2020 Electoral College

Biden vs Trump - Michigan [16 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2020-10-22 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2020-10-23 21:38 UTC

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Biden vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

Biden Trump
 
 

Probabilities

Chances of winning given historical Election Graphs poll average accuracy:

Biden Trump
/td> 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterBidenTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2020-10-22 00:00

PPP

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-21
2020-10-22

2020-10-22
2020-10-22 21:39

2020-10-19 00:00

Fox News RV w/4P [2]

51.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-10-17
2020-10-20

2020-10-21
2020-10-22 05:43

2020-10-19 00:00

Fox News LV w/4P [2]

52.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-10-17
2020-10-20

2020-10-21
2020-10-22 05:40

2020-10-18 12:00

Mitchell Research w/4P

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-18
2020-10-18

2020-10-19
2020-10-19 23:11

2020-10-18 00:00

Change Research

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-16
2020-10-19

2020-10-20
2020-10-21 15:32

2020-10-17 12:00

EPIC-MRA w/Lean [2]

48.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-15
2020-10-19

2020-10-23
2020-10-23 16:30

2020-10-17 12:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

45.0%

36.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-15
2020-10-19

2020-10-23
2020-10-23 16:28

2020-10-17 12:00

Ipsos w/5P [2]

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-14
2020-10-20

2020-10-20
2020-10-21 15:59

2020-10-17 12:00

Ipsos [2]

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-14
2020-10-20

2020-10-20
2020-10-21 15:57

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterBidenTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2020-10-17 00:00

Trafalgar w/4P

44.9%

46.7%

Trump
by 1.8%

2020-10-15
2020-10-18

2020-10-22
2020-10-22 15:10

2020-10-17 00:00

Data for Progress w/4P

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-10-15
2020-10-18

2020-10-21
2020-10-22 05:16

2020-10-16 00:00

Morning Consult

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-11
2020-10-20

2020-10-22
2020-10-22 15:45

2020-10-15 00:00

Zia

45.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2020-10-11
2020-10-18

2020-10-20
2020-10-23 16:26

2020-10-14 00:00

HarrisX

54.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-10-12
2020-10-15

2020-10-16
2020-10-16 23:38

2020-10-13 00:00

Trafalgar w/3P

45.9%

46.5%

Trump
by 0.6%

2020-10-11
2020-10-14

2020-10-16
2020-10-16 15:32

2020-10-11 00:00

RMG w/Strong D Turnout w/4P [3]

51.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-13

2020-10-15
2020-10-15 18:02

2020-10-11 00:00

RMG w/Strong R Turnout w/4P [3]

46.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-13

2020-10-15
2020-10-15 18:00

2020-10-11 00:00

RMG w/4P [3]

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-13

2020-10-15
2020-10-15 17:53

2020-10-10 12:00

EPIC-MRA w/Lean [2]

48.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-12

2020-10-14
2020-10-15 02:48

2020-10-10 12:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

46.0%

38.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-12

2020-10-14
2020-10-15 02:47

2020-10-10 12:00

Ipsos w/5P [2]

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-07
2020-10-13

2020-10-13
2020-10-14 02:25

2020-10-10 12:00

Ipsos [2]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-07
2020-10-13

2020-10-13
2020-10-14 02:22

2020-10-10 00:00

Civiqs

52.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-08
2020-10-11

2020-10-15
2020-10-15 19:58

2020-10-09 00:00

Siena w/4P

48.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-06
2020-10-11

2020-10-12
2020-10-12 17:58

2020-10-08 00:00

YouGov w/Lean [2]

52.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-10-06
2020-10-09

2020-10-11
2020-10-11 16:43

2020-10-08 00:00

YouGov [2]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-06
2020-10-09

2020-10-11
2020-10-11 16:41

2020-10-07 00:00

Morning Consult

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-10-02
2020-10-11

2020-10-13
2020-10-13 17:35

2020-10-07 00:00

Emerson w/Lean [2]

54.2%

43.4%

Biden
by 10.8%

2020-10-06
2020-10-07

2020-10-08
2020-10-09 16:27

2020-10-07 00:00

Emerson [2]

52.4%

42.4%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-10-06
2020-10-07

2020-10-08
2020-10-09 16:24

2020-10-05 12:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-04
2020-10-06

2020-10-09
2020-10-09 19:20

2020-10-05 00:00

Opinion Insight

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-10-03
2020-10-06

2020-10-22
2020-10-23 21:38

2020-10-04 12:00

Baldwin Wallace w/4P

50.2%

43.2%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-08

2020-10-11
2020-10-11 05:15

2020-10-03 12:00

Change Research

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-10-02
2020-10-04

2020-10-06
2020-10-07 17:43

2020-10-03 00:00

Ipsos

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-29
2020-10-06

2020-10-06
2020-10-08 03:58

2020-10-02 00:00

Glengariff

48.0%

39.2%

Biden
by 8.8%

2020-09-30
2020-10-03

2020-10-05
2020-10-06 13:13

2020-10-01 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

52.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-17
2020-10-14

2020-10-15
2020-10-23 19:03

2020-10-01 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

52.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-17
2020-10-14

2020-10-15
2020-10-23 05:59

2020-10-01 00:00

PPP w/4P

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-30
2020-10-01

2020-10-02
2020-10-02 23:01

2020-09-29 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

52.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-13

2020-10-14
2020-10-22 20:40

2020-09-29 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

52.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-13

2020-10-14
2020-10-21 22:23

2020-09-29 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [56]

51.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-12

2020-10-13
2020-10-18 21:37

2020-09-29 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [56]

51.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-15
2020-10-12

2020-10-13
2020-10-18 06:49

2020-09-27 12:00

Trafalgar w/4P

48.7%

47.1%

Biden
by 1.6%

2020-09-26
2020-09-28

2020-09-30
2020-09-30 16:00

2020-09-25 00:00

Redfield and Wilton w/4P

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-23
2020-09-26

2020-10-02
2020-10-02 22:14

2020-09-21 12:00

Marist LV [2]

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-19
2020-09-23

2020-09-27
2020-09-27 17:43

2020-09-21 12:00

Marist RV [2]

52.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-19
2020-09-23

2020-09-27
2020-09-27 17:26

2020-09-21 12:00

Trafalgar w/4P

46.0%

46.7%

Trump
by 0.7%

2020-09-20
2020-09-22

2020-09-23
2020-09-27 07:37

2020-09-20 12:00

ALG Research

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-17
2020-09-23

2020-09-30
2020-10-01 02:34

2020-09-19 12:00

Change Research

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-18
2020-09-20

2020-09-23
2020-09-23 16:59

2020-09-18 12:00

Hart Research

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-17
2020-09-19

2020-09-24
2020-09-27 16:20

2020-09-17 00:00

Data for Progress w/Lean [2]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-14
2020-09-19

2020-09-23
2020-09-26 23:20

2020-09-17 00:00

Data for Progress w/4P [2]

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-14
2020-09-19

2020-09-23
2020-09-26 23:18

2020-09-17 00:00

MRG w/Lean [2]

46.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-14
2020-09-19

2020-09-22
2020-09-22 16:03

2020-09-17 00:00

MRG [2]

45.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-14
2020-09-19

2020-09-22
2020-09-22 16:02

2020-09-16 00:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-30

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:11

2020-09-16 00:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-30

2020-10-02
2020-10-03 22:22

2020-09-16 00:00

YouGov LV [2]

51.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-10
2020-09-21

2020-09-23
2020-09-26 23:35

2020-09-16 00:00

YouGov RV [2]

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-10
2020-09-21

2020-09-23
2020-09-26 23:32

2020-09-15 12:00

Baldwin Wallace

49.9%

41.9%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-08
2020-09-22

2020-09-23
2020-09-23 18:45

2020-09-14 00:00

Ipsos

49.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-11
2020-09-16

2020-09-22
2020-09-22 20:09

2020-09-13 12:00

Civiqs

53.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-09-11
2020-09-15

2020-09-18
2020-09-18 22:20

2020-09-13 12:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

49.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-09-12
2020-09-14

2020-09-18
2020-09-18 18:20

2020-09-13 00:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

48.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-10
2020-09-15

2020-09-18
2020-09-18 22:12

2020-09-13 00:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

46.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-09-10
2020-09-15

2020-09-18
2020-09-18 22:10

2020-09-05 12:00

Change Research

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-09-04
2020-09-06

2020-09-09
2020-09-09 16:23

2020-09-03 00:00

Benenson

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-08-28
2020-09-08

2020-09-10
2020-09-10 16:38

2020-09-03 00:00

Rassmussen w/Lean [2]

53.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-09-02
2020-09-03

2020-09-09
2020-09-10 15:46

2020-09-03 00:00

Rassmussen [2]

51.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-09-02
2020-09-03

2020-09-09
2020-09-10 15:44

2020-09-03 00:00

Morning Consult

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-29
2020-09-07

2020-09-09
2020-09-09 17:05

2020-09-02 12:00

Glengariff

47.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-09-01
2020-09-03

2020-09-08
2020-09-08 23:17

2020-09-01 12:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

51.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-08-30
2020-09-03

2020-09-08
2020-09-08 19:57

2020-09-01 00:00

Opinion Insight Total w/3P [2]

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-30
2020-09-02

2020-09-22
2020-10-23 21:16

2020-09-01 00:00

Opinion Insight Definitely w/3P [2]

45.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-08-30
2020-09-02

2020-09-22
2020-10-23 21:14

2020-08-29 00:00

PPP w/4P

48.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-08-28
2020-08-29

2020-09-01
2020-09-01 19:54

2020-08-26 00:00

Morning Consult

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-08-21
2020-08-30

2020-09-01
2020-09-01 15:52

2020-08-22 12:00

Trafalgar Post Dem Conv [3]

45.6%

46.5%

Trump
by 0.9%

2020-08-21
2020-08-23

2020-08-28
2020-08-28 17:35

2020-08-22 12:00

Change Research

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-21
2020-08-23

2020-08-26
2020-08-26 15:51

2020-08-19 00:00

Trafalgar Full w/3P [3]

45.2%

46.6%

Trump
by 1.4%

2020-08-14
2020-08-23

2020-08-28
2020-08-28 17:32

2020-08-17 12:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

50.0%

38.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-08-16
2020-08-18

2020-08-21
2020-08-21 23:29

2020-08-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

49.0%

48.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-08-01
2020-08-31

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:08

2020-08-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

49.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-08-01
2020-08-31

2020-09-23
2020-09-25 18:17

2020-08-15 12:00

Trafalgar Pre Dem Conv [3]

44.2%

46.9%

Trump
by 2.7%

2020-08-14
2020-08-16

2020-08-28
2020-08-28 17:29

2020-08-15 12:00

Civiqs

49.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-08-13
2020-08-17

2020-08-21
2020-08-21 21:58

2020-08-13 12:00

Hodas Total [2]

51.5%

40.2%

Biden
by 11.3%

2020-08-11
2020-08-15

2020-09-04
2020-09-04 21:58

2020-08-13 12:00

Hodas Definitely [2]

43.8%

36.5%

Biden
by 7.3%

2020-08-11
2020-08-15

2020-09-04
2020-09-04 21:51

2020-08-12 00:00

Morning Consult

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-08-07
2020-08-16

2020-09-01
2020-09-01 15:50

2020-08-08 12:00

Change Research

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-08-07
2020-08-09

2020-08-12
2020-08-12 18:31

2020-08-02 00:00

GQR Research

52.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-30
2020-08-04

2020-08-18
2020-08-18 19:38

2020-08-01 12:00

YouGov LV [2]

50.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-07-27
2020-08-06

2020-08-10
2020-08-10 15:39

2020-08-01 12:00

YouGov RV [2]

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-07-27
2020-08-06

2020-08-10
2020-08-10 14:37

2020-07-31 00:00

David Binder Research

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-30
2020-07-31

2020-08-06
2020-08-06 22:42

2020-07-29 00:00

PPP

49.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-07-28
2020-07-29

2020-08-03
2020-08-03 23:41

2020-07-28 00:00

EPIC-MRA w/Lean w/3P [2]

51.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-07-25
2020-07-30

2020-08-07
2020-08-07 20:33

2020-07-28 00:00

EPIC-MRA w/3P [2]

48.0%

37.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-07-25
2020-07-30

2020-08-07
2020-08-07 20:31

2020-07-25 12:00

Change Research

46.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-07-24
2020-07-26

2020-07-29
2020-07-29 18:27

2020-07-23 00:00

YouGov

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-07-21
2020-07-24

2020-07-26
2020-07-26 18:13

2020-07-22 12:00

Gravis

51.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-22
2020-07-22

2020-07-24
2020-07-24 21:49

2020-07-22 00:00

Redfield & Wilton w/5P

49.0%

37.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-07-19
2020-07-24

2020-07-30
2020-07-31 06:31

2020-07-22 00:00

Morning Consult

52.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2020-07-17
2020-07-26

2020-07-28
2020-07-28 06:59

2020-07-21 12:00

CNN/SSRS

52.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-07-18
2020-07-24

2020-07-26
2020-07-26 18:09

2020-07-19 12:00

Fox News

49.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 9.0%

2020-07-18
2020-07-20

2020-07-23
2020-07-23 22:16

2020-07-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

49.0%

48.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2020-07-01
2020-07-31

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:05

2020-07-16 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

50.0%

47.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-07-01
2020-07-31

2020-09-23
2020-09-25 06:34

2020-07-15 00:00

Hodas Total [2]

51.3%

40.3%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-07-13
2020-07-16

2020-08-05
2020-08-05 17:13

2020-07-15 00:00

Hodas Definitely [2]

44.7%

38.5%

Biden
by 6.2%

2020-07-13
2020-07-16

2020-08-05
2020-08-05 17:10

2020-07-14 00:00

Spry

45.4%

49.6%

Trump
by 4.2%

2020-07-11
2020-07-16

2020-07-22
2020-07-23 19:24

2020-07-11 12:00

Change Research

48.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-07-10
2020-07-12

2020-07-15
2020-07-15 17:37

2020-07-10 00:00

PPP

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-07-09
2020-07-10

2020-07-18
2020-07-18 22:21

2020-06-27 12:00

Change Research

48.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-26
2020-06-28

2020-07-01
2020-07-01 18:11

2020-06-27 00:00

PPP

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-06-26
2020-06-27

2020-07-01
2020-07-02 01:37

2020-06-19 12:00

SurveyMonkey LV [2]

51.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 5.0%

2020-06-08
2020-06-30

2020-10-02
2020-10-05 03:01

2020-06-19 12:00

SurveyMonkey RV [2]

52.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-06-08
2020-06-30

2020-09-23
2020-09-24 16:42

2020-06-19 00:00

Hodas Total [2]

54.3%

36.8%

Biden
by 17.5%

2020-06-17
2020-06-20

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 16:00

2020-06-19 00:00

Hodas Definitely [2]

46.7%

33.8%

Biden
by 12.8%

2020-06-17
2020-06-20

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 15:58

2020-06-17 12:00

Trafalgar

46.2%

45.3%

Biden
by 0.9%

2020-06-16
2020-06-18

2020-06-22
2020-06-23 05:31

2020-06-15 12:00

Redfield & Wilton w/4P

47.0%

36.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-06-14
2020-06-16

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 16:19

2020-06-14 00:00

TargetPoint

49.0%

33.0%

Biden
by 16.0%

2020-06-11
2020-06-16

2020-07-30
2020-07-30 06:47

2020-06-13 12:00

Change Research

47.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-06-12
2020-06-14

2020-06-17
2020-06-18 04:12

2020-06-13 00:00

Siena

47.0%

36.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2020-06-08
2020-06-17

2020-06-25
2020-06-25 15:37

2020-06-11 00:00

TIPP LV [2]

51.0%

38.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-06-09
2020-06-12

2020-06-16
2020-06-16 15:34

2020-06-11 00:00

TIPP RV [2]

50.0%

37.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2020-06-09
2020-06-12

2020-06-16
2020-06-16 15:32

2020-06-04 00:00

Kiaer

50.0%

35.0%

Biden
by 15.0%

2020-05-31
2020-06-07

2020-06-09
2020-06-10 03:41

2020-06-02 12:00

EPIC-MRA

55.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 16.0%

2020-05-31
2020-06-04

2020-06-16
2020-06-16 15:24

2020-06-01 12:00

EPIC-MRA

53.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 12.0%

2020-05-30
2020-06-03

2020-06-07
2020-06-07 17:33

2020-05-30 12:00

Change Research

48.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2020-05-29
2020-05-31

2020-06-03
2020-06-03 18:23

2020-05-30 00:00

PPP

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-29
2020-05-30

2020-06-01
2020-06-02 06:04

2020-05-22 00:00

Morning Consult

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-05-17
2020-05-26

2020-07-28
2020-07-29 18:01

2020-05-19 00:00

PPP

51.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-05-18
2020-05-19

2020-05-20
2020-05-22 00:30

2020-05-14 12:00

Change Research w/3P [2]

47.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-05-11
2020-05-17

2020-05-21
2020-05-22 00:25

2020-05-14 12:00

Change Research [2]

49.0%

46.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-05-11
2020-05-17

2020-05-21
2020-05-22 00:22

2020-05-12 12:00

Redfield & Wilton

47.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-05-10
2020-05-14

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:56

2020-05-03 12:00

Restoration PAC w/Lean [3]

51.8%

42.2%

Biden
by 9.6%

2020-05-01
2020-05-05

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:22

2020-05-03 12:00

Restoration PAC w/Probably [3]

50.3%

41.5%

Biden
by 8.8%

2020-05-01
2020-05-05

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:20

2020-05-03 12:00

Restoration PAC Definitely [3]

41.2%

39.5%

Biden
by 1.7%

2020-05-01
2020-05-05

2020-05-21
2020-05-21 23:15

2020-04-29 00:00

PPP

50.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-04-28
2020-04-29

2020-04-30
2020-04-30 20:32

2020-04-21 00:00

PPP

51.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-04-20
2020-04-21

2020-04-23
2020-04-23 19:45

2020-04-20 00:00

Fox News

49.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-04-18
2020-04-21

2020-04-22
2020-04-22 23:01

2020-04-18 00:00

Ipsos

46.0%

38.0%

Biden
by 8.0%

2020-04-15
2020-04-20

2020-04-22
2020-04-22 23:34

2020-04-10 12:00

Restoration PAC

49.3%

43.2%

Biden
by 6.1%

2020-04-09
2020-04-11

2020-04-24
2020-04-24 15:57

2020-04-07 12:00

Hart Research w/Leans [2]

50.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-04-06
2020-04-08

2020-04-13
2020-04-13 19:08

2020-04-07 12:00

Hart Research wo/Leans [2]

49.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-04-06
2020-04-08

2020-04-13
2020-04-13 19:06

2020-04-01 00:00

PPP

48.0%

45.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-03-31
2020-04-01

2020-04-02
2020-04-02 22:37

2020-03-31 12:00

Spry

45.8%

46.1%

Trump
by 0.3%

2020-03-30
2020-04-01

2020-04-03
2020-04-04 18:26

2020-03-21 12:00

Baldwin Wallace w/Probably [2]

47.3%

42.2%

Biden
by 5.1%

2020-03-17
2020-03-25

2020-03-26
2020-03-26 16:29

2020-03-21 12:00

Baldwin Wallace Definitely [2]

31.7%

33.1%

Trump
by 1.4%

2020-03-17
2020-03-25

2020-03-26
2020-03-26 16:23

2020-03-18 12:00

MRG w/Lean [2]

44.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-03-16
2020-03-20

2020-03-25
2020-03-26 16:13

2020-03-18 12:00

MRG [2]

42.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2020-03-16
2020-03-20

2020-03-25
2020-03-26 16:10

2020-03-14 12:00

Restoration PAC

50.2%

43.7%

Biden
by 6.5%

2020-03-12
2020-03-16

2020-03-27
2020-03-27 18:08

2020-03-08 12:00

AtlasIntel

44.1%

45.5%

Trump
by 1.4%

2020-03-07
2020-03-09

2020-03-09
2020-03-10 16:13

2020-03-07 12:00

YouGov

45.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-03-06
2020-03-08

2020-03-09
2020-03-09 19:30

2020-03-07 00:00

Monmouth

48.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 7.0%

2020-03-05
2020-03-08

2020-03-09
2020-03-09 17:30

2020-03-06 12:00

Firehouse

44.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2020-03-05
2020-03-07

2020-03-08
2020-03-09 15:11

2020-03-05 12:00

OurProgress

50.6%

46.1%

Biden
by 4.5%

2020-03-03
2020-03-07

2020-03-09
2020-04-29 19:35

2020-02-16 00:00

YouGov

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-02-11
2020-02-20

2020-02-23
2020-02-23 15:42

2020-02-15 12:00

Quinnipiac

47.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 4.0%

2020-02-12
2020-02-18

2020-02-20
2020-02-20 18:22

2020-02-12 12:00

Expedition

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2020-02-06
2020-02-18

2020-02-24
2020-03-07 15:49

2020-01-11 00:00

EPIC-MRA

50.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 6.0%

2020-01-09
2020-01-12

2020-01-15
2020-01-15 15:46

2020-01-05 12:00

Glengariff

50.1%

43.2%

Biden
by 6.9%

2020-01-03
2020-01-07

2020-01-08
2020-01-09 06:03

2019-12-04 12:00

Firehouse

41.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 5.0%

2019-12-03
2019-12-05

2019-12-08
2019-12-09 19:59

2019-11-03 12:00

Civiqs

46.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 2.0%

2019-11-03
2019-11-03

2019-11-05
2019-11-06 01:35

2019-11-02 00:00

Emerson

55.8%

44.2%

Biden
by 11.6%

2019-10-31
2019-11-03

2019-11-03
2019-11-04 02:42

2019-10-19 12:00

NYT/Sienna LV [2]

45.0%

44.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2019-10-13
2019-10-25

2019-11-04
2019-11-04 20:00

2019-10-19 12:00

NYT/Sienna RV [2]

44.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2019-10-13
2019-10-25

2019-11-04
2019-11-04 19:56

2019-09-25 12:00

Target Insyght

54.0%

35.0%

Biden
by 19.0%

2019-09-24
2019-09-26

2019-10-01
2019-10-01 05:15

2019-09-08 12:00

Firehouse

42.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 1.0%

2019-09-07
2019-09-09

2019-09-12
2019-09-13 05:52

2019-08-19 12:00

EPIC-MRA

51.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 10.0%

2019-08-17
2019-08-21

2019-08-28
2019-08-28 15:48

2019-07-16 00:00

Climate Nexus

49.0%

36.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2019-07-14
2019-07-17

2019-07-29
2019-07-29 14:50

2019-06-12 12:00

Firehouse

46.0%

43.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2019-06-11
2019-06-13

2019-06-16
2019-06-19 21:45

2019-06-10 12:00

EPIC-MRA

52.0%

41.0%

Biden
by 11.0%

2019-06-08
2019-06-12

2019-06-14
2019-06-14 19:16

2019-05-29 12:00

Glengariff w/3P [2]

45.2%

38.5%

Biden
by 6.7%

2019-05-28
2019-05-30

2019-06-02
2019-06-05 14:08

2019-05-29 12:00

Glengariff [2]

53.3%

41.4%

Biden
by 11.9%

2019-05-28
2019-05-30

2019-06-02
2019-06-05 14:06

2019-04-29 00:00

WPA Intelligence

45.0%

42.0%

Biden
by 3.0%

2019-04-27
2019-04-30

2019-05-11
2019-05-12 07:45

2019-03-22 00:00

Trump Internal (NBC)

53.0%

40.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2019-03-15
2019-03-28

2019-06-16
2019-06-16 18:09

2019-03-20 12:00

Firehouse

45.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2019-03-19
2019-03-21

2019-03-23
2019-03-27 02:48

2019-03-09 00:00

Emerson w/3P [2]

51.8%

44.3%

Biden
by 7.5%

2019-03-07
2019-03-10

2019-03-10
2019-03-10 20:36

2019-03-09 00:00

Emerson [2]

53.7%

46.3%

Biden
by 7.4%

2019-03-07
2019-03-10

2019-03-10
2019-03-10 20:34

2019-01-25 12:00

Glengariff

53.3%

40.3%

Biden
by 13.0%

2019-01-24
2019-01-26

2019-01-27
2019-03-05 04:51

2018-04-29 12:00

EPIC-MRA w/Lean [2]

52.0%

39.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2018-04-28
2018-04-30

2018-05-01
2019-03-04 05:42

2018-04-29 12:00

EPIC-MRA [2]

49.0%

36.0%

Biden
by 13.0%

2018-04-28
2018-04-30

2018-05-01
2019-03-04 05:40

2016-11-08 12:00

Election2016

47.3%

47.5%

REP
by 0.2%

2016-11-08
2016-11-08

2016-11-08
2019-02-20 03:01

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

54.2%

44.7%

DEM
by 9.5%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:37

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

57.4%

41.0%

DEM
by 16.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:06

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

51.2%

47.8%

DEM
by 3.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:21

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

51.3%

46.2%

DEM
by 5.1%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:53

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

51.7%

38.5%

DEM
by 13.2%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:35

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.8%

36.4%

DEM
by 7.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 03:25

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

45.7%

53.6%

REP
by 7.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 10:27

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

40.2%

59.2%

REP
by 19.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 03:42

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

42.5%

49.0%

REP
by 6.5%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:58

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2020 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2020 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email feedback@electiongraphs.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".

 

Analysis for the 2008, 2012, and 2016 election cycles can be found here.

 

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