Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
---|
2020-10-30 00:00 | Swayable w/4P | 47.1% | 52.3% | Trump by 5.2% | 2020-10-27 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 06:17 |
2020-10-30 00:00 | AtlasIntel | 46.5% | 50.4% | Trump by 3.9% | 2020-10-29 2020-10-30 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-02 23:26 |
2020-10-28 00:00 | Gravis | 47.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-27 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-29 20:48 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-10-20 2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 18:10 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-20 2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 18:10 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | Morning Consult | 46.6% | 49.2% | Trump by 2.6% | 2020-10-22 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-02 11:32 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-19 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 16:21 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 47.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-10-19 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 16:21 |
2020-10-25 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 48.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-10-23 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-29 19:02 |
2020-10-25 00:00 | Wick | 46.5% | 49.4% | Trump by 2.9% | 2020-10-24 2020-10-25 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 09:29 |
2020-10-25 00:00 | Swayable w/4P | 43.6% | 55.3% | Trump by 11.7% | 2020-10-23 2020-10-26 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-30 21:06 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 48.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01 2020-11-03 16:21 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01 2020-11-03 16:21 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31 2020-11-03 11:31 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31 2020-11-03 11:31 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-15 2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30 2020-11-03 11:31 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-10-15 2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30 2020-11-03 11:31 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | Citizen Data w/4P | 43.2% | 44.4% | Trump by 1.2% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-29 18:22 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | Fox News RV w/4P [2] | 44.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-22 05:49 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | Fox News LV w/4P [2] | 45.0% | 48.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-22 05:47 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | Rassmussen w/Lean [2] | 48.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2020-10-18 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-21 15:49 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | Rassmussen [2] | 48.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2020-10-18 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-21 15:47 |
2020-10-16 00:00 | Morning Consult | 47.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-10-11 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-22 15:51 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-03 11:31 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-03 11:31 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 48.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 48.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2020-10-08 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-15 04:09 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 48.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-31 19:16 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | Civiqs | 47.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-10-08 2020-10-11 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-15 19:54 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 48.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | Morning Consult | 46.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-10-02 2020-10-11 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-13 18:38 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 48.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-04 12:00 | Baldwin Wallace w/4P | 45.4% | 47.0% | Trump by 1.6% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-08 | 2020-10-11 2020-10-11 05:20 |
2020-10-04 12:00 | Siena w/4P | 45.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 | 2020-10-07 2020-10-09 14:41 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | Trafalgar w/4P | 43.9% | 47.6% | Trump by 3.7% | 2020-10-01 2020-10-03 | 2020-10-05 2020-10-06 15:44 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-26 21:50 |
2020-10-01 12:00 | YouGov | 47.0% | 47.0% | TIED | 2020-09-30 2020-10-02 | 2020-10-04 2020-10-04 20:42 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 19:12 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 06:05 |
2020-09-30 00:00 | OnMessage w/Lean w/4P [2] | 47.0% | 47.5% | Trump by 0.5% | 2020-09-28 2020-10-01 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-23 21:28 |
2020-09-30 00:00 | OnMessage w/4P [2] | 47.0% | 45.4% | Biden by 1.6% | 2020-09-28 2020-10-01 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-23 21:24 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-22 20:45 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 47.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-21 22:29 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 21:45 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 08:13 |
2020-09-26 00:00 | Hart Research | 47.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-09-27 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-02 22:57 |
2020-09-22 00:00 | Fox News RV w/4P [2] | 49.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-09-23 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-27 08:32 |
2020-09-22 00:00 | Fox News LV w/4P [2] | 50.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-09-23 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-27 08:30 |
2020-09-19 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 48.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-09-21 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-27 05:40 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-04 03:03 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-03 21:09 |
2020-09-15 12:00 | Baldwin Wallace | 44.9% | 44.3% | Biden by 0.6% | 2020-09-08 2020-09-22 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-23 18:48 |
2020-09-13 12:00 | Civiqs | 45.0% | 48.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-09-11 2020-09-15 | 2020-09-18 2020-09-18 22:23 |
2020-09-03 00:00 | Morning Consult | 45.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2020-08-29 2020-09-07 | 2020-09-09 2020-09-09 17:24 |
2020-09-02 00:00 | OnMessage w/Lean [2] | 44.8% | 50.5% | Trump by 5.7% | 2020-08-31 2020-09-03 | 2020-09-22 2020-10-23 21:22 |
2020-09-02 00:00 | OnMessage [2] | 44.1% | 48.3% | Trump by 4.2% | 2020-08-31 2020-09-03 | 2020-09-22 2020-10-23 21:20 |
2020-09-02 00:00 | Rassmussen w/Lean [2] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-02 | 2020-09-08 2020-09-08 15:33 |
2020-09-02 00:00 | Rassmussen [2] | 49.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-02 | 2020-09-08 2020-09-08 15:31 |
2020-08-29 12:00 | ALG Research | 48.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2020-08-26 2020-09-01 | 2020-10-01 2020-10-01 15:38 |
2020-08-26 00:00 | Morning Consult | 45.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2020-08-21 2020-08-30 | 2020-09-01 2020-09-01 16:25 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 48.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-04 02:51 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-26 17:37 |
2020-08-15 12:00 | Civiqs | 47.0% | 47.0% | TIED | 2020-08-13 2020-08-17 | 2020-08-21 2020-08-21 22:01 |
2020-08-12 00:00 | Morning Consult | 45.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-08-07 2020-08-16 | 2020-09-01 2020-09-01 16:23 |
2020-07-31 12:00 | TargetSmart | 47.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2020-07-28 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-21 2020-08-24 17:12 |
2020-07-23 00:00 | YouGov | 45.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2020-07-21 2020-07-24 | 2020-07-26 2020-07-26 18:17 |
2020-07-22 12:00 | Zogby w/4P | 43.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2020-07-21 2020-07-23 | 2020-08-05 2020-08-05 17:35 |
2020-07-22 00:00 | Morning Consult | 45.0% | 48.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2020-07-17 2020-07-26 | 2020-07-28 2020-07-28 07:07 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 46.0% | 52.0% | Trump by 6.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-04 02:48 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-25 07:08 |
2020-07-16 00:00 | Rasmussen w/Lean [2] | 50.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-07-15 2020-07-16 | 2020-07-21 2020-07-22 16:56 |
2020-07-16 00:00 | Rasmussen [2] | 47.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-07-15 2020-07-16 | 2020-07-21 2020-07-22 16:54 |
2020-07-05 00:00 | Bliss Institute | 46.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-06-24 2020-07-15 | 2020-08-03 2020-08-03 16:54 |
2020-06-20 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 46.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2020-06-18 2020-06-22 | 2020-06-24 2020-06-24 18:59 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-04 02:44 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-24 19:14 |
2020-06-01 00:00 | Fox News | 45.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2020-05-30 2020-06-02 | 2020-06-03 2020-06-04 02:52 |
2020-05-22 00:00 | Morning Consult | 42.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 8.0% | 2020-05-17 2020-05-26 | 2020-07-28 2020-07-29 18:08 |
2020-05-09 12:00 | Emerson w/Lean [2] | 48.7% | 51.4% | Trump by 2.7% | 2020-05-08 2020-05-10 | 2020-05-11 2020-05-11 23:11 |
2020-05-09 12:00 | Emerson [2] | 42.5% | 46.1% | Trump by 3.6% | 2020-05-08 2020-05-10 | 2020-05-11 2020-05-11 23:07 |
2020-04-23 00:00 | Baldwin Wallace w/Probably [2] | 44.9% | 44.2% | Biden by 0.7% | 2020-04-20 2020-04-25 | 2020-04-26 2020-04-27 17:15 |
2020-04-23 00:00 | Baldwin Wallace Definitely [2] | 31.1% | 32.2% | Trump by 1.1% | 2020-04-20 2020-04-25 | 2020-04-26 2020-04-27 17:09 |
2020-03-21 12:00 | Baldwin Wallace w/Probably [2] | 42.9% | 47.2% | Trump by 4.3% | 2020-03-17 2020-03-25 | 2020-03-26 2020-03-26 16:34 |
2020-03-21 12:00 | Baldwin Wallace Definitely [2] | 28.7% | 38.6% | Trump by 9.9% | 2020-03-17 2020-03-25 | 2020-03-26 2020-03-26 16:32 |
2020-03-12 00:00 | Marist | 49.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-03-10 2020-03-13 | 2020-03-16 2020-03-16 18:22 |
2019-10-11 00:00 | PPP | 48.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2019-10-10 2019-10-11 | 2019-10-14 2019-10-14 18:20 |
2019-10-04 12:00 | Climate Nexus w/Lean [2] | 53.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 6.0% | 2019-10-01 2019-10-07 | 2019-10-14 2019-10-14 20:13 |
2019-10-04 12:00 | Climate Nexus [2] | 48.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 6.0% | 2019-10-01 2019-10-07 | 2019-10-14 2019-10-14 20:07 |
2019-10-01 00:00 | Emerson | 52.6% | 47.4% | Biden by 5.2% | 2019-09-29 2019-10-02 | 2019-10-03 2019-10-03 16:52 |
2019-07-20 00:00 | Quinnipiac | 50.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2019-07-17 2019-07-22 | 2019-07-25 2019-07-25 19:05 |
2019-03-22 00:00 | Trump Internal (NBC) | 46.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2019-03-15 2019-03-28 | 2019-06-16 2019-06-16 18:16 |
2018-11-28 00:00 | PPP | 48.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2018-11-27 2018-11-28 | 2018-11-29 2019-03-04 06:12 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 43.6% | 51.7% | REP by 8.1% | 2016-11-08 2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08 2019-02-20 04:20 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 50.7% | 47.7% | DEM by 3.0% | 2012-11-06 2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:05 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 51.5% | 46.9% | DEM by 4.6% | 2008-11-04 2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04 2013-10-05 08:33 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 48.7% | 50.8% | REP by 2.1% | 2004-11-02 2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:00 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 46.5% | 50.0% | REP by 3.5% | 2000-11-07 2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:42 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 47.4% | 41.0% | DEM by 6.4% | 1996-11-06 1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06 2014-02-16 18:19 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 40.2% | 38.4% | DEM by 1.8% | 1992-11-03 1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:37 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 44.2% | 55.0% | REP by 10.9% | 1988-11-08 1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:40 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 40.1% | 58.9% | REP by 18.8% | 1984-11-06 1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:49 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 40.9% | 51.5% | REP by 10.6% | 1980-11-04 1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:04 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".