2024 Electoral College

Harris vs Trump - Pennsylvania [19 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2024-11-04 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2024-11-05 19:44 UTC

Leaders:

Best Polled:

Switch to Harris vs Trump National Summary

2024 Pennsylvania [19 EV] Poll Average

Harris		Trump

2024 Pennsylvania [19 EV] Probabilities

Harris		Trump

If the election was now:

Harris		Trump
/td>

State win probabilities are derived from analyzing how Election Graphs poll averages at similar times before the election have historically deviated from actual election results from 2008 to 2020.

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Harris	<>	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2024-11-04 00:00	AtlasIntel [2]	48.6%	1.8%	49.6%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-11-03 2024-11-04	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 06:17
2024-11-04 00:00	AtlasIntel w/4P [2]	48.4%	2.5%	49.1%	Trump by 0.7%	2024-11-03 2024-11-04	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 06:11
2024-11-03 00:00	Survation WLV wo/Ref w/4P [3]	50.6%	1.6%	47.8%	Harris by 2.8%	2024-11-01 2024-11-04	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 07:18
2024-11-03 00:00	Survation Weighted LV w/4P [3]	49.2%	4.2%	46.5%	Harris by 2.7%	2024-11-01 2024-11-04	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 07:06
2024-11-03 00:00	Survation LV w/4P [3]	47.8%	5.0%	47.2%	Harris by 0.6%	2024-11-01 2024-11-04	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 06:57
2024-11-03 00:00	Research Co	50.0%	1.0%	49.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-11-02 2024-11-03	2024-11-04 2024-11-04 19:27
2024-11-02 12:00	Trafalgar	46.7%	4.9%	48.4%	Trump by 1.7%	2024-11-01 2024-11-03	2024-11-03 2024-11-04 03:34
2024-11-02 12:00	Patriot Polling	48.7%	1.7%	49.6%	Trump by 0.9%	2024-11-01 2024-11-03	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 19:12

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Harris	<>	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2024-11-02 00:00	InsiderAdvantage	48.0%	3.0%	49.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-11-01 2024-11-02	2024-11-03 2024-11-04 03:02
2024-11-02 00:00	AtlasIntel [2]	47.8%	2.6%	49.6%	Trump by 1.8%	2024-11-01 2024-11-02	2024-11-02 2024-11-03 09:00
2024-11-02 00:00	AtlasIntel w/4P [2]	47.4%	3.5%	49.1%	Trump by 1.7%	2024-11-01 2024-11-02	2024-11-02 2024-11-03 08:50
2024-11-01 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [2]	49.2%	0.9%	49.9%	Trump by 0.7%	2024-10-30 2024-11-02	2024-11-04 2024-11-04 18:21
2024-11-01 00:00	Emerson [2]	48.4%	2.3%	49.3%	Trump by 0.9%	2024-10-30 2024-11-02	2024-11-04 2024-11-04 18:15
2024-10-31 12:00	Siena RV wo/Lean w/4P [5]	45.0%	10.0%	45.0%	TIED	2024-10-29 2024-11-02	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 18:08
2024-10-31 12:00	Siena RV Combined w/4P [5]	46.0%	7.0%	47.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-29 2024-11-02	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 18:06
2024-10-31 12:00	Siena RV [5]	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-29 2024-11-02	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 18:05
2024-10-31 12:00	Siena LV w/4P [5]	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-10-29 2024-11-02	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 18:03
2024-10-31 12:00	Siena LV [5]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-29 2024-11-02	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 18:01
2024-10-31 00:00	SoCal	49.7%	2.1%	48.2%	Harris by 1.5%	2024-10-30 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-01 22:41
2024-10-31 00:00	AtlasIntel [2]	47.9%	2.7%	49.4%	Trump by 1.5%	2024-10-30 2024-10-31	2024-10-31 2024-11-01 18:24
2024-10-31 00:00	AtlasIntel w/4P [2]	47.4%	4.1%	48.5%	Trump by 1.1%	2024-10-30 2024-10-31	2024-10-31 2024-11-01 18:12
2024-10-30 12:00	Democracy Institute	46.0%	3.0%	51.0%	Trump by 5.0%	2024-10-29 2024-10-31	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 19:44
2024-10-30 12:00	OnMessage	47.0%	4.0%	49.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-10-29 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 10:23
2024-10-30 00:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-28 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 00:30
2024-10-29 12:00	Mainstreet RV [2]	48.0%	6.0%	46.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-25 2024-11-02	2024-11-04 2024-11-04 20:39
2024-10-29 12:00	Mainstreet LV [2]	49.0%	4.0%	47.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-25 2024-11-02	2024-11-04 2024-11-04 20:38
2024-10-29 00:00	Muhlenberg	49.0%	4.0%	47.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-27 2024-10-30	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 19:03
2024-10-29 00:00	Suffolk w/4P	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-10-27 2024-10-30	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 02:22
2024-10-29 00:00	Marist LV [2]	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-27 2024-10-30	2024-10-31 2024-11-02 02:10
2024-10-29 00:00	Marist RV [2]	51.0%	2.0%	47.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-10-27 2024-10-30	2024-10-31 2024-11-02 02:01
2024-10-29 00:00	Echelon Total [3]	46.0%	2.0%	52.0%	Trump by 6.0%	2024-10-27 2024-10-30	2024-10-31 2024-11-02 01:49
2024-10-29 00:00	Echelon Definitely [3]	45.0%	6.0%	49.0%	Trump by 4.0%	2024-10-27 2024-10-30	2024-10-31 2024-11-02 01:40
2024-10-29 00:00	Echelon w/4P [3]	46.0%	3.0%	51.0%	Trump by 5.0%	2024-10-27 2024-10-30	2024-10-31 2024-11-02 01:32
2024-10-28 12:00	Washington Post RV [2]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-26 2024-10-30	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 10:20
2024-10-28 12:00	Washington Post LV [2]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-26 2024-10-30	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 10:18
2024-10-28 12:00	YouGov LV [4]	51.0%	1.0%	48.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-10-25 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 09:32
2024-10-28 12:00	YouGov RV [4]	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-25 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 09:31
2024-10-28 12:00	YouGov LV w/4P [4]	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-10-25 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 09:29
2024-10-28 12:00	YouGov RV w/4P [4]	48.0%	6.0%	46.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-25 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 09:27
2024-10-28 12:00	Data for Progress w/4P	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-25 2024-10-31	2024-11-01 2024-11-02 07:31
2024-10-27 12:00	AtlasIntel [2]	46.9%	3.5%	49.6%	Trump by 2.7%	2024-10-25 2024-10-29	2024-10-29 2024-10-30 00:13
2024-10-27 12:00	AtlasIntel w/4P [2]	46.6%	4.7%	48.7%	Trump by 2.1%	2024-10-25 2024-10-29	2024-10-29 2024-10-30 00:04
2024-10-27 00:00	Morning Consult	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-22 2024-10-31	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 19:05
2024-10-27 00:00	Rasmussen	47.0%	4.0%	49.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-10-25 2024-10-28	2024-11-01 2024-11-03 09:25
2024-10-27 00:00	InsiderAdvantage	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-26 2024-10-27	2024-10-28 2024-10-28 20:32
2024-10-26 12:00	Beacon/Shaw LV [4]	49.0%	1.0%	50.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-31 09:15
2024-10-26 12:00	Beacon/Shaw RV [4]	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-31 09:09
2024-10-26 12:00	Beacon/Shaw LV w/4P [4]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-31 08:59
2024-10-26 12:00	Beacon/Shaw RV w/4P [4]	48.0%	6.0%	46.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-31 08:51
2024-10-26 12:00	Quinnipiac [2]	47.0%	4.0%	49.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 18:43
2024-10-26 12:00	Quinnipiac w/4P [2]	46.0%	7.0%	47.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 18:39
2024-10-26 12:00	Monmouth Total [2]	46.0%	7.0%	47.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 18:33
2024-10-26 12:00	Monmouth Definitely [2]	42.0%	16.0%	42.0%	TIED	2024-10-24 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 18:25
2024-10-26 12:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-25 2024-10-27	2024-10-29 2024-10-29 18:30
2024-10-26 00:00	SSRS w/6P	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-23 2024-10-28	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 18:01
2024-10-25 12:00	YouGov	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-10-22 2024-10-28	2024-10-29 2024-10-30 00:54
2024-10-24 12:00	North Star w/4P	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-10-22 2024-10-26	2024-10-28 2024-10-28 22:25
2024-10-22 00:00	ActiVote	50.5%	0.0%	49.5%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-10 2024-11-02	2024-11-03 2024-11-03 19:07
2024-10-22 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [2]	49.0%	0.3%	50.7%	Trump by 1.7%	2024-10-21 2024-10-22	2024-10-24 2024-10-24 16:47
2024-10-22 00:00	Emerson [2]	47.6%	3.1%	49.3%	Trump by 1.7%	2024-10-21 2024-10-22	2024-10-24 2024-10-24 16:43
2024-10-21 12:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-20 2024-10-22	2024-10-25 2024-10-25 18:40
2024-10-20 12:00	Susquehanna	46.0%	8.2%	45.8%	Harris by 0.2%	2024-10-18 2024-10-22	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 18:17
2024-10-20 00:00	YouGov w/4P	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-16 2024-10-23	2024-10-31 2024-10-31 17:53
2024-10-19 00:00	Quantus	48.2%	1.5%	50.3%	Trump by 2.1%	2024-10-17 2024-10-20	2024-10-21 2024-10-21 19:42
2024-10-18 12:00	Morning Consult LV [4]	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-16 2024-10-20	2024-10-23 2024-10-24 05:57
2024-10-18 12:00	Morning Consult LV w/4P [4]	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-16 2024-10-20	2024-10-23 2024-10-24 05:56
2024-10-18 12:00	Morning Consult RV [4]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-16 2024-10-20	2024-10-23 2024-10-24 05:54
2024-10-18 12:00	Morning Consult RV w/4P [4]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-16 2024-10-20	2024-10-23 2024-10-24 05:53
2024-10-18 12:00	Trafalgar	43.3%	10.4%	46.3%	Trump by 3.0%	2024-10-17 2024-10-19	2024-10-21 2024-10-21 14:49
2024-10-18 00:00	FocalData LV w/4P [3]	49.6%	2.2%	48.2%	Harris by 1.4%	2024-10-03 2024-11-01	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 02:22
2024-10-18 00:00	FocalData RV w/4P [3]	50.7%	2.7%	46.6%	Harris by 4.1%	2024-10-03 2024-11-01	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 02:20
2024-10-18 00:00	FocalData A w/4P [3]	49.4%	3.4%	47.2%	Harris by 2.2%	2024-10-03 2024-11-01	2024-11-04 2024-11-05 02:19
2024-10-17 12:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-16 2024-10-18	2024-10-21 2024-10-21 19:34
2024-10-15 00:00	Franklin & Marshall LV [3]	49.0%	1.0%	50.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-09 2024-10-20	2024-10-24 2024-10-24 16:40
2024-10-15 00:00	Franklin & Marshall RV [3]	48.0%	8.0%	44.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-10-09 2024-10-20	2024-10-24 2024-10-24 16:38
2024-10-15 00:00	Franklin & Marshall RV w/4P [3]	49.0%	6.0%	45.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-10-09 2024-10-20	2024-10-24 2024-10-24 16:36
2024-10-15 00:00	AtlasIntel [2]	47.4%	2.7%	49.9%	Trump by 2.5%	2024-10-12 2024-10-17	2024-10-20 2024-10-20 19:19
2024-10-15 00:00	AtlasIntel w/4P [2]	46.5%	3.7%	49.8%	Trump by 3.3%	2024-10-12 2024-10-17	2024-10-20 2024-10-20 19:09
2024-10-14 12:00	Bullfinch w/G3P [2]	49.0%	3.0%	48.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-11 2024-10-17	2024-10-18 2024-10-20 01:38
2024-10-14 12:00	Bullfinch [2]	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-10-11 2024-10-17	2024-10-18 2024-10-20 01:36
2024-10-13 12:00	CCES LV [2]	49.0%	3.0%	48.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-01 2024-10-25	2024-10-29 2024-10-29 21:52
2024-10-13 12:00	CCES All [2]	50.0%	3.0%	47.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-10-01 2024-10-25	2024-10-29 2024-10-29 21:50
2024-10-13 12:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-10-12 2024-10-14	2024-10-16 2024-10-17 05:37
2024-10-12 12:00	YouGov RV [3]	48.0%	6.0%	46.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-17	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 17:33
2024-10-12 12:00	YouGov LV [3]	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-17	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 16:12
2024-10-12 12:00	YouGov RV w/Lean [3]	50.0%	3.0%	47.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-17	2024-10-30 2024-10-30 16:09
2024-10-11 12:00	Rasmussen	47.0%	3.0%	50.0%	Trump by 3.0%	2024-10-09 2024-10-13	2024-10-14 2024-10-16 07:32
2024-10-11 00:00	Morning Consult	49.0%	3.0%	48.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-06 2024-10-15	2024-10-17 2024-10-18 14:40
2024-10-09 00:00	Siena RV wo/Lean w/6P [5]	47.0%	10.0%	43.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-10	2024-10-12 2024-10-12 17:06
2024-10-09 00:00	Siena RV Combined w/6P [5]	49.0%	6.0%	45.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-10	2024-10-12 2024-10-12 17:04
2024-10-09 00:00	Siena RV [5]	50.0%	3.0%	47.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-10	2024-10-12 2024-10-12 16:55
2024-10-09 00:00	Siena LV Combined w/6P [5]	49.0%	6.0%	45.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-10	2024-10-12 2024-10-12 16:45
2024-10-09 00:00	Siena LV [5]	50.0%	3.0%	47.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-10	2024-10-12 2024-10-12 16:31
2024-10-09 00:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	46.0%	6.0%	48.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-10-08 2024-10-09	2024-10-11 2024-10-11 19:17
2024-10-08 12:00	Tarrance	49.0%	3.0%	48.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-08 2024-10-08	2024-10-08 2024-10-15 02:29
2024-10-08 12:00	TIPP Insights LV w/4P [4]	47.3%	4.1%	48.6%	Trump by 1.3%	2024-10-07 2024-10-09	2024-10-10 2024-10-11 21:13
2024-10-08 12:00	TIPP Insights RV w/4P [4]	48.5%	6.6%	44.9%	Harris by 3.6%	2024-10-07 2024-10-09	2024-10-10 2024-10-11 21:08
2024-10-08 12:00	TIPP Insights LV [4]	47.5%	3.6%	48.9%	Trump by 1.4%	2024-10-07 2024-10-09	2024-10-10 2024-10-11 20:59
2024-10-08 12:00	TIPP Insights RV [4]	49.2%	5.5%	45.3%	Harris by 3.9%	2024-10-07 2024-10-09	2024-10-10 2024-10-11 20:52
2024-10-08 00:00	Washington Post LV [2]	49.0%	4.0%	47.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-30 2024-10-15	2024-10-21 2024-10-21 14:10
2024-10-08 00:00	Washington Post RV [2]	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-30 2024-10-15	2024-10-21 2024-10-21 14:08
2024-10-08 00:00	Fabrizio McLaughlin	48.0%	3.0%	49.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-06 2024-10-09	2024-10-10 2024-10-11 18:27
2024-10-08 00:00	InsiderAdvantage	47.0%	4.0%	49.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-10-07 2024-10-08	2024-10-08 2024-10-09 04:33
2024-10-07 00:00	JL Partners w/4P	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-10-05 2024-10-08	2024-10-13 2024-10-13 19:49
2024-10-07 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [2]	49.0%	1.3%	49.7%	Trump by 0.7%	2024-10-05 2024-10-08	2024-10-10 2024-10-11 15:58
2024-10-07 00:00	Emerson [2]	48.2%	2.5%	49.3%	Trump by 1.1%	2024-10-05 2024-10-08	2024-10-10 2024-10-11 15:54
2024-10-06 12:00	American Pulse w/Lean [4]	49.5%	0.0%	50.5%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-02 2024-10-10	2024-10-15 2024-10-16 07:29
2024-10-06 12:00	American Pulse [4]	49.4%	1.0%	49.6%	Trump by 0.2%	2024-10-02 2024-10-10	2024-10-15 2024-10-16 07:25
2024-10-06 12:00	American Pulse w/4P [4]	47.3%	4.0%	48.7%	Trump by 1.4%	2024-10-02 2024-10-10	2024-10-15 2024-10-16 07:23
2024-10-06 12:00	American Pulse w/Lean w/4P [4]	47.6%	3.4%	49.0%	Trump by 1.4%	2024-10-02 2024-10-10	2024-10-15 2024-10-16 07:21
2024-10-06 12:00	Research Co DV [2]	50.0%	1.0%	49.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-05 2024-10-07	2024-10-08 2024-10-08 20:29
2024-10-06 12:00	Research Co RV [2]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-05 2024-10-07	2024-10-08 2024-10-08 20:17
2024-10-06 00:00	YouGov w/4P	46.0%	9.0%	45.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-10-02 2024-10-09	2024-10-17 2024-10-18 03:36
2024-10-05 12:00	Quinnipiac [2]	49.0%	4.0%	47.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-10-03 2024-10-07	2024-10-09 2024-10-10 03:07
2024-10-05 12:00	Quinnipiac w/4P [2]	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-10-03 2024-10-07	2024-10-09 2024-10-10 03:01
2024-10-05 00:00	Hunt Research w/4P [2]	46.6%	6.6%	46.8%	Trump by 0.2%	2024-10-02 2024-10-07	2024-10-09 2024-10-11 19:42
2024-10-05 00:00	Hunt Research [2]	47.4%	4.2%	48.4%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-10-02 2024-10-07	2024-10-09 2024-10-11 19:38
2024-10-03 12:00	Fabrizio Lee Total [3]	46.0%	7.0%	47.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-09-28 2024-10-08	2024-10-11 2024-10-11 17:24
2024-10-03 12:00	Fabrizio Lee Definitely [3]	43.0%	15.0%	42.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-28 2024-10-08	2024-10-11 2024-10-11 17:16
2024-10-03 12:00	Fabrizio Lee w/6P [3]	45.0%	9.0%	46.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-09-28 2024-10-08	2024-10-11 2024-10-11 17:10
2024-10-03 00:00	Democracy Institute	46.0%	4.0%	50.0%	Trump by 4.0%	2024-10-02 2024-10-03	2024-10-04 2024-10-08 06:23
2024-09-30 00:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-27 2024-10-02	2024-10-07 2024-10-08 03:36
2024-09-29 00:00	OnMessage w/Lean [2]	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-09-28 2024-09-29	2024-10-03 2024-10-03 15:59
2024-09-29 00:00	OnMessage [2]	46.0%	8.0%	46.0%	TIED	2024-09-28 2024-09-29	2024-10-03 2024-10-03 15:51
2024-09-28 12:00	YouGov	46.8%	8.5%	44.7%	Harris by 2.1%	2024-09-24 2024-10-02	2024-10-11 2024-10-11 19:45
2024-09-28 12:00	OnMessage	46.0%	8.0%	46.0%	TIED	2024-09-24 2024-10-02	2024-10-11 2024-10-11 17:54
2024-09-28 12:00	Patriot Polling	49.0%	1.0%	50.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-09-27 2024-09-29	2024-09-30 2024-09-30 16:44
2024-09-28 00:00	Bullfinch w/4P [2]	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-26 2024-09-29	2024-10-08 2024-10-08 17:17
2024-09-28 00:00	Bullfinch [2]	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-26 2024-09-29	2024-10-08 2024-10-08 17:11
2024-09-28 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [2]	49.3%	1.9%	48.8%	Harris by 0.5%	2024-09-27 2024-09-28	2024-10-01 2024-10-02 01:07
2024-09-28 00:00	Emerson [2]	48.1%	3.8%	48.1%	TIED	2024-09-27 2024-09-28	2024-10-01 2024-10-02 01:02
2024-09-28 00:00	Trafalgar	45.3%	7.2%	47.5%	Trump by 2.2%	2024-09-26 2024-09-29	2024-09-30 2024-09-30 16:40
2024-09-26 12:00	Global Strategy Group [3]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-09-23 2024-09-29	2024-10-09 2024-10-10 02:27
2024-09-26 12:00	Global Strategy Group w/Lean w/6P [3]	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-09-23 2024-09-29	2024-10-09 2024-10-10 02:25
2024-09-26 12:00	Global Strategy Group w/6P [3]	47.0%	7.0%	46.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-23 2024-09-29	2024-10-09 2024-10-10 02:21
2024-09-23 00:00	AtlasIntel w/4P [2]	48.0%	1.4%	50.6%	Trump by 2.6%	2024-09-20 2024-09-25	2024-09-29 2024-09-30 06:21
2024-09-23 00:00	AtlasIntel [2]	48.1%	0.9%	51.0%	Trump by 2.9%	2024-09-20 2024-09-25	2024-09-29 2024-09-30 06:19
2024-09-22 12:00	BSG/GS [2]	50.0%	1.0%	49.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-25	2024-10-02 2024-10-02 15:55
2024-09-22 12:00	BSG/GS w/3P [2]	49.0%	4.0%	47.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-25	2024-10-02 2024-10-02 15:51
2024-09-22 12:00	Beacon/Shaw RV [4]	50.0%	2.0%	48.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-20 2024-09-24	2024-09-27 2024-09-28 16:39
2024-09-22 12:00	Beacon/Shaw LV [4]	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-09-20 2024-09-24	2024-09-27 2024-09-28 16:36
2024-09-22 12:00	Beacon/Shaw RV w/5P [4]	48.0%	6.0%	46.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-20 2024-09-24	2024-09-27 2024-09-28 16:33
2024-09-22 12:00	Beacon/Shaw LV w/5P [4]	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-09-20 2024-09-24	2024-09-27 2024-09-28 16:29
2024-09-22 12:00	Morning Consult LV [4]	51.0%	3.0%	46.0%	Harris by 5.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-25	2024-09-26 2024-09-27 08:18
2024-09-22 12:00	Morning Consult LV w/4P [4]	51.0%	4.0%	45.0%	Harris by 6.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-25	2024-09-26 2024-09-27 08:13
2024-09-22 12:00	Morning Consult RV [4]	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-25	2024-09-26 2024-09-27 08:08
2024-09-22 12:00	Morning Consult RV w/4P [4]	50.0%	6.0%	44.0%	Harris by 6.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-25	2024-09-26 2024-09-27 08:03
2024-09-21 12:00	Rodriguez Gudelunas	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-09-19 2024-09-23	2024-10-02 2024-10-23 19:22
2024-09-21 12:00	Monmouth Total [2]	48.0%	7.0%	45.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-23	2024-09-25 2024-10-23 17:34
2024-09-21 12:00	Monmouth Definitely [2]	40.0%	22.0%	38.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-23	2024-09-25 2024-10-23 17:30
2024-09-21 00:00	Fabrizio Ward [2]	50.0%	3.0%	47.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-17 2024-09-24	2024-10-01 2024-10-01 23:29
2024-09-21 00:00	Fabrizio Ward w/4P [2]	49.0%	4.0%	47.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-17 2024-09-24	2024-10-01 2024-10-01 23:25
2024-09-21 00:00	Rasmussen w/Lean [2]	50.0%	1.0%	49.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-19 2024-09-22	2024-09-24 2024-09-26 05:53
2024-09-21 00:00	Rasmussen [2]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-09-19 2024-09-22	2024-09-24 2024-09-26 05:43
2024-09-19 12:00	Susquehanna	46.0%	8.0%	46.0%	TIED	2024-09-16 2024-09-22	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 06:44
2024-09-19 12:00	RMG Research wo/Lean [2]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-18 2024-09-20	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 06:40
2024-09-19 12:00	RMG Research [2]	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-09-18 2024-09-20	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 06:36
2024-09-18 12:00	Remington w/4P	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-09-16 2024-09-20	2024-10-01 2024-10-01 22:41
2024-09-18 00:00	Muhlenberg w/Lean [2]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-09-16 2024-09-19	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 06:27
2024-09-18 00:00	Muhlenberg [2]	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-09-16 2024-09-19	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 06:20
2024-09-18 00:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-09-16 2024-09-19	2024-09-23 2024-09-23 17:57
2024-09-17 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [2]	49.6%	1.1%	49.3%	Harris by 0.3%	2024-09-15 2024-09-18	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 19:11
2024-09-17 00:00	Emerson [2]	47.2%	4.7%	48.1%	Trump by 0.9%	2024-09-15 2024-09-18	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 19:07
2024-09-15 12:00	Tarrance	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-09-15 2024-09-15	2024-10-08 2024-10-15 02:28
2024-09-15 12:00	YouGov w/4P	48.0%	6.0%	46.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-11 2024-09-19	2024-09-26 2024-09-26 15:59
2024-09-15 12:00	MassINC [3]	52.0%	1.0%	47.0%	Harris by 5.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-18	2024-09-20 2024-09-21 04:05
2024-09-15 12:00	MassINC w/Lean w/4P [3]	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-18	2024-09-20 2024-09-21 04:02
2024-09-15 12:00	MassINC Initial w/4P [3]	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-18	2024-09-20 2024-09-21 03:57
2024-09-15 00:00	Marist RV [2]	49.0%	3.0%	48.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-17	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 19:53
2024-09-15 00:00	Marist LV [2]	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-09-12 2024-09-17	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 19:48
2024-09-15 00:00	Insider Advantage	48.0%	2.0%	50.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-09-14 2024-09-15	2024-09-17 2024-09-17 16:48
2024-09-14 12:00	Washington Post RV [4]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:25
2024-09-14 12:00	Washington Post LV [4]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-09-12 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:22
2024-09-14 12:00	Washington Post RV w/4P [4]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:07
2024-09-14 12:00	Washington Post LV w/4P [4]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:05
2024-09-14 12:00	Quinnipiac [2]	51.0%	3.0%	46.0%	Harris by 5.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-16	2024-09-18 2024-09-18 18:12
2024-09-14 12:00	Quinnipiac w/4P [2]	51.0%	4.0%	45.0%	Harris by 6.0%	2024-09-12 2024-09-16	2024-09-18 2024-09-18 18:08
2024-09-14 00:00	Morning Consult	48.7%	4.6%	46.7%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-09-09 2024-09-18	2024-09-19 2024-09-20 04:15
2024-09-14 00:00	Siena LV w/6P [5]	49.0%	6.0%	45.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-11 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:47
2024-09-14 00:00	Siena LV [5]	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-11 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:44
2024-09-14 00:00	Siena RV wo/Lean w/6P [5]	48.0%	7.0%	45.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-11 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:42
2024-09-14 00:00	Siena RV Total w/6P [5]	48.0%	7.0%	45.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-11 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:40
2024-09-14 00:00	Siena RV [5]	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-11 2024-09-16	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:39
2024-09-13 12:00	ActiVote	51.6%	0.0%	48.4%	Harris by 3.2%	2024-09-01 2024-09-25	2024-09-26 2024-09-26 15:52
2024-09-13 00:00	Suffolk w/4P	48.6%	5.8%	45.6%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-11 2024-09-14	2024-09-16 2024-09-17 16:16
2024-09-10 00:00	FocalData A w/4P [5]	50.2%	2.7%	47.1%	Harris by 3.1%	2024-09-03 2024-09-16	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 05:22
2024-09-10 00:00	FocalData RV w/4P [5]	50.9%	2.5%	46.6%	Harris by 4.3%	2024-09-03 2024-09-16	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 05:21
2024-09-10 00:00	FocalData LV [5]	50.8%	0.0%	49.2%	Harris by 1.6%	2024-09-03 2024-09-16	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 05:18
2024-09-10 00:00	FocalData LV w/Squeeze w/4P [5]	49.9%	2.1%	48.0%	Harris by 1.9%	2024-09-03 2024-09-16	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 05:17
2024-09-10 00:00	FocalData LV w/4P [5]	48.6%	5.4%	46.0%	Harris by 2.6%	2024-09-03 2024-09-16	2024-09-25 2024-09-26 05:14
2024-09-10 00:00	Franklin & Marshall [2]	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-09-04 2024-09-15	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:02
2024-09-10 00:00	Franklin & Marshall w/4P [2]	49.0%	6.0%	45.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-09-04 2024-09-15	2024-09-19 2024-09-19 20:00
2024-09-08 00:00	Redfield & Wilton	45.0%	10.0%	45.0%	TIED	2024-09-06 2024-09-09	2024-09-10 2024-09-11 01:20
2024-09-05 12:00	co/efficient	46.0%	6.0%	48.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-09-04 2024-09-06	2024-09-10 2024-09-11 01:35
2024-09-05 00:00	YouGov	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	TIED	2024-09-03 2024-09-06	2024-09-08 2024-09-08 18:26
2024-09-04 00:00	Morning Consult	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-08-30 2024-09-08	2024-09-09 2024-09-10 06:52
2024-09-02 12:00	Patriot Polling	47.9%	3.1%	49.0%	Trump by 1.1%	2024-09-01 2024-09-03	2024-09-05 2024-09-06 05:39
2024-08-29 12:00	Trafalgar	44.9%	8.1%	47.0%	Trump by 2.1%	2024-08-28 2024-08-30	2024-08-31 2024-08-31 19:38
2024-08-29 00:00	YouGov	46.0%	9.0%	45.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-08-23 2024-09-03	2024-09-05 2024-09-06 06:02
2024-08-28 12:00	Wick [2]	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-08-27 2024-08-29	2024-08-30 2024-08-30 23:28
2024-08-28 12:00	Wick w/4P [2]	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-08-27 2024-08-29	2024-08-30 2024-08-30 23:24
2024-08-27 00:00	Redfield & Wilton w/4P	46.0%	9.0%	45.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-08-25 2024-08-28	2024-08-30 2024-08-30 18:10
2024-08-27 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [2]	49.4%	1.2%	49.4%	TIED	2024-08-25 2024-08-28	2024-08-29 2024-08-29 16:15
2024-08-27 00:00	Emerson [2]	48.3%	3.5%	48.2%	Harris by 0.1%	2024-08-25 2024-08-28	2024-08-29 2024-08-29 16:11
2024-08-26 12:00	SSRS w/4P	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-08-23 2024-08-29	2024-09-04 2024-09-04 21:43
2024-08-25 00:00	Z to A w/3P	46.0%	8.0%	46.0%	TIED	2024-08-23 2024-08-26	2024-09-05 2024-09-05 17:46
2024-08-25 00:00	Morning Consult LV [4]	51.0%	1.0%	48.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-08-23 2024-08-26	2024-08-29 2024-08-30 05:36
2024-08-25 00:00	Morning Consult LV w/4P [4]	51.0%	3.0%	46.0%	Harris by 5.0%	2024-08-23 2024-08-26	2024-08-29 2024-08-30 05:32
2024-08-25 00:00	Morning Consult RV [4]	51.0%	2.0%	47.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-08-23 2024-08-26	2024-08-29 2024-08-30 05:27
2024-08-25 00:00	Morning Consult RV w/4P [4]	51.0%	4.0%	45.0%	Harris by 6.0%	2024-08-23 2024-08-26	2024-08-29 2024-08-30 05:19
2024-08-23 12:00	SoCal LV [2]	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-08-23 2024-08-23	2024-08-26 2024-08-26 15:05
2024-08-23 12:00	SoCal RV [2]	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-08-23 2024-08-23	2024-08-26 2024-08-26 14:57
2024-08-20 12:00	Fabrizio Ward [2]	46.0%	7.0%	47.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-08-19 2024-08-21	2024-08-29 2024-08-29 16:51
2024-08-20 12:00	Fabrizio Ward w/6P [2]	43.0%	14.0%	43.0%	TIED	2024-08-19 2024-08-21	2024-08-29 2024-08-29 16:47
2024-08-19 12:00	YouGov LV w/6P [4]	48.0%	6.0%	46.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-08-15 2024-08-23	2024-09-09 2024-09-10 04:55
2024-08-19 12:00	YouGov All w/6P [4]	43.0%	16.0%	41.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-08-15 2024-08-23	2024-09-09 2024-09-10 04:53
2024-08-19 12:00	YouGov LV [4]	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-08-15 2024-08-23	2024-09-09 2024-09-10 04:51
2024-08-19 12:00	YouGov All [4]	43.0%	14.5%	42.5%	Harris by 0.5%	2024-08-15 2024-08-23	2024-09-09 2024-09-10 04:48
2024-08-19 00:00	InsiderAdvantage	46.0%	7.4%	46.6%	Trump by 0.6%	2024-08-18 2024-08-19	2024-08-20 2024-08-20 01:37
2024-08-17 12:00	Spry w/4P [2]	46.3%	8.7%	45.0%	Harris by 1.3%	2024-08-14 2024-08-20	2024-08-29 2024-08-30 06:22
2024-08-17 12:00	Spry [2]	48.2%	4.6%	47.2%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-08-14 2024-08-20	2024-08-29 2024-08-30 06:19
2024-08-15 12:00	Tarrance	51.0%	4.0%	45.0%	Harris by 6.0%	2024-08-15 2024-08-15	2024-10-08 2024-10-15 02:23
2024-08-15 12:00	Rasmussen w/6P [2]	46.0%	9.0%	45.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-08-13 2024-08-17	2024-08-27 2024-09-04 02:47
2024-08-15 12:00	Rasmussen [2]	46.0%	7.0%	47.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-08-13 2024-08-17	2024-08-27 2024-09-04 02:45
2024-08-15 00:00	Cygnal Definitely w/5P [4]	39.0%	21.0%	40.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-08-14 2024-08-15	2024-08-16 2024-08-17 05:45
2024-08-15 00:00	Cygnal Total w/5P [4]	43.4%	12.3%	44.3%	Trump by 0.9%	2024-08-14 2024-08-15	2024-08-16 2024-08-17 05:39
2024-08-15 00:00	Cygnal Definitely [4]	45.0%	14.0%	41.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-08-14 2024-08-15	2024-08-16 2024-08-17 05:33
2024-08-15 00:00	Cygnal Total [4]	47.8%	5.1%	47.1%	Harris by 0.7%	2024-08-14 2024-08-15	2024-08-16 2024-08-17 05:24
2024-08-14 00:00	ActiVote	51.1%	0.0%	48.9%	Harris by 2.2%	2024-08-05 2024-08-22	2024-08-22 2024-08-23 01:44
2024-08-14 00:00	Redfield & Wilton w/3P	46.0%	10.0%	44.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-08-12 2024-08-15	2024-08-19 2024-08-19 19:24
2024-08-14 00:00	Emerson w/6P [3]	46.8%	5.8%	47.4%	Trump by 0.6%	2024-08-13 2024-08-14	2024-08-16 2024-08-16 17:15
2024-08-14 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [3]	49.3%	0.0%	50.7%	Trump by 1.4%	2024-08-13 2024-08-14	2024-08-16 2024-08-16 17:06
2024-08-14 00:00	Emerson [3]	48.3%	2.6%	49.1%	Trump by 0.8%	2024-08-13 2024-08-14	2024-08-16 2024-08-16 17:02
2024-08-11 12:00	Focaldata LV [4]	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	TIED	2024-08-06 2024-08-16	2024-08-19 2024-08-19 22:12
2024-08-11 12:00	Focaldata AV w/5P [4]	47.0%	6.0%	47.0%	TIED	2024-08-06 2024-08-16	2024-08-19 2024-08-19 22:09
2024-08-11 12:00	Focaldata RV w/5P [4]	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-08-06 2024-08-16	2024-08-19 2024-08-19 22:03
2024-08-11 12:00	Focaldata LV w/5P [4]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-08-06 2024-08-16	2024-08-19 2024-08-19 22:00
2024-08-10 12:00	Quinnipiac [2]	50.0%	3.0%	47.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-08-08 2024-08-12	2024-08-14 2024-08-14 18:39
2024-08-10 12:00	Quinnipiac w/5P [2]	48.0%	7.0%	45.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-08-08 2024-08-12	2024-08-14 2024-08-14 18:34
2024-08-10 00:00	Bullfinch w/5P [2]	45.0%	14.0%	41.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-08-08 2024-08-11	2024-08-12 2024-08-12 18:51
2024-08-10 00:00	Bullfinch [2]	49.0%	6.0%	45.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-08-08 2024-08-11	2024-08-12 2024-08-12 18:44
2024-08-08 00:00	Siena LV w/6P [4]	46.0%	10.0%	44.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-08-06 2024-08-09	2024-08-10 2024-08-10 14:37
2024-08-08 00:00	Siena LV [4]	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-08-06 2024-08-09	2024-08-10 2024-08-10 14:29
2024-08-08 00:00	Siena RV w/6P [4]	45.0%	12.0%	43.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-08-06 2024-08-09	2024-08-10 2024-08-10 14:26
2024-08-08 00:00	Siena RV [4]	49.0%	5.0%	46.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-08-06 2024-08-09	2024-08-10 2024-08-10 14:22
2024-08-07 12:00	Trafalgar	44.0%	10.0%	46.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-08-06 2024-08-08	2024-08-09 2024-08-10 01:55
2024-08-04 12:00	Navigator [3]	46.0%	6.0%	48.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-31 2024-08-08	2024-08-20 2024-08-20 20:35
2024-08-04 12:00	Navigator w/Lean w/6P [3]	44.0%	10.0%	46.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-31 2024-08-08	2024-08-20 2024-08-20 20:34
2024-08-04 12:00	Navigator wo/Lean w/6P [3]	43.0%	12.0%	45.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-31 2024-08-08	2024-08-20 2024-08-20 20:32
2024-08-02 00:00	Redfield & Wilton w/3P	44.0%	10.0%	46.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-31 2024-08-03	2024-08-06 2024-08-06 17:00
2024-08-01 00:00	Franklin & Marshall w/5P	46.0%	11.0%	43.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-07-21 2024-08-11	2024-08-15 2024-08-15 16:14
2024-07-30 12:00	Fabrizio Lee w/3P [2]	45.0%	10.0%	45.0%	TIED	2024-07-28 2024-08-01	2024-08-05 2024-08-05 16:06
2024-07-30 12:00	Fabrizio Lee [2]	48.0%	4.0%	48.0%	TIED	2024-07-28 2024-08-01	2024-08-05 2024-08-05 16:01
2024-07-30 00:00	BSG/GS [2]	49.0%	3.0%	48.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-07-26 2024-08-02	2024-08-14 2024-08-14 12:27
2024-07-30 00:00	BSG/GS w/3P [2]	48.0%	9.0%	43.0%	Harris by 5.0%	2024-07-26 2024-08-02	2024-08-14 2024-08-14 12:25
2024-07-30 00:00	PPP	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-07-29 2024-07-30	2024-07-31 2024-07-31 16:24
2024-07-28 12:00	GQR w/3P	50.0%	4.0%	46.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-07-26 2024-07-30	2024-08-05 2024-08-05 18:22
2024-07-28 00:00	Quantus	46.4%	6.0%	47.6%	Trump by 1.2%	2024-07-27 2024-07-28	2024-07-31 2024-07-31 18:38
2024-07-26 12:00	Public Opinion Strategies	48.0%	7.0%	45.0%	Harris by 3.0%	2024-07-23 2024-07-29	2024-08-01 2024-08-01 15:06
2024-07-26 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	46.0%	4.0%	50.0%	Trump by 4.0%	2024-07-24 2024-07-28	2024-07-30 2024-07-30 21:56
2024-07-26 12:00	Morning Consult w/5P [2]	44.0%	10.0%	46.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-24 2024-07-28	2024-07-30 2024-07-30 21:51
2024-07-25 12:00	Susquehanna w/4P	47.0%	10.0%	43.0%	Harris by 4.0%	2024-07-22 2024-07-28	2024-07-30 2024-07-30 17:16
2024-07-24 12:00	Bullfinch w/5P [3]	44.0%	12.0%	44.0%	TIED	2024-07-23 2024-07-25	2024-07-26 2024-07-26 20:51
2024-07-24 12:00	Bullfinch w/Lean [3]	48.0%	5.0%	47.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-07-23 2024-07-25	2024-07-26 2024-07-26 20:44
2024-07-24 12:00	Bullfinch [3]	47.0%	7.0%	46.0%	Harris by 1.0%	2024-07-23 2024-07-25	2024-07-26 2024-07-26 20:41
2024-07-23 12:00	Beacon/Shaw [2]	49.0%	2.0%	49.0%	TIED	2024-07-22 2024-07-24	2024-07-26 2024-07-27 01:46
2024-07-23 12:00	Beacon/Shaw w/5P [2]	45.0%	12.0%	43.0%	Harris by 2.0%	2024-07-22 2024-07-24	2024-07-26 2024-07-27 01:42
2024-07-23 12:00	Redfield & Wilton w/5P	42.0%	12.0%	46.0%	Trump by 4.0%	2024-07-22 2024-07-24	2024-07-26 2024-07-26 14:42
2024-07-23 00:00	Emerson w/6P [3]	44.3%	9.6%	46.1%	Trump by 1.8%	2024-07-22 2024-07-23	2024-07-25 2024-07-25 14:45
2024-07-23 00:00	Emerson w/Lean [3]	48.9%	0.0%	51.1%	Trump by 2.2%	2024-07-22 2024-07-23	2024-07-25 2024-07-25 14:43
2024-07-23 00:00	Emerson [3]	45.7%	6.6%	47.7%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-22 2024-07-23	2024-07-25 2024-07-25 14:41
2024-07-22 00:00	North Star	45.0%	8.0%	47.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-20 2024-07-23	2024-07-24 2024-07-25 04:41
2024-07-21 00:00	SoCal	46.0%	4.0%	50.0%	Trump by 4.0%	2024-07-20 2024-07-21	2024-07-21 2024-07-25 03:58
2024-07-18 00:00	PPP w/4P	43.0%	12.0%	45.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-17 2024-07-18	2024-07-18 2024-07-19 16:18
2024-07-16 00:00	InsiderAdvantage	40.0%	13.0%	47.0%	Trump by 7.0%	2024-07-15 2024-07-16	2024-07-18 2024-07-19 08:07
2024-07-15 00:00	Civiqs w/3P	44.0%	10.0%	46.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-13 2024-07-16	2024-07-19 2024-07-19 22:42
2024-07-12 00:00	PPP	45.0%	4.0%	51.0%	Trump by 6.0%	2024-07-11 2024-07-12	2024-07-22 2024-07-24 17:50
2024-07-10 12:00	Siena LV w/6P [4]	42.0%	15.0%	43.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-07-09 2024-07-11	2024-07-15 2024-07-15 17:29
2024-07-10 12:00	Siena LV [4]	47.0%	5.0%	48.0%	Trump by 1.0%	2024-07-09 2024-07-11	2024-07-15 2024-07-15 17:28
2024-07-10 12:00	Siena RV w/6P [4]	40.0%	18.0%	42.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-09 2024-07-11	2024-07-15 2024-07-15 17:26
2024-07-10 12:00	Siena RV [4]	46.0%	6.0%	48.0%	Trump by 2.0%	2024-07-09 2024-07-11	2024-07-15 2024-07-15 17:24
2024-05-10 12:00	Morning Consult	43.0%	7.0%	50.0%	Trump by 7.0%	2024-05-08 2024-05-12	2024-05-22 2024-05-23 20:54
2024-02-15 12:00	Emerson	40.0%	11.0%	49.0%	Trump by 9.0%	2024-02-14 2024-02-16	2024-02-20 2024-02-21 02:45
2023-10-28 12:00	Siena LV [2]	44.0%	8.0%	48.0%	Trump by 4.0%	2023-10-22 2023-11-03	2023-11-05 2023-11-05 18:32
2023-10-28 12:00	Siena RV [2]	44.0%	9.0%	47.0%	Trump by 3.0%	2023-10-22 2023-11-03	2023-11-05 2023-11-05 16:54
2020-11-03 12:00	Election2020	50.0%	1.2%	48.8%	DEM by 1.2%	2020-11-03 2020-11-03	2020-11-03 2023-03-17 05:34
2016-11-08 12:00	Election2016	47.5%	4.4%	48.2%	REP by 0.7%	2016-11-08 2016-11-08	2016-11-08 2019-02-20 04:57
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	52.0%	1.4%	46.6%	DEM by 5.4%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:08
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	54.5%	1.3%	44.2%	DEM by 10.3%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-10-05 08:39
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	50.9%	0.7%	48.4%	DEM by 2.5%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:04
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	50.6%	3.0%	46.4%	DEM by 4.2%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:47
1996-11-05 12:00	Election1996	49.2%	10.9%	40.0%	DEM by 9.2%	1996-11-05 1996-11-05	1996-11-05 2014-02-16 19:43
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	45.2%	18.7%	36.1%	DEM by 9.0%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:41
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	48.4%	0.9%	50.7%	REP by 2.3%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:47
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	46.0%	0.7%	53.3%	REP by 7.4%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:55
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	42.5%	7.9%	49.6%	REP by 7.1%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:10

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results,
and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races once they begin.

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2020 data using the methodology in the January 2023 blog post titled "Prepping the Math Stuff for 2024".

For more information, read the FAQ.

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