Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
---|
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-10-20 2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:45 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 56.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-10-20 2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:45 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | Morning Consult | 51.7% | 42.4% | Biden by 9.3% | 2020-10-22 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-02 11:23 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-10-19 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 15:14 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-10-19 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 2020-11-03 15:14 |
2020-10-25 12:00 | SurveyUSA | 47.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-10-23 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-29 00:58 |
2020-10-25 12:00 | Gravis | 53.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-10-24 2020-10-26 | 2020-10-27 2020-10-27 20:37 |
2020-10-25 00:00 | Trafalgar w/Lean w/4P [2] | 48.0% | 44.8% | Biden by 3.2% | 2020-10-24 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-29 17:58 |
2020-10-25 00:00 | Trafalgar w/4P [2] | 45.9% | 43.7% | Biden by 2.2% | 2020-10-24 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-29 17:56 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01 2020-11-03 15:14 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01 2020-11-03 15:14 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31 2020-11-02 13:02 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31 2020-11-02 13:02 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 54.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-10-15 2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30 2020-11-02 13:02 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-10-15 2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30 2020-11-02 13:02 |
2020-10-20 00:00 | St Cloud | 54.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-10-10 2020-10-29 | 2020-11-01 2020-11-01 22:29 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | Civiqs | 53.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-10-17 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-21 18:02 |
2020-10-18 12:00 | SurveyUSA | 48.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 6.0% | 2020-10-16 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-22 18:04 |
2020-10-16 00:00 | Morning Consult | 51.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-10-11 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-22 15:47 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-02 13:02 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-30 2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29 2020-11-02 13:02 |
2020-10-14 00:00 | Change Research w/5P | 49.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-10-12 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-21 01:45 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-29 2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-12 00:00 | David Bidner Research | 52.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-10-10 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-15 15:05 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-27 2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-26 2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24 2020-10-28 22:01 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-25 2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-24 2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-23 2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | Morning Consult | 50.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 6.0% | 2020-10-02 2020-10-11 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-13 18:33 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-20 2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyUSA | 47.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-10-01 2020-10-06 | 2020-10-07 2020-10-09 14:21 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-18 2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16 2020-10-25 21:33 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 18:16 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-17 2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15 2020-10-23 05:30 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 56.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-22 20:09 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14 2020-10-21 21:53 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 20:40 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 11.0% | 2020-09-15 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13 2020-10-18 06:51 |
2020-09-22 12:00 | Mason-Dixon | 48.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 6.0% | 2020-09-21 2020-09-23 | 2020-09-26 2020-09-27 17:19 |
2020-09-22 12:00 | Suffolk w/5P | 46.6% | 40.2% | Biden by 6.4% | 2020-09-20 2020-09-24 | 2020-09-24 2020-09-27 17:15 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 54.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-05 19:49 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-09-01 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-03 22:20 |
2020-09-15 00:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/4P | 51.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-09-12 2020-09-17 | 2020-09-20 2020-09-20 18:15 |
2020-09-11 00:00 | ABC/WaPo RV [2] | 57.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 17.0% | 2020-09-08 2020-09-13 | 2020-09-16 2020-09-16 16:55 |
2020-09-11 00:00 | ABC/WaPo LV [2] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-09-08 2020-09-13 | 2020-09-16 2020-09-16 16:52 |
2020-09-10 12:00 | YouGov | 50.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-09-09 2020-09-11 | 2020-09-13 2020-09-13 18:14 |
2020-09-09 12:00 | Siena w/4P | 50.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-09-08 2020-09-10 | 2020-09-12 2020-09-12 19:53 |
2020-09-09 00:00 | Morning Consult | 48.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-09-04 2020-09-13 | 2020-09-15 2020-09-15 15:43 |
2020-09-06 00:00 | SurveyUSA | 49.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 9.0% | 2020-09-04 2020-09-07 | 2020-09-09 2020-09-09 23:43 |
2020-09-04 00:00 | PPP | 52.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-09-03 2020-09-04 | 2020-09-04 2020-09-04 20:30 |
2020-09-03 00:00 | Morning Consult | 49.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-08-29 2020-09-07 | 2020-09-09 2020-09-09 17:07 |
2020-08-31 12:00 | Harper | 48.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2020-08-30 2020-09-01 | 2020-09-02 2020-09-03 21:34 |
2020-08-26 00:00 | Morning Consult | 50.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-08-21 2020-08-30 | 2020-09-01 2020-09-01 16:20 |
2020-08-17 00:00 | Trafalgar w/3P | 46.9% | 46.5% | Biden by 0.4% | 2020-08-15 2020-08-18 | 2020-08-19 2020-08-20 05:18 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 56.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-05 19:47 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 55.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2020-08-01 2020-08-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-25 18:20 |
2020-08-12 00:00 | Morning Consult | 50.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-08-07 2020-08-16 | 2020-09-01 2020-09-01 16:19 |
2020-08-09 12:00 | Emerson w/Lean [2] | 51.0% | 49.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2020-08-08 2020-08-10 | 2020-08-11 2020-08-11 16:50 |
2020-08-09 12:00 | Emerson [2] | 50.0% | 47.4% | Biden by 2.6% | 2020-08-08 2020-08-10 | 2020-08-11 2020-08-11 16:44 |
2020-07-31 00:00 | David Binder Research | 54.0% | 36.0% | Biden by 18.0% | 2020-07-30 2020-07-31 | 2020-08-06 2020-08-06 22:44 |
2020-07-24 12:00 | Trafalgar | 49.2% | 44.2% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-07-23 2020-07-25 | 2020-07-27 2020-07-27 20:12 |
2020-07-23 00:00 | PPP | 52.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 10.0% | 2020-07-22 2020-07-23 | 2020-07-31 2020-07-31 23:20 |
2020-07-22 00:00 | Morning Consult | 47.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2020-07-17 2020-07-26 | 2020-07-28 2020-07-28 07:02 |
2020-07-19 12:00 | Fox News | 51.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 13.0% | 2020-07-18 2020-07-20 | 2020-07-23 2020-07-23 22:19 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-05 19:42 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2020-07-01 2020-07-31 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-25 06:36 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 57.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 15.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02 2020-10-05 19:39 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 57.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-06-08 2020-06-30 | 2020-09-23 2020-09-24 18:03 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | Gravis Combined [2] | 58.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 16.0% | 2020-06-19 2020-06-19 | 2020-06-20 2020-06-20 20:51 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | Gravis Certain [2] | 54.0% | 37.0% | Biden by 17.0% | 2020-06-19 2020-06-19 | 2020-06-20 2020-06-20 20:50 |
2020-06-01 00:00 | Morning Consult | 48.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2020-05-27 2020-06-05 | 2020-09-15 2020-09-15 15:37 |
2020-05-27 12:00 | Harper | 50.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 8.0% | 2020-05-26 2020-05-28 | 2020-09-02 2020-09-03 21:31 |
2020-05-22 00:00 | Morning Consult | 49.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2020-05-17 2020-05-26 | 2020-07-28 2020-07-29 18:04 |
2020-05-19 12:00 | Mason-Dixon | 49.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 5.0% | 2020-05-18 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-24 2020-05-24 19:05 |
2020-05-12 00:00 | Morning Consult | 55.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 17.0% | 2020-05-07 2020-05-16 | 2020-09-15 2020-09-15 15:35 |
2019-10-15 12:00 | Mason-Dixon | 50.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 12.0% | 2019-10-14 2019-10-16 | 2019-10-21 2019-10-22 05:21 |
2019-03-22 00:00 | Trump Internal (NBC) | 54.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 14.0% | 2019-03-15 2019-03-28 | 2019-06-16 2019-06-16 18:08 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 46.4% | 44.9% | DEM by 1.5% | 2016-11-08 2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08 2019-02-20 03:05 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 52.7% | 45.0% | DEM by 7.7% | 2012-11-06 2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:38 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 54.1% | 43.8% | DEM by 10.2% | 2008-11-04 2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:07 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 51.1% | 47.6% | DEM by 3.5% | 2004-11-02 2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:23 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 47.9% | 45.4% | DEM by 2.5% | 2000-11-07 2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07 2013-11-10 09:54 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 51.1% | 35.0% | DEM by 16.1% | 1996-11-06 1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06 2014-02-16 15:38 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 43.5% | 31.9% | DEM by 11.6% | 1992-11-03 1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03 2014-03-17 03:27 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 52.9% | 45.9% | DEM by 7.0% | 1988-11-08 1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08 2014-05-17 11:09 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 49.7% | 49.5% | DEM by 0.2% | 1984-11-06 1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06 2014-05-22 03:45 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 46.5% | 42.6% | DEM by 3.9% | 1980-11-04 1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04 2014-10-17 18:00 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".