| Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
|---|
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-20
2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03
2020-11-03 17:27 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-10-20
2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03
2020-11-03 17:27 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-19
2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02
2020-11-03 14:26 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-10-19
2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02
2020-11-03 14:26 |
2020-10-25 00:00 | Siena w/3P | 49.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-10-23
2020-10-26 | 2020-10-27
2020-10-27 20:14 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-10-17
2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01
2020-11-03 14:26 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-17
2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01
2020-11-03 14:26 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-10-16
2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31
2020-10-31 22:18 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-16
2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31
2020-10-31 22:18 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-10-15
2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30
2020-10-31 22:18 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30
2020-10-31 22:18 |
2020-10-20 00:00 | BUSR/UNLV w/4P | 50.0% | 41.0% | Biden
by 9.0% | 2020-10-16
2020-10-23 | 2020-10-27
2020-10-27 17:52 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | Civiqs | 52.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 9.0% | 2020-10-17
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-21 17:43 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-09-30
2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29
2020-10-31 22:18 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-09-30
2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29
2020-10-31 22:18 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-09-29
2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-09-29
2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-27
2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 52.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-09-27
2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 52.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24
2020-10-28 20:36 |
2020-10-09 12:00 | WPA Intelligence w/4P | 44.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-07
2020-10-11 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-13 19:27 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 52.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-09-25
2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-25
2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-24
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 52.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-09-24
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | YouGov w/Lean [2] | 52.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-10-06
2020-10-09 | 2020-10-11
2020-10-11 16:49 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | YouGov [2] | 49.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-10-06
2020-10-09 | 2020-10-11
2020-10-11 16:45 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 52.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 53.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 7.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 52.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 53.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 8.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-04 12:00 | Siena w/3P | 48.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-10-02
2020-10-06 | 2020-10-07
2020-10-09 14:46 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 53.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 7.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 53.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 7.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 52.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 9.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16
2020-10-24 18:46 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 52.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-09-17
2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-23 17:46 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 54.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 9.0% | 2020-09-17
2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-23 04:39 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 52.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-22 19:53 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 53.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 8.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-21 21:31 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-18 19:55 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 53.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 8.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-18 07:13 |
2020-09-24 12:00 | Rassmussen | 49.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-09-25 | 2020-09-27
2020-09-27 18:58 |
2020-09-22 00:00 | Fox News RV w/3P [2] | 50.0% | 40.0% | Biden
by 10.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-09-23 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-27 07:44 |
2020-09-22 00:00 | Fox News LV w/3P [2] | 52.0% | 41.0% | Biden
by 11.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-09-23 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-27 07:42 |
2020-09-18 12:00 | ALG Research | 47.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-09-21 | 2020-09-24
2020-09-27 16:45 |
2020-09-18 00:00 | UNLV | 46.0% | 41.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-09-10
2020-09-25 | 2020-09-28
2020-09-28 15:21 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 53.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 8.0% | 2020-09-01
2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:26 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-09-01
2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-03 21:29 |
2020-09-09 12:00 | Siena w/4P | 46.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-09-08
2020-09-10 | 2020-09-12
2020-09-12 20:44 |
2020-08-25 12:00 | UNLV | 44.0% | 39.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-08-20
2020-08-30 | 2020-09-01
2020-09-01 20:09 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 52.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-08-01
2020-08-31 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:22 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-08-01
2020-08-31 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-26 17:21 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 47.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-07-01
2020-07-31 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:19 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 47.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2020-07-01
2020-07-31 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-25 06:52 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-06-08
2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:16 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 51.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-06-08
2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-05 02:13 |
2020-04-29 00:00 | ALG Research | 49.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-04-27
2020-04-30 | 2020-05-06
2020-05-06 16:21 |
2020-02-20 12:00 | AtlasIntel | 43.7% | 40.9% | Biden
by 2.8% | 2020-02-19
2020-02-21 | 2020-02-21
2020-02-22 07:27 |
2020-01-07 00:00 | Fox News | 47.0% | 39.0% | Biden
by 8.0% | 2020-01-05
2020-01-08 | 2020-01-09
2020-01-09 23:57 |
2019-11-12 00:00 | Fox News | 47.0% | 40.0% | Biden
by 7.0% | 2019-11-10
2019-11-13 | 2019-11-14
2019-11-14 23:45 |
2019-11-02 00:00 | Emerson | 49.3% | 50.7% | Trump
by 1.4% | 2019-10-31
2019-11-03 | 2019-11-03
2019-11-04 02:55 |
2019-08-15 12:00 | Gravis | 49.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2019-08-14
2019-08-16 | 2019-08-20
2019-08-20 15:40 |
2019-03-29 12:00 | Emerson | 51.7% | 48.3% | Biden
by 3.4% | 2019-03-28
2019-03-30 | 2019-03-31
2019-03-31 18:07 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 47.9% | 45.5% | DEM
by 2.4% | 2016-11-08
2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08
2019-02-20 03:50 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 52.4% | 45.7% | DEM
by 6.7% | 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:46 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 55.2% | 42.7% | DEM
by 12.5% | 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:26 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 47.9% | 50.5% | REP
by 2.6% | 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:51 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 46.0% | 49.5% | REP
by 3.5% | 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:26 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 43.9% | 42.9% | DEM
by 1.0% | 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06
2014-02-16 16:05 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 37.4% | 34.7% | DEM
by 2.6% | 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:18 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 37.9% | 58.9% | REP
by 20.9% | 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:19 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 32.0% | 65.9% | REP
by 33.9% | 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:30 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 26.9% | 65.5% | REP
by 38.6% | 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:52 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".