-10-16
2020-10-25 22:49

2020-10-01 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-09-17
2020-10-14

2020-10-15
2020-10-23 18:40

2020-10-01 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-09-17
2020-10-14

2020-10-15
2020-10-23 05:42

2020-09-29 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

54.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-13

2020-10-14
2020-10-22 20:21

2020-09-29 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-13

2020-10-14
2020-10-21 22:04

2020-09-29 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

54.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-12

2020-10-13
2020-10-18 20:56

2020-09-29 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-12

2020-10-13
2020-10-18 09:08

2020-09-27 00:00

Trafalgar w/3P

47.2%

44.3%

Biden
by 2.9%

2020-09-25
2020-09-28

2020-10-02
2020-10-03 16:45

2020-09-25 12:00

Redfield and Wilton w/4P

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-23
2020-09-27

2020-10-02
2020-10-02 22:45

2020-09-25 00:00

Susquehanna

48.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-09-23
2020-09-26

2020-09-29
2020-09-29 04:20

2020-09-24 00:00

Trafalgar w/3P

47.7%

44.9%

Biden
by 2.8%

2020-09-22
2020-09-25

2020-09-28
2020-09-28 20:53

2020-09-22 12:00

Marist RV [2]

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-20
2020-09-24

2020-09-27
2020-09-27 17:57

2020-09-22 12:00

Marist LV [2]

54.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-09-20
2020-09-24

2020-09-27
2020-09-27 17:55

2020-09-19 12:00

Change Research

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-18
2020-09-20

2020-09-23
2020-09-23 17:07

2020-09-18 12:00

Hart Research

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-17
2020-09-19

2020-09-24
2020-09-27 16:33

2020-09-16 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-30

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:53

2020-09-16 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-30

2020-10-02
2020-10-03 17:30

2020-09-16 00:00

YouGov LV [2]

50.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-09-10
2020-09-21

2020-09-23
2020-09-27 04:35

2020-09-16 00:00

YouGov RV [2]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-10
2020-09-21

2020-09-23
2020-09-27 04:32

2020-09-15 12:00

Baldwin Wallace

50.3%

41.0%

Biden
by 9.3%

2020-09-08
2020-09-22

2020-09-23
2020-09-23 18:53

2020-09-14 12:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

47.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-12
2020-09-16

2020-09-18
2020-09-18 19:01

2020-09-14 00:00

Ipsos

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-11
2020-09-16

2020-09-21
2020-09-21 20:49

2020-09-13 12:00

Civiqs

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-11
2020-09-15

2020-09-18
2020-09-18 22:49

2020-09-12 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-07
2020-09-16

2020-09-18
2020-09-18 22:51

2020-09-11 12:00

CNN/SSRS LV w/3P [2]

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-09-09
2020-09-13

2020-09-15
2020-09-15 17:37

2020-09-11 12:00

CNN/SSRS RV w/3P [2]

52.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-09-09
2020-09-13

2020-09-15
2020-09-15 17:34

2020-09-11 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-06
2020-09-15

2020-09-16
2020-09-17 03:49

2020-09-11 00:00

ABC/WaPo RV [2]

50.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-09-08
2020-09-13

2020-09-16
2020-09-16 17:09

2020-09-11 00:00

ABC/WaPo LV [2]

52.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-08
2020-09-13

2020-09-16
2020-09-16 17:07

2020-09-10 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-05
2020-09-14

2020-09-15
2020-09-16 15:16

2020-09-09 12:00

Siena w/4P

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-08
2020-09-10

2020-09-12
2020-09-12 21:36

2020-09-09 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-04
2020-09-13

2020-09-14
2020-09-15 15:31

2020-09-08 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-03
2020-09-12

2020-09-13
2020-09-14 06:09

2020-09-07 12:00

Emerson w/Lean [2]

51.4%

44.8%

Biden
by 6.6%

2020-09-06
2020-09-08

2020-09-10
2020-09-11 00:05

2020-09-07 12:00

Emerson [2]

50.7%

43.9%

Biden
by 6.8%

2020-09-06
2020-09-08

2020-09-10
2020-09-11 00:02

2020-09-07 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-02
2020-09-11

2020-09-13
2020-09-14 06:07

2020-09-06 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-10

2020-09-11
2020-09-12 19:50

2020-09-05 12:00

Change Research

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-04
2020-09-06

2020-09-09
2020-09-09 16:46

2020-09-05 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-31
2020-09-09

2020-09-10
2020-09-11 03:44

2020-09-04 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-08-30
2020-09-08

2020-09-09
2020-09-10 03:59

2020-09-03 12:00

YouGov

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-02
2020-09-04

2020-09-06
2020-09-06 19:44

2020-09-03 00:00

Benenson

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-08-28
2020-09-08

2020-09-10
2020-09-10 16:22

2020-09-03 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-29
2020-09-07

2020-09-08
2020-09-09 07:02

2020-09-02 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/5P

50.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-08-30
2020-09-04

2020-09-08
2020-09-08 20:03

2020-09-02 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-28
2020-09-06

2020-09-07
2020-09-08 03:53

2020-09-02 00:00

Rassmussen w/Lean [2]

53.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-02

2020-09-07
2020-09-08 03:50

2020-09-02 00:00

Rassmussen [2]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-02

2020-09-07
2020-09-08 03:48

2020-09-01 12:00

Marquette RV w/3P [2]

46.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-30
2020-09-03

2020-09-09
2020-09-09 18:20

2020-09-01 12:00

Marquette LV w/3P [2]

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-08-30
2020-09-03

2020-09-09
2020-09-09 18:17

2020-09-01 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-27
2020-09-05

2020-09-06
2020-09-07 04:20

2020-08-31 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-26
2020-09-04

2020-09-05
2020-09-06 19:17

2020-08-31 00:00

Fox News RV w/3P [2]

49.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-29
2020-09-01

2020-09-02
2020-09-02 23:08

2020-08-31 00:00

Fox News LV w/3P [2]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-29
2020-09-01

2020-09-02
2020-09-02 23:06

2020-08-30 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-25
2020-09-03

2020-09-04
2020-09-05 18:11

2020-08-29 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-24
2020-09-02

2020-09-03
2020-09-04 04:17

2020-08-28 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-23
2020-09-01

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:31

2020-08-27 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

53.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-08-22
2020-08-31

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:29

2020-08-26 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

52.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-08-21
2020-08-30

2020-09-01
2020-09-01 15:58

2020-08-25 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-20
2020-08-29

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:27

2020-08-24 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-08-19
2020-08-28

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:26

2020-08-24 00:00

Opinium

52.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-08-21
2020-08-26

2020-09-02
2020-09-02 17:40

2020-08-23 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-18
2020-08-27

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:24

2020-08-22 12:00

Change Research

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-08-21
2020-08-23

2020-08-26
2020-08-26 16:10

2020-08-22 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-17
2020-08-26

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:20

2020-08-21 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-08-16
2020-08-25

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:18

2020-08-20 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-15
2020-08-24

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:16

2020-08-19 00:00

Hodas Total [2]

50.4%

42.6%

Biden
by 7.8%

2020-08-17
2020-08-20

2020-09-04
2020-09-04 22:09

2020-08-19 00:00

Hodas Definitely [2]

47.2%

37.5%

Biden
by 9.7%

2020-08-17
2020-08-20

2020-09-04
2020-09-04 22:07

2020-08-19 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-14
2020-08-23

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:14

2020-08-19 00:00

Trafalgar w/3P

45.4%

46.2%

Trump
by 0.8%

2020-08-14
2020-08-23

2020-08-25
2020-08-26 06:53

2020-08-18 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-13
2020-08-22

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 20:12

2020-08-17 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-12
2020-08-21

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:59

2020-08-17 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/5P

49.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-16
2020-08-17

2020-08-21
2020-08-21 23:38

2020-08-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

48.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2020-08-01
2020-08-31

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:48

2020-08-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

48.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2020-08-01
2020-08-31

2020-09-23
2020-09-26 18:26

2020-08-16 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-11
2020-08-20

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:57

2020-08-15 12:00

Civiqs

51.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-13
2020-08-17

2020-08-21
2020-08-21 22:07

2020-08-15 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-08-10
2020-08-19

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:56

2020-08-14 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-09
2020-08-18

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:54

2020-08-13 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-08-08
2020-08-17

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:51

2020-08-12 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-07
2020-08-16

2020-08-17
2020-08-17 22:15

2020-08-11 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-06
2020-08-15

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:47

2020-08-10 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-05
2020-08-14

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:45

2020-08-09 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-04
2020-08-13

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:44

2020-08-08 12:00

Change Research

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-08-07
2020-08-09

2020-08-12
2020-08-12 18:39

2020-08-08 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-03
2020-08-12

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:42

2020-08-07 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-08-02
2020-08-11

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:41

2020-08-07 00:00

Marquette LV w/Lean [4]

50.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-08-04
2020-08-09

2020-08-11
2020-08-11 17:53

2020-08-07 00:00

Marquette LV [4]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-08-04
2020-08-09

2020-08-11
2020-08-11 17:50

2020-08-07 00:00

Marquette RV w/Lean [4]

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-08-04
2020-08-09

2020-08-11
2020-08-11 17:49

2020-08-07 00:00

Marquette RV [4]

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-04
2020-08-09

2020-08-11
2020-08-11 17:46

2020-08-06 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-01
2020-08-10

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:38

2020-08-06 00:00

Rassmussen w/Lean [2]

55.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-08-05
2020-08-06

2020-08-13
2020-08-13 06:11

2020-08-06 00:00

Rassmussen [2]

52.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-08-05
2020-08-06

2020-08-13
2020-08-13 06:10

2020-08-06 00:00

YouGov

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-04
2020-08-07

2020-08-09
2020-08-09 18:35

2020-08-05 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-07-31
2020-08-09

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:37

2020-08-04 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-07-30
2020-08-08

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:35

2020-08-03 12:00

OnMessage

47.0%

47.0%

TIED

2020-08-02
2020-08-04

2020-08-18
2020-08-19 03:25

2020-08-03 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-29
2020-08-07

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:33

2020-08-02 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-28
2020-08-06

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:32

2020-08-01 12:00

YouGov LV [2]

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-07-27
2020-08-06

2020-08-10
2020-08-10 15:44

2020-08-01 12:00

YouGov RV [2]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-07-27
2020-08-06

2020-08-10
2020-08-10 14:42

2020-08-01 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-27
2020-08-05

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:30

2020-07-31 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-26
2020-08-04

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:28

2020-07-31 00:00

David Binder Research

53.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-07-30
2020-07-31

2020-08-06
2020-08-06 22:46

2020-07-30 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-25
2020-08-03

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:26

2020-07-29 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

52.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-07-24
2020-08-02

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:25

2020-07-28 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-23
2020-08-01

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:23

2020-07-27 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-07-22
2020-07-31

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:22

2020-07-26 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-21
2020-07-30

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:20

2020-07-25 12:00

Change Research

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-07-24
2020-07-26

2020-07-29
2020-07-29 18:34

2020-07-25 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-20
2020-07-29

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:18

2020-07-25 00:00

Hodas Total [2]

50.3%

37.9%

Biden
by 12.4%

2020-07-22
2020-07-27

2020-08-05
2020-08-05 17:28

2020-07-25 00:00

Hodas Definitely [2]

46.4%

33.3%

Biden
by 13.1%

2020-07-22
2020-07-27

2020-08-05
2020-08-05 17:26

2020-07-24 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-07-19
2020-07-28

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:17

2020-07-23 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-07-18
2020-07-27

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:15

2020-07-22 12:00

Gravis

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-07-22
2020-07-22

2020-07-24
2020-07-24 16:44

2020-07-22 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/5P

45.0%

35.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-19
2020-07-24

2020-07-30
2020-07-31 06:43

2020-07-22 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-07-17
2020-07-26

2020-07-28
2020-07-28 07:16

2020-07-21 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-07-16
2020-07-25

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:14

2020-07-20 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-07-15
2020-07-24

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:11

2020-07-19 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-07-14
2020-07-23

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:10

2020-07-18 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

47.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-07-13
2020-07-22

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:08

2020-07-18 00:00

Spry

46.3%

45.4%

Biden
by 0.9%

2020-07-15
2020-07-20

2020-07-22
2020-07-23 19:38

2020-07-17 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-07-12
2020-07-21

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:07

2020-07-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

50.0%

48.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-07-01
2020-07-31

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:45

2020-07-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

50.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-07-01
2020-07-31

2020-09-23
2020-09-25 15:47

2020-07-16 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-07-11
2020-07-20

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:05

2020-07-15 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-07-10
2020-07-19

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:04

2020-07-14 12:00

GSC w/Lean [2]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-11
2020-07-17

2020-08-03
2020-08-03 17:26

2020-07-14 12:00

GSC [2]

49.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-07-11
2020-07-17

2020-08-03
2020-08-03 17:22

2020-07-14 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-07-09
2020-07-18

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 19:01

2020-07-13 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-07-08
2020-07-17

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 18:29

2020-07-12 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-07-07
2020-07-16

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 18:27

2020-07-11 12:00

Change Research

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-07-10
2020-07-12

2020-07-15
2020-07-15 17:45

2020-07-11 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-07-06
2020-07-15

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 18:25

2020-07-10 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-05
2020-07-14

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 18:23

2020-07-09 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-04
2020-07-13

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:35

2020-07-08 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-03
2020-07-12

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:33

2020-07-07 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-02
2020-07-11

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:31

2020-07-06 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-07-01
2020-07-10

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:29

2020-07-05 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-06-30
2020-07-09

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:27

2020-07-04 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-06-29
2020-07-08

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:26

2020-07-03 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-06-28
2020-07-07

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:23

2020-07-02 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-06-27
2020-07-06

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:21

2020-07-01 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-06-26
2020-07-05

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:19

2020-06-30 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-06-25
2020-07-04

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:17

2020-06-29 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-06-24
2020-07-03

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:15

2020-06-28 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-06-23
2020-07-02

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:13

2020-06-27 12:00

Change Research

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-06-26
2020-06-28

2020-07-01
2020-07-01 18:27

2020-06-27 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-22
2020-07-01

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:11

2020-06-26 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-21
2020-06-30

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:09

2020-06-25 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-06-20
2020-06-29

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:08

2020-06-24 12:00

Trafalgar

44.6%

45.5%

Trump
by 0.9%

2020-06-23
2020-06-25

2020-06-28
2020-06-29 03:41

2020-06-24 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-19
2020-06-28

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:06

2020-06-23 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-18
2020-06-27

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:04

2020-06-22 12:00

Ogden & Fry

45.2%

44.4%

Biden
by 0.8%

2020-06-20
2020-06-24

2020-09-21
2020-09-22 15:35

2020-06-22 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-06-17
2020-06-26

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 16:02

2020-06-21 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-16
2020-06-25

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:59

2020-06-20 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-06-15
2020-06-24

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:57

2020-06-19 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

51.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-08
2020-06-30

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:41

2020-06-19 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

52.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-06-08
2020-06-30

2020-09-23
2020-09-24 19:42

2020-06-19 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-14
2020-06-23

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:55

2020-06-18 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-13
2020-06-22

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:53

2020-06-17 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-12
2020-06-21

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:51

2020-06-17 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

45.0%

36.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-06-14
2020-06-19

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 16:29

2020-06-16 12:00

Marquette LV [2]

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-06-14
2020-06-18

2020-06-24
2020-08-05 19:26

2020-06-16 12:00

Marquette RV [2]

49.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-06-14
2020-06-18

2020-06-24
2020-06-24 18:56

2020-06-16 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-06-11
2020-06-20

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:49

2020-06-15 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-06-10
2020-06-19

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:47

2020-06-14 12:00

Hodas Total [2]

54.3%

37.8%

Biden
by 16.5%

2020-06-12
2020-06-16

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 15:55

2020-06-14 12:00

Hodas Definitely [2]

49.2%

34.5%

Biden
by 14.7%

2020-06-12
2020-06-16

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 15:54

2020-06-14 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-06-09
2020-06-18

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:45

2020-06-13 12:00

Change Research

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-06-12
2020-06-14

2020-06-17
2020-06-18 04:10

2020-06-13 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-06-08
2020-06-17

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:43

2020-06-12 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-07
2020-06-16

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:41

2020-06-12 00:00

Siena

49.0%

38.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-06-08
2020-06-15

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 15:39

2020-06-11 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-06
2020-06-15

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:39

2020-06-10 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-05
2020-06-14

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:37

2020-06-09 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-04
2020-06-13

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:35

2020-06-08 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-03
2020-06-12

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:34

2020-06-07 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-02
2020-06-11

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:32

2020-06-06 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-01
2020-06-10

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:29

2020-06-05 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-31
2020-06-09

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:27

2020-06-04 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-30
2020-06-08

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:25

2020-06-03 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-29
2020-06-07

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 15:23

2020-06-02 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-28
2020-06-06

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:13

2020-06-01 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-27
2020-06-05

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:10

2020-06-01 00:00

Fox News

49.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-05-30
2020-06-02

2020-06-03
2020-06-04 02:56

2020-05-31 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-26
2020-06-04

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:08

2020-05-30 12:00

Change Research

45.0%

45.0%

TIED

2020-05-29
2020-05-31

2020-06-03
2020-06-03 18:30

2020-05-30 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-25
2020-06-03

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:07

2020-05-29 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-24
2020-06-02

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:05

2020-05-28 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-23
2020-06-01

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:03

2020-05-27 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-22
2020-05-31

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:02

2020-05-26 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-21
2020-05-30

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 09:00

2020-05-25 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-05-20
2020-05-29

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:57

2020-05-24 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-05-19
2020-05-28

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:55

2020-05-23 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-18
2020-05-27

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:53

2020-05-22 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-17
2020-05-26

2020-07-28
2020-07-29 18:16

2020-05-21 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-16
2020-05-25

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:48

2020-05-20 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-15
2020-05-24

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:47

2020-05-19 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-14
2020-05-23

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:45

2020-05-18 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-13
2020-05-22

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:33

2020-05-17 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-12
2020-05-21

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 08:30

2020-05-16 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-11
2020-05-20

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:43

2020-05-15 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-10
2020-05-19

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:42

2020-05-14 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

47.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-05-09
2020-05-18

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:40

2020-05-13 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-05-08
2020-05-17

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:37

2020-05-12 12:00

Redfield & Wilton

48.0%

38.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-05-10
2020-05-14

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:58

2020-05-12 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-07
2020-05-16

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:36

2020-05-11 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-05-06
2020-05-15

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:32

2020-05-10 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-05
2020-05-14

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:24

2020-05-09 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

47.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-05-04
2020-05-13

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:21

2020-05-08 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

47.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-05-03
2020-05-12

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:18

2020-05-07 12:00

Restoration PAC w/Lean [3]

51.5%

42.2%

Biden
by 9.3%

2020-05-06
2020-05-08

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:32

2020-05-07 12:00

Restoration PAC w/Probably [3]

50.8%

41.7%

Biden
by 9.1%

2020-05-06
2020-05-08

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:30

2020-05-07 12:00

Restoration PAC Definitely [3]

47.7%

40.2%

Biden
by 7.5%

2020-05-06
2020-05-08

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:28

2020-05-07 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

47.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-05-02
2020-05-11

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:16

2020-05-06 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

47.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-05-01
2020-05-10

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:13

2020-05-05 12:00

Marquette LV [2]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-05-03
2020-05-07

2020-05-12
2020-08-05 19:22

2020-05-05 12:00

Marquette RV [2]

46.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-05-03
2020-05-07

2020-05-12
2020-05-12 18:36

2020-05-05 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

47.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-04-30
2020-05-09

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:11

2020-05-04 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-04-29
2020-05-08

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:07

2020-05-03 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-04-28
2020-05-07

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:05

2020-05-02 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-04-27
2020-05-06

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 07:03

2020-05-01 00:00

Morning Consult [10]

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-04-26
2020-05-05

2020-09-02
2020-09-03 06:50

2020-04-21 00:00

PPP

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-04-20
2020-04-21

2020-04-23
2020-04-23 19:49

2020-04-18 00:00

Ipsos

43.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-04-15
2020-04-20

2020-04-22
2020-04-22 23:38

2020-04-14 12:00

Restoration PAC

49.7%

45.3%

Biden
by 4.4%

2020-04-13
2020-04-15

2020-04-24
2020-04-24 16:03

2020-04-07 12:00

Hart Research w/Leans [2]

48.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-04-06
2020-04-08

2020-04-13
2020-04-13 19:13

2020-04-07 12:00

Hart Research wo/Leans [2]

47.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-04-06
2020-04-08

2020-04-13
2020-04-13 19:12

2020-03-27 00:00

Marquette LV [2]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-03-24
2020-03-29

2020-04-01
2020-06-24 06:50

2020-03-27 00:00

Marquette RV [2]

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-03-24
2020-03-29

2020-04-01
2020-04-01 17:32

2020-03-21 12:00

Baldwin Wallace w/Probably [2]

44.9%

44.8%

Biden
by 0.1%

2020-03-17
2020-03-25

2020-03-26
2020-03-26 16:46

2020-03-21 12:00

Baldwin Wallace Definitely [2]

30.4%

35.2%

Trump
by 4.8%

2020-03-17
2020-03-25

2020-03-26
2020-03-26 16:45

2020-03-18 12:00

Restoration PAC

45.3%

48.7%

Trump
by 3.4%

2020-03-17
2020-03-19

2020-03-27
2020-03-27 18:15

2020-03-11 00:00

PPP

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-03-10
2020-03-11

2020-03-12
2020-03-12 16:29

2020-03-07 12:00

YouGov

44.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-03-06
2020-03-08

2020-03-09
2020-03-09 19:41

2020-03-06 12:00

Firehouse

43.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2020-03-05
2020-03-07

2020-03-08
2020-03-09 15:22

2020-02-21 12:00

Marquette LV [2]

48.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-02-19
2020-02-23

2020-02-27
2020-06-24 06:37

2020-02-21 12:00

Marquette RV [2]

46.0%

46.0%

TIED

2020-02-19
2020-02-23

2020-02-27
2020-02-27 21:10

2020-02-16 00:00

YouGov

45.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-02-11
2020-02-20

2020-02-23
2020-02-23 16:20

2020-02-15 12:00

Quinnipiac

42.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2020-02-12
2020-02-18

2020-02-20
2020-02-20 18:42

2020-02-12 12:00

Expedition

42.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2020-02-06
2020-02-18

2020-02-24
2020-03-07 16:16

2020-01-15 12:00

Tarrance Definite [2]

38.0%

42.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2020-01-14
2020-01-16

2020-02-13
2020-02-14 01:28

2020-01-15 12:00

Tarrance All [2]

47.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-01-14
2020-01-16

2020-02-13
2020-02-14 01:20

2020-01-10 12:00

Marquette LV [2]

48.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-01-08
2020-01-12

2020-01-15
2020-06-24 06:28

2020-01-10 12:00

Marquette RV [2]

49.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-01-08
2020-01-12

2020-01-15
2020-01-15 19:11

2020-01-07 00:00

Fox News

46.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-01-05
2020-01-08

2020-01-09
2020-01-10 00:12

2019-12-06 00:00

Marquette LV [2]

49.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2019-12-03
2019-12-08

2019-12-12
2020-06-24 06:16

2019-12-06 00:00

Marquette RV [2]

47.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2019-12-03
2019-12-08

2019-12-12
2019-12-13 07:02

2019-12-04 12:00

Firehouse

39.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 9.0%

2019-12-03
2019-12-05

2019-12-08
2019-12-09 20:33

2019-11-15 12:00

Marquette LV [2]

45.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2019-11-13
2019-11-17

2019-11-20
2020-06-24 06:04

2019-11-15 12:00

Marquette RV [2]

44.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2019-11-13
2019-11-17

2019-11-20
2019-11-20 19:30

2019-11-03 12:00

Civiqs

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2019-11-03
2019-11-03

2019-11-05
2019-11-06 01:53

2019-10-20 00:00

NYT/Sienna LV [2]

46.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2019-10-13
2019-10-26

2019-11-04
2019-11-04 20:50

2019-10-20 00:00

NYT/Sienna RV [2]

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2019-10-13
2019-10-26

2019-11-04
2019-11-04 20:49

2019-10-15 12:00

Marquette LV [2]

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2019-10-13
2019-10-17

2019-10-23
2020-06-24 05:50

2019-10-15 12:00

Marquette RV [2]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2019-10-13
2019-10-17

2019-10-23
2019-10-24 07:20

2019-10-01 00:00

Fox News

48.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2019-09-29
2019-10-02

2019-10-06
2019-10-06 15:53

2019-09-08 12:00

Firehouse

44.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2019-09-07
2019-09-09

2019-09-12
2019-09-13 05:36

2019-08-27 12:00

Marquette LV [2]

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2019-08-25
2019-08-29

2019-09-04
2020-06-24 05:27

2019-08-27 12:00

Marquette RV [2]

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2019-08-25
2019-08-29

2019-09-04
2019-09-04 21:41

2019-06-12 12:00

Firehouse

46.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2019-06-11
2019-06-13

2019-06-16
2019-06-19 21:29

2019-04-29 00:00

WPA Intelligence

42.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2019-04-27
2019-04-30

2019-05-11
2019-05-12 07:32

2019-04-17 00:00

Zogby

50.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2019-04-15
2019-04-18

2019-04-24
2019-04-25 04:46

2019-03-22 00:00

Trump Internal (NBC) [2]

55.8%

44.3%

Biden
by 11.5%

2019-03-15
2019-03-28

2019-06-16
2019-06-16 17:35

2019-03-22 00:00

Trump Internal (ABC) [2]

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2019-03-15
2019-03-28

2019-06-14
2019-06-16 17:31

2019-03-20 12:00

Firehouse

53.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2019-03-19
2019-03-21

2019-03-23
2019-03-27 02:34

2019-03-16 12:00

Emerson w/3P [2]

51.2%

44.4%

Biden
by 6.8%

2019-03-15
2019-03-17

2019-03-17
2019-03-18 06:16

2019-03-16 12:00

Emerson [2]

54.3%

45.7%

Biden
by 8.6%

2019-03-15
2019-03-17

2019-03-17
2019-03-18 06:14

2016-11-08 12:00

Election2016

46.5%

47.2%

REP
by 0.8%

2016-11-08
2016-11-08

2016-11-08
2019-02-24 18:34

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.8%

45.9%

DEM
by 6.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:19

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

56.2%

42.3%

DEM
by 13.9%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 05:22

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

49.7%

49.3%

DEM
by 0.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:19

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

47.8%

47.6%

DEM
by 0.2%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:16

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

48.8%

38.5%

DEM
by 10.3%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:53

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

41.1%

36.8%

DEM
by 4.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:09

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

51.4%

47.8%

DEM
by 3.6%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:13

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

45.0%

54.2%

REP
by 9.2%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:46

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

43.2%

47.9%

REP
by 4.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:35

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2020 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2020 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email feedback@electiongraphs.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".

 

Analysis for the 2008, 2012, and 2016 election cycles can be found here.

 

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