| Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
|---|
2020-10-30 00:00 | Data for Progress w/4P | 47.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-10-27
2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02
2020-11-03 05:28 |
2020-10-28 00:00 | Selzer | 41.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-10-26
2020-10-29 | 2020-10-31
2020-11-01 00:23 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-10-20
2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03
2020-11-03 17:49 |
2020-10-27 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 48.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-10-20
2020-11-02 | 2020-11-03
2020-11-03 17:49 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-10-19
2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02
2020-11-03 15:36 |
2020-10-26 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-10-19
2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02
2020-11-03 15:36 |
2020-10-25 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 46.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-10-23
2020-10-27 | 2020-10-29
2020-10-29 19:00 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-10-17
2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01
2020-11-03 15:36 |
2020-10-24 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-17
2020-10-31 | 2020-11-01
2020-11-03 15:36 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-16
2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31
2020-11-02 13:13 |
2020-10-23 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-10-16
2020-10-30 | 2020-10-31
2020-11-02 13:13 |
2020-10-23 00:00 | RABA | 50.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-10-21
2020-10-24 | 2020-10-27
2020-10-27 21:29 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [28] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30
2020-11-02 13:13 |
2020-10-22 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [28] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-29 | 2020-10-30
2020-11-02 13:13 |
2020-10-20 12:00 | Emerson w/Lean [2] | 48.1% | 48.0% | Biden
by 0.1% | 2020-10-19
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-21 20:23 |
2020-10-20 12:00 | Emerson [2] | 45.7% | 47.5% | Trump
by 1.8% | 2020-10-19
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-21 20:21 |
2020-10-19 12:00 | Siena w/4P | 46.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-10-18
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-21 19:00 |
2020-10-19 00:00 | InsiderAdvantage w/3P | 45.1% | 44.6% | Biden
by 0.5% | 2020-10-18
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20
2020-10-21 15:43 |
2020-10-18 12:00 | RMG w/Strong D Turnout [3] | 49.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-23 00:26 |
2020-10-18 12:00 | RMG w/Strong R Turnout [3] | 46.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-23 00:24 |
2020-10-18 12:00 | RMG [3] | 47.0% | 47.0% | TIED | 2020-10-15
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-23 00:23 |
2020-10-17 12:00 | Monmouth Low Turnout [3] | 51.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-21 16:30 |
2020-10-17 12:00 | Monmouth High Turnout [3] | 50.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-21 16:27 |
2020-10-17 12:00 | Monmouth RV w/4P [3] | 47.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-10-15
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-21 16:25 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-09-30
2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29
2020-11-02 13:13 |
2020-10-14 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-09-30
2020-10-28 | 2020-10-29
2020-11-02 13:13 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-09-29
2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-13 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-29
2020-10-27 | 2020-10-28
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-12 00:00 | David Binder Research | 44.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-10-10
2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-15 05:01 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-09-27
2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-11 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-27
2020-10-25 | 2020-10-26
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 50.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-10 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-26
2020-10-24 | 2020-10-25
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-09-26
2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-26
2020-10-23 | 2020-10-24
2020-10-29 04:40 |
2020-10-10 00:00 | Data for Progress w/3P | 47.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-10-08
2020-10-11 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-15 16:46 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-25
2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-09 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-25
2020-10-22 | 2020-10-23
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-24
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-09-24
2020-10-21 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | YouGov w/Lean [2] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-10-06
2020-10-09 | 2020-10-11
2020-10-11 16:53 |
2020-10-08 00:00 | YouGov [2] | 46.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-10-06
2020-10-09 | 2020-10-11
2020-10-11 16:51 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-23
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-10-20 | 2020-10-21
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-07 00:00 | Opinion Insight w/3P | 47.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-10-05
2020-10-08 | 2020-10-22
2020-10-23 21:41 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-21
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-05 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-21
2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 51.0% | 48.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-21
2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-21
2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-05 00:00 | Civiqs | 48.0% | 47.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-10-03
2020-10-06 | 2020-10-07
2020-10-09 14:49 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-04 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-09-20
2020-10-17 | 2020-10-18
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-03 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 50.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2020-10-01
2020-10-05 | 2020-10-07
2020-10-08 23:35 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-02 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-02 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 50.0% | 49.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-10-15 | 2020-10-16
2020-10-25 22:33 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-17
2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-23 18:34 |
2020-10-01 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-09-17
2020-10-14 | 2020-10-15
2020-10-23 05:37 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-15
2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-22 20:17 |
2020-09-29 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-13 | 2020-10-14
2020-10-21 21:59 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [56] | 49.0% | 49.0% | TIED | 2020-09-15
2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-18 20:51 |
2020-09-29 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [56] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-09-15
2020-10-12 | 2020-10-13
2020-10-18 05:58 |
2020-09-26 00:00 | Hart Research | 47.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-09-24
2020-09-27 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-02 22:52 |
2020-09-26 00:00 | Data for Progress [2] | 45.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-09-28 | 2020-10-01
2020-10-01 15:57 |
2020-09-26 00:00 | Data for Progress w/4P [2] | 44.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-09-28 | 2020-10-01
2020-10-01 15:56 |
2020-09-25 00:00 | RABA Research | 48.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2020-09-23
2020-09-26 | 2020-09-30
2020-09-30 21:28 |
2020-09-20 12:00 | Monmouth Low Turnout w/4P [3] | 46.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-09-22 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-27 05:55 |
2020-09-20 12:00 | Monmouth High Turnout w/4P [3] | 46.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-09-22 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-27 05:51 |
2020-09-20 12:00 | Monmouth RV w/4P [3] | 44.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-18
2020-09-22 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-27 05:48 |
2020-09-19 12:00 | Siena w/4P | 45.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2020-09-16
2020-09-22 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-27 05:11 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 46.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-01
2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-04 03:36 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 46.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-09-01
2020-09-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-03 22:52 |
2020-09-16 00:00 | Selzer | 47.0% | 47.0% | TIED | 2020-09-14
2020-09-17 | 2020-09-22
2020-09-22 15:53 |
2020-09-02 12:00 | Fabrizio Ward Hart | 45.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-08-30
2020-09-05 | 2020-09-10
2020-09-10 16:08 |
2020-09-01 00:00 | Opinion Insight Total w/4P [2] | 43.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-08-30
2020-09-02 | 2020-09-22
2020-10-23 21:10 |
2020-09-01 00:00 | Opinion Insight Definitely w/3P [2] | 37.0% | 44.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-08-30
2020-09-02 | 2020-09-22
2020-10-23 20:58 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 46.0% | 53.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2020-08-01
2020-08-31 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-04 03:33 |
2020-08-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 46.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-08-01
2020-08-31 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-25 18:02 |
2020-08-01 12:00 | Monmouth Low Turnout [3] | 47.0% | 47.0% | TIED | 2020-07-30
2020-08-03 | 2020-08-05
2020-08-05 19:16 |
2020-08-01 12:00 | Monmouth High Turnout [3] | 46.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-07-30
2020-08-03 | 2020-08-05
2020-08-05 19:15 |
2020-08-01 12:00 | Monmouth RV [3] | 45.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-07-30
2020-08-03 | 2020-08-05
2020-08-05 19:10 |
2020-07-31 00:00 | David Binder Research | 49.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 6.0% | 2020-07-30
2020-07-31 | 2020-08-06
2020-08-06 22:39 |
2020-07-29 00:00 | Data for Progress [2] | 45.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-07-24
2020-08-02 | 2020-08-06
2020-08-06 22:56 |
2020-07-29 00:00 | Data for Progress w/4P [2] | 42.0% | 44.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-07-24
2020-08-02 | 2020-08-06
2020-08-06 22:54 |
2020-07-29 00:00 | RMG | 40.0% | 41.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-07-27
2020-07-30 | 2020-08-06
2020-08-06 22:33 |
2020-07-24 00:00 | PPP | 47.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-07-23
2020-07-24 | 2020-07-28
2020-07-28 19:14 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 45.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 9.0% | 2020-07-01
2020-07-31 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-04 03:30 |
2020-07-16 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 44.0% | 54.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-07-01
2020-07-31 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-25 06:06 |
2020-07-14 00:00 | Spry | 47.5% | 45.9% | Biden
by 1.6% | 2020-07-11
2020-07-16 | 2020-07-22
2020-07-23 19:19 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey LV [2] | 48.0% | 50.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-06-08
2020-06-30 | 2020-10-02
2020-10-04 03:25 |
2020-06-19 12:00 | SurveyMonkey RV [2] | 46.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2020-06-08
2020-06-30 | 2020-09-23
2020-09-24 16:22 |
2020-06-09 00:00 | Selzer | 43.0% | 44.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-06-07
2020-06-10 | 2020-06-15
2020-06-16 15:22 |
2020-06-07 12:00 | Civiqs | 46.0% | 46.0% | TIED | 2020-06-06
2020-06-08 | 2020-06-09
2020-06-10 03:44 |
2020-06-04 00:00 | PPP | 47.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2020-06-03
2020-06-04 | 2020-06-05
2020-06-06 15:56 |
2020-05-01 00:00 | PPP | 46.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-04-30
2020-05-01 | 2020-05-04
2020-05-04 13:41 |
2020-04-15 00:00 | GBAO w/Lean [2] | 45.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-04-13
2020-04-16 | 2020-07-10
2020-07-10 23:56 |
2020-04-15 00:00 | GBAO [2] | 43.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2020-04-13
2020-04-16 | 2020-07-10
2020-07-10 23:55 |
2020-03-04 00:00 | Selzer | 41.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 10.0% | 2020-03-02
2020-03-05 | 2020-03-11
2020-03-12 02:05 |
2020-01-22 00:00 | NYT/Siena | 44.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2020-01-20
2020-01-23 | 2020-01-25
2020-01-25 15:44 |
2019-12-30 12:00 | PPP | 46.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2019-12-29
2019-12-31 | 2020-01-08
2020-01-08 18:41 |
2019-12-09 00:00 | Emerson | 45.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2019-12-07
2019-12-10 | 2019-12-11
2019-12-11 03:47 |
2019-10-28 00:00 | NYT/Sienna | 44.0% | 45.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2019-10-25
2019-10-30 | 2019-11-04
2019-11-04 21:12 |
2019-10-15 00:00 | Emerson | 49.4% | 50.6% | Trump
by 1.2% | 2019-10-13
2019-10-16 | 2019-10-17
2019-10-17 18:41 |
2019-04-29 00:00 | WPA Intelligence | 44.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2019-04-27
2019-04-30 | 2019-05-11
2019-05-12 07:11 |
2019-03-23 00:00 | Emerson | 52.8% | 47.2% | Biden
by 5.6% | 2019-03-21
2019-03-24 | 2019-03-24
2019-03-25 00:42 |
2019-03-22 00:00 | Trump Internal (NBC) | 52.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 7.0% | 2019-03-15
2019-03-28 | 2019-06-16
2019-06-16 18:14 |
2019-02-01 00:00 | Emerson | 50.6% | 49.4% | Biden
by 1.2% | 2019-01-30
2019-02-02 | 2019-02-02
2019-03-06 04:17 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 41.7% | 51.2% | REP
by 9.4% | 2016-11-08
2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08
2019-02-18 06:51 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 52.0% | 46.2% | DEM
by 5.8% | 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:28 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 53.9% | 44.4% | DEM
by 9.5% | 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04
2013-09-25 05:55 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 49.2% | 49.9% | REP
by 0.7% | 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02
2013-10-14 05:57 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 48.5% | 48.2% | DEM
by 0.3% | 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:29 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 50.3% | 39.9% | DEM
by 10.3% | 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:06 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 43.3% | 37.3% | DEM
by 6.0% | 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:29 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 54.7% | 44.5% | DEM
by 10.2% | 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08
2014-05-17 08:28 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 45.9% | 53.3% | REP
by 7.4% | 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:38 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 38.6% | 51.3% | REP
by 12.7% | 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:37 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".