| Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
|---|
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 43.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 11.0% | 2020-10-17
2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01
2020-11-03 16:32 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 45.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-10-17
2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01
2020-11-03 16:32 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 45.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-10-16
2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31
2020-11-03 11:46 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 44.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-10-16
2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31
2020-11-03 11:46 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 45.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30
2020-11-03 11:46 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 44.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30
2020-11-03 11:46 |
2020-10-16 00:00 | Morning Consult | 45.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-10-11
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-22 15:56 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 45.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-30
2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29
2020-11-03 11:46 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 44.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-09-30
2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29
2020-11-03 11:46 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 45.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-29
2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 44.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-09-29
2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-12 12:00 | Siena w/4P | 41.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-10-09
2020-10-15 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-15 18:48 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-27
2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 44.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-09-27
2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24
2020-10-31 19:34 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | Data for Progress w/4P | 43.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 9.0% | 2020-10-08
2020-10-11 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-15 01:40 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-25
2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-25
2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 44.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 9.0% | 2020-09-24
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-24
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | Morning Consult | 42.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 12.0% | 2020-10-02
2020-10-11 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-13 19:02 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 47.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 46.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 46.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 47.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 47.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16
2020-10-28 03:24 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-17
2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-23 19:19 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 47.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-09-17
2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-23 06:11 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-22 20:55 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-21 22:35 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 44.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 9.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-18 21:53 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 46.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-18 08:36 |
2020-09-26 12:00 | GBAO | 44.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-24
2020-09-28 | 2020-10-08
2020-10-09 15:38 |
2020-09-26 00:00 | Data for Progress [2] | 45.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-09-28 | 2020-10-01
2020-10-01 16:05 |
2020-09-26 00:00 | Data for Progress w/4P [2] | 43.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-09-28 | 2020-10-01
2020-10-01 16:03 |
2020-09-25 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 47.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-09-27 | 2020-09-30
2020-09-30 18:26 |
2020-09-24 00:00 | YouGov | 42.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-09-22
2020-09-25 | 2020-09-27
2020-09-27 18:34 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-09-01
2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:58 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-09-01
2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-03 17:53 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | Morning Consult | 44.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-11
2020-09-20 | 2020-09-22
2020-09-22 16:07 |
2020-09-12 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 45.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-10
2020-09-14 | 2020-09-16
2020-09-16 18:55 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 45.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2020-08-01
2020-08-31 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:55 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 47.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-08-01
2020-08-31 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-26 17:54 |
2020-08-01 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 42.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-07-30
2020-08-03 | 2020-08-06
2020-08-06 23:17 |
2020-07-29 00:00 | Morning Consult | 44.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-07-24
2020-08-02 | 2020-08-04
2020-08-05 17:04 |
2020-07-18 00:00 | ALG Research w/Lean [2] | 45.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-07-15
2020-07-20 | 2020-07-27
2020-07-28 06:27 |
2020-07-18 00:00 | ALG Research [2] | 42.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-07-15
2020-07-20 | 2020-07-27
2020-07-28 06:25 |
2020-07-17 12:00 | Gravis | 46.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2020-07-17
2020-07-17 | 2020-07-18
2020-07-18 22:24 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 44.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 9.0% | 2020-07-01
2020-07-31 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:51 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-07-01
2020-07-31 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-25 15:20 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | Brilliant Corners | 43.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-07-13
2020-07-19 | 2020-07-21
2020-07-27 18:41 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 47.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-06-08
2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:47 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 49.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-06-08
2020-06-30 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-24 19:23 |
2020-05-25 00:00 | Civiqs | 42.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-05-23
2020-05-26 | 2020-05-27
2020-05-28 02:14 |
2020-02-27 00:00 | AtlasIntel | 41.8% | 47.6% | Trump
by 5.8% | 2020-02-25
2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28
2020-02-29 03:50 |
2020-02-01 12:00 | ECU | 40.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 12.0% | 2020-01-31
2020-02-02 | 2020-02-06
2020-02-07 20:52 |
2019-06-13 00:00 | Change Research | 38.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 16.0% | 2019-06-11
2019-06-14 | 2019-07-01
2019-07-01 22:51 |
2019-03-01 12:00 | Emerson | 48.1% | 51.9% | Trump
by 3.8% | 2019-02-28
2019-03-02 | 2019-03-02
2019-03-07 03:50 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 40.7% | 54.9% | REP
by 14.3% | 2016-11-08
2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08
2019-02-24 17:33 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 44.1% | 54.6% | REP
by 10.5% | 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:10 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 44.9% | 53.9% | REP
by 9.0% | 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04
2013-10-06 01:46 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 40.9% | 58.0% | REP
by 17.1% | 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:07 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 40.9% | 56.8% | REP
by 15.9% | 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:50 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 43.9% | 49.9% | REP
by 6.0% | 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:39 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 39.9% | 48.0% | REP
by 8.1% | 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:45 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 37.6% | 61.5% | REP
by 23.9% | 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:52 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 35.6% | 63.6% | REP
by 28.0% | 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:59 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 48.0% | 49.6% | REP
by 1.5% | 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:13 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".