2024 Electoral College

Biden vs DeSantis - Georgia [16 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2023-12-04 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2023-12-12 02:52 UTC

Leaders:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Biden vs DeSantis National Summary

 

2024 Georgia [16 EV] Poll Average

 

Biden DeSantis
 

 

2024 Georgia [16 EV] Probabilities

 

 

Biden DeSantis
 

 

If the election was now:

 

Biden DeSantis
/td> 

State win probabilities are derived from analyzing how Election Graphs poll averages at similar times before the election have historically deviated from actual election results from 2008 to 2020.

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterBiden<>DeSantisMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2023-12-04 00:00

SSRS

48.0%

7.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2023-11-30
2023-12-07

2023-12-11
2023-12-12 02:52

2023-11-28 12:00

Redfield & Wilton w/3P

36.0%

30.0%

34.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2023-11-27
2023-11-29

2023-12-05
2023-12-06 02:16

2023-10-30 12:00

University of Georgia

43.4%

14.8%

41.8%

Biden
by 1.6%

2023-10-26
2023-11-03

2023-11-08
2023-11-09 01:22

2023-10-28 12:00

Siena LV [2]

44.0%

11.0%

45.0%

DeSantis
by 1.0%

2023-10-22
2023-11-03

2023-11-06
2023-11-07 03:05

2023-10-28 12:00

Siena RV [2]

43.0%

14.0%

43.0%

TIED

2023-10-22
2023-11-03

2023-11-06
2023-11-07 03:03

2023-06-18 12:00

Public Opinion Strategies Definitely [2]

38.0%

21.0%

41.0%

DeSantis
by 3.0%

2023-06-17
2023-06-19

2023-06-20
2023-08-11 06:08

2023-06-18 12:00

Public Opinion Strategies Total [2]

45.0%

7.0%

48.0%

DeSantis
by 3.0%

2023-06-17
2023-06-19

2023-06-20
2023-06-21 06:08

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterBiden<>DeSantisMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2023-05-16 12:00

Public Opinion Strategies

42.0%

13.0%

45.0%

DeSantis
by 3.0%

2023-05-15
2023-05-17

2023-05-19
2023-05-19 16:19

2023-04-26 12:00

Public Opinion Strategies

42.0%

11.0%

47.0%

DeSantis
by 5.0%

2023-04-25
2023-04-27

2023-05-02
2023-05-02 14:42

2022-11-29 12:00

Emerson

43.0%

10.1%

46.9%

DeSantis
by 3.9%

2022-11-28
2022-11-30

2022-12-01
2023-03-24 06:41

2022-11-23 12:00

UMass Lowell

46.0%

7.0%

47.0%

DeSantis
by 1.0%

2022-11-18
2022-11-28

2022-12-05
2023-03-24 07:00

2022-09-04 00:00

Echelon Definitely [2]

38.0%

33.0%

29.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2022-08-31
2022-09-07

2022-09-13
2023-07-27 03:53

2022-09-04 00:00

Echelon Total [2]

47.0%

11.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2022-08-31
2022-09-07

2022-09-13
2023-03-22 02:26

2020-11-03 12:00

Election2020

49.5%

1.2%

49.3%

DEM
by 0.2%

2020-11-03
2020-11-03

2020-11-03
2023-03-15 05:31

2016-11-08 12:00

Election2016

45.6%

3.6%

50.8%

REP
by 5.1%

2016-11-08
2016-11-08

2016-11-08
2019-02-18 06:28

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

45.5%

1.2%

53.3%

REP
by 7.8%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:23

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

47.0%

0.8%

52.2%

REP
by 5.2%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-25 01:14

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

41.4%

0.7%

58.0%

REP
by 16.6%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 05:37

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

43.0%

2.4%

54.7%

REP
by 11.7%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-09 06:00

1996-11-05 12:00

Election1996

45.8%

7.2%

47.0%

REP
by 1.2%

1996-11-05
1996-11-05

1996-11-05
2014-02-16 08:45

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.5%

13.7%

42.9%

DEM
by 0.6%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:18

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

39.5%

0.8%

59.8%

REP
by 20.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 06:27

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

39.8%

0.0%

60.2%

REP
by 20.4%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:27

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

55.8%

3.3%

41.0%

DEM
by 14.8%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:27

 

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and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races once they begin.

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2020 data using the methodology in the January 2023 blog post titled "Prepping the Math Stuff for 2024".

 

For more information, read the FAQ.

 

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