Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
---|
2020-10-27 12:00 | ARG w/3P | 58.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 19.0% | 2020-10-26 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-30 01:44 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 54.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-10-20 2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 18:43 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-10-20 2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 18:43 |
2020-10-26 12:00 | UNH w/3P | 53.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-10-24 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-30 01:41 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 54.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-10-19 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 16:56 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 53.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-10-19 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 16:56 |
2020-10-25 00:00 | Saint Anselm w/3P | 52.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-10-23 2020-10-26 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-30 01:29 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 53.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01 2020-11-03 16:56 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 52.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01 2020-11-03 16:56 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 53.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31 2020-11-03 12:21 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 52.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31 2020-11-03 12:21 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 53.0% | 46.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-10-15 2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30 2020-11-03 12:21 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 53.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-10-15 2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30 2020-11-03 12:21 |
2020-10-21 12:00 | UMass Lowell w/3P | 53.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-26 | 2020-10-29 2020-10-29 18:44 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-03 12:21 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-03 12:21 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-11 00:00 | UNH w/3P | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-10-09 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-14 01:45 |
Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
---|
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | Suffolk w/3P | 51.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-10-08 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-15 04:18 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-31 20:38 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 57.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 58.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 17.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 58.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 17.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-03 00:00 | Saint Anselm | 53.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-10-01 2020-10-04 | 2020-10-08 2020-10-09 15:55 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 57.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 57.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-28 07:08 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 19:40 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 06:27 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | Emerson w/Lean [2] | 53.1% | 45.3% | Biden by 7.8% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-01 | 2020-10-01 2020-10-02 04:19 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | Emerson [2] | 52.3% | 45.2% | Biden by 7.1% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-01 | 2020-10-01 2020-10-02 04:17 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-22 21:19 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-21 23:00 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 54.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 22:11 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 07:15 |
2020-09-27 00:00 | ARG w/3P | 53.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-09-28 | 2020-10-06 2020-10-06 18:17 |
2020-09-26 12:00 | UNH w/Lean w/3P [2] | 53.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-09-28 | 2020-09-30 2020-09-30 19:31 |
2020-09-26 12:00 | UNH w/3P [2] | 53.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-09-28 | 2020-09-30 2020-09-30 19:28 |
2020-09-24 12:00 | Pulse | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-09-25 | 2020-09-30 2020-09-30 03:34 |
2020-09-21 12:00 | UMass Lowell [2] | 53.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-09-25 | 2020-09-29 2020-09-29 20:54 |
2020-09-21 12:00 | UMass Lowell w/4P [2] | 52.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-09-25 | 2020-09-29 2020-09-29 20:53 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 12:30 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-03 21:39 |
2020-09-10 00:00 | Siena w/3P | 45.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2020-09-08 2020-09-11 | 2020-09-12 2020-09-12 20:41 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 60.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 21.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 12:25 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 59.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 20.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-26 17:24 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | Saint Anselm | 51.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-08-15 2020-08-17 | 2020-08-20 2020-08-21 05:50 |
2020-07-22 12:00 | UNH | 53.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-07-16 2020-07-28 | 2020-07-30 2020-07-31 00:54 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 59.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 20.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 12:23 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 60.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 21.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-25 06:54 |
2020-06-20 12:00 | UNH | 52.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-06-18 2020-06-22 | 2020-07-30 2020-07-31 00:52 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 61.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 22.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 12:20 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-06 12:18 |
2020-06-15 00:00 | Saint Anselm | 49.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-06-13 2020-06-16 | 2020-06-18 2020-06-19 11:33 |
2020-05-16 12:00 | UNH | 44.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-05-14 2020-05-18 | 2020-07-30 2020-07-31 00:50 |
2020-04-25 12:00 | Saint Anselm | 50.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-04-23 2020-04-27 | 2020-04-29 2020-04-30 00:16 |
2020-02-22 12:00 | UNH | 44.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2020-02-19 2020-02-25 | 2020-02-27 2020-02-27 21:35 |
2020-02-09 12:00 | AtlasIntel | 43.5% | 45.9% | Trump by 2.4% | 2020-02-08 2020-02-10 | 2020-02-10 2020-02-11 07:39 |
2020-02-06 00:00 | McLaughlin | 45.0% | 49.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2020-02-05 2020-02-06 | 2020-02-07 2020-02-07 22:45 |
2020-01-22 00:00 | Marist | 51.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-01-20 2020-01-23 | 2020-01-26 2020-01-26 18:12 |
2019-11-24 12:00 | Emerson w/ Und [2] | 45.9% | 41.6% | Biden by 4.3% | 2019-11-22 2019-11-26 | 2019-11-27 2019-11-27 06:25 |
2019-11-24 12:00 | Emerson w/o Und [2] | 52.3% | 47.7% | Biden by 4.6% | 2019-11-22 2019-11-26 | 2019-11-27 2019-11-27 06:22 |
2019-11-16 00:00 | Saint Anselm | 51.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2019-11-13 2019-11-18 | 2019-11-19 2019-11-20 01:47 |
2019-09-08 00:00 | Emerson | 54.6% | 45.4% | Biden by 9.2% | 2019-09-06 2019-09-09 | 2019-09-10 2019-09-10 19:12 |
2019-08-04 12:00 | Gravis | 53.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2019-08-02 2019-08-06 | 2019-08-13 2019-08-13 15:43 |
2019-02-22 00:00 | Emerson | 54.8% | 45.2% | Biden by 9.6% | 2019-02-21 2019-02-22 | 2019-02-23 2019-03-06 16:31 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 47.0% | 46.6% | DEM by 0.4% | 2016-11-08 2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08 2019-02-20 03:55 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 52.0% | 46.4% | DEM by 5.6% | 2012-11-06 2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:47 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 54.1% | 44.5% | DEM by 9.6% | 2008-11-04 2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:30 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 50.2% | 48.9% | DEM by 1.4% | 2004-11-02 2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:52 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 46.8% | 48.1% | REP by 1.3% | 2000-11-07 2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:28 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 49.3% | 39.4% | DEM by 10.0% | 1996-11-06 1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06 2014-02-16 16:06 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 38.9% | 37.7% | DEM by 1.2% | 1992-11-03 1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:20 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 36.3% | 62.5% | REP by 26.2% | 1988-11-08 1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:22 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 31.0% | 68.7% | REP by 37.7% | 1984-11-06 1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:35 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 28.4% | 57.7% | REP by 29.4% | 1980-11-04 1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04 2014-10-17 18:54 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".