Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
---|
2020-10-18 00:00 | VCU | 51.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-10-13 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-29 18:35 |
2020-10-16 12:00 | WaPo/Schar w/3P | 52.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-10-13 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-22 15:15 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-03 11:35 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-03 11:35 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-13 00:00 | Civiqs | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-10-11 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-15 18:40 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | Cygnal | 51.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-10-09 2020-10-11 | 2020-10-10 2020-10-19 20:58 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-31 19:23 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-06 12:00 | Roanoke w/3P | 53.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-15 16:50 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-26 21:56 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 19:14 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 06:06 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-22 20:47 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-21 22:30 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 21:46 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 08:57 |
2020-09-24 00:00 | Cygnal | 51.5% | 41.4% | Biden by 10.1% | 2020-09-22 2020-09-25 | 2020-10-01 2020-10-19 20:51 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 15:58 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-03 17:40 |
2020-09-15 12:00 | Christopher Newport Enthusiastic [2] | 51.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-09-09 2020-09-21 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-26 23:29 |
2020-09-15 12:00 | Christopher Newport Likely [2] | 48.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-09-09 2020-09-21 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-26 23:27 |
2020-09-02 12:00 | VCU | 53.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-08-28 2020-09-07 | 2020-09-15 2020-09-15 19:29 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 15:55 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 58.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 18.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-26 18:17 |
2020-08-16 00:00 | Roanoke | 53.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-08-09 2020-08-22 | 2020-08-26 2020-08-26 15:21 |
2020-07-22 00:00 | Morning Consult | 52.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-07-17 2020-07-26 | 2020-07-28 2020-07-28 07:13 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 15:52 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-25 15:39 |
2020-07-15 12:00 | VCU | 50.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-07-11 2020-07-19 | 2020-07-30 2020-07-31 00:59 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 57.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 15:50 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 58.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 18.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-24 19:35 |
2020-05-22 00:00 | Morning Consult | 52.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-05-17 2020-05-26 | 2020-07-28 2020-07-29 18:14 |
2020-05-10 12:00 | Roanoke | 51.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-05-03 2020-05-17 | 2020-05-19 2020-05-19 14:07 |
2020-04-01 12:00 | VCU | 51.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-03-25 2020-04-08 | 2020-04-14 2020-04-14 16:12 |
2020-02-27 00:00 | Hampton | 45.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-02-25 2020-02-28 | 2020-03-03 2020-03-03 08:08 |
2020-02-14 00:00 | Roanoke | 48.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-02-09 2020-02-18 | 2020-02-24 2020-02-24 15:21 |
2019-12-14 12:00 | Mason-Dixon | 49.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2019-12-12 2019-12-16 | 2019-12-31 2019-12-31 18:33 |
2019-12-08 00:00 | VCU LV [3] | 49.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2019-12-02 2019-12-13 | 2019-12-20 2019-12-20 18:28 |
2019-12-08 00:00 | VCU RV [3] | 47.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2019-12-02 2019-12-13 | 2019-12-20 2019-12-20 18:26 |
2019-12-08 00:00 | VCU All [3] | 48.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2019-12-02 2019-12-13 | 2019-12-20 2019-12-20 18:23 |
2019-09-29 00:00 | VCU LV [3] | 51.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2019-09-23 2019-10-04 | 2019-10-15 2019-10-15 19:57 |
2019-09-29 00:00 | VCU RV [3] | 52.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2019-09-23 2019-10-04 | 2019-10-15 2019-10-15 19:55 |
2019-09-29 00:00 | VCU All [3] | 52.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2019-09-23 2019-10-04 | 2019-10-15 2019-10-15 19:53 |
2019-09-09 12:00 | UMW (RV) [2] | 55.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 17.0% | 2019-09-03 2019-09-15 | 2019-09-26 2019-09-29 09:40 |
2019-09-09 12:00 | UMW (All) [2] | 55.0% | 37.0% | Biden by 18.0% | 2019-09-03 2019-09-15 | 2019-09-26 2019-09-26 19:04 |
2019-03-22 00:00 | Trump Internal (NBC) | 55.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 17.0% | 2019-03-15 2019-03-28 | 2019-06-16 2019-06-16 17:56 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 49.7% | 44.4% | DEM by 5.3% | 2016-11-08 2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08 2019-02-24 18:22 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 51.2% | 47.3% | DEM by 3.9% | 2012-11-06 2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:16 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 52.6% | 46.3% | DEM by 6.3% | 2008-11-04 2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04 2013-10-06 03:17 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 45.5% | 53.7% | REP by 8.2% | 2004-11-02 2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:15 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 44.4% | 52.5% | REP by 8.0% | 2000-11-07 2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07 2013-11-10 11:10 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 45.2% | 47.1% | REP by 2.0% | 1996-11-06 1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06 2014-02-18 15:48 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 40.6% | 45.0% | REP by 4.4% | 1992-11-03 1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03 2014-03-17 07:04 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 39.2% | 59.7% | REP by 20.5% | 1988-11-08 1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08 2014-05-17 20:06 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 37.1% | 62.3% | REP by 25.2% | 1984-11-06 1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06 2014-05-24 07:41 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 40.3% | 53.0% | REP by 12.7% | 1980-11-04 1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:28 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".