2020 Electoral College

Biden vs Trump - District of Columbia [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2020-10-27 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2020-11-03 18:47 UTC

Leaders:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Biden vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Biden		Trump

Probabilities

Chances of winning given historical Election Graphs poll average accuracy:

Biden		Trump
/td>

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Biden	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2020-10-27 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [28]	92.0%	6.0%	Biden by 86.0%	2020-10-20 2020-11-02	2020-11-03 2020-11-03 18:47
2020-10-27 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [28]	94.0%	5.0%	Biden by 89.0%	2020-10-20 2020-11-02	2020-11-03 2020-11-03 18:47
2020-10-26 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [28]	92.0%	6.0%	Biden by 86.0%	2020-10-19 2020-11-01	2020-11-02 2020-11-03 17:06
2020-10-26 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [28]	94.0%	5.0%	Biden by 89.0%	2020-10-19 2020-11-01	2020-11-02 2020-11-03 17:06
2020-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [28]	91.0%	7.0%	Biden by 84.0%	2020-10-17 2020-10-31	2020-11-01 2020-11-03 17:06
2020-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [28]	93.0%	6.0%	Biden by 87.0%	2020-10-17 2020-10-31	2020-11-01 2020-11-03 17:06
2020-10-23 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [28]	91.0%	7.0%	Biden by 84.0%	2020-10-16 2020-10-30	2020-10-31 2020-11-03 12:34
2020-10-23 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [28]	93.0%	6.0%	Biden by 87.0%	2020-10-16 2020-10-30	2020-10-31 2020-11-03 12:34
2020-10-22 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [28]	93.0%	6.0%	Biden by 87.0%	2020-10-15 2020-10-29	2020-10-30 2020-11-03 12:34
2020-10-22 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [28]	91.0%	7.0%	Biden by 84.0%	2020-10-15 2020-10-29	2020-10-30 2020-11-03 12:34
2020-10-14 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-30 2020-10-28	2020-10-29 2020-11-03 12:34
2020-10-14 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	89.0%	9.0%	Biden by 80.0%	2020-09-30 2020-10-28	2020-10-29 2020-11-03 12:34
2020-10-13 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-09-29 2020-10-27	2020-10-28 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-13 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	89.0%	9.0%	Biden by 80.0%	2020-09-29 2020-10-27	2020-10-28 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-11 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	86.0%	11.0%	Biden by 75.0%	2020-09-27 2020-10-25	2020-10-26 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-11 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-27 2020-10-25	2020-10-26 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-10 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	89.0%	10.0%	Biden by 79.0%	2020-09-26 2020-10-24	2020-10-25 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-10 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	87.0%	11.0%	Biden by 76.0%	2020-09-26 2020-10-24	2020-10-25 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-10 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	89.0%	9.0%	Biden by 80.0%	2020-09-26 2020-10-23	2020-10-24 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-10 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-09-26 2020-10-23	2020-10-24 2020-10-31 20:58
2020-10-09 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-09-25 2020-10-22	2020-10-23 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-09 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	89.0%	9.0%	Biden by 80.0%	2020-09-25 2020-10-22	2020-10-23 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-08 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	9.0%	Biden by 79.0%	2020-09-24 2020-10-21	2020-10-22 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-08 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-09-24 2020-10-21	2020-10-22 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-07 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	86.0%	11.0%	Biden by 75.0%	2020-09-23 2020-10-20	2020-10-21 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-07 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-23 2020-10-20	2020-10-21 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-05 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	86.0%	11.0%	Biden by 75.0%	2020-09-21 2020-10-19	2020-10-20 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-05 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-21 2020-10-19	2020-10-20 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-05 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	86.0%	11.0%	Biden by 75.0%	2020-09-21 2020-10-18	2020-10-19 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-05 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-21 2020-10-18	2020-10-19 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-04 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-09-20 2020-10-17	2020-10-18 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-04 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	9.0%	Biden by 79.0%	2020-09-20 2020-10-17	2020-10-18 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-02 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	9.0%	Biden by 79.0%	2020-09-18 2020-10-16	2020-10-17 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-02 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	86.0%	10.0%	Biden by 76.0%	2020-09-18 2020-10-16	2020-10-17 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-02 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-18 2020-10-15	2020-10-16 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-02 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	86.0%	11.0%	Biden by 75.0%	2020-09-18 2020-10-15	2020-10-16 2020-10-28 08:07
2020-10-01 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-17 2020-10-14	2020-10-15 2020-10-23 19:47
2020-10-01 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-09-17 2020-10-14	2020-10-15 2020-10-23 06:35
2020-09-29 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	88.0%	10.0%	Biden by 78.0%	2020-09-15 2020-10-13	2020-10-14 2020-10-22 21:34
2020-09-29 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	86.0%	11.0%	Biden by 75.0%	2020-09-15 2020-10-13	2020-10-14 2020-10-21 23:10
2020-09-29 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [56]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-09-15 2020-10-12	2020-10-13 2020-10-18 22:19
2020-09-29 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [56]	85.0%	11.0%	Biden by 74.0%	2020-09-15 2020-10-12	2020-10-13 2020-10-18 05:01
2020-09-16 00:00	SurveyMonkey RV [2]	84.0%	14.0%	Biden by 70.0%	2020-09-01 2020-09-30	2020-10-02 2020-10-09 14:37
2020-09-16 00:00	SurveyMonkey LV [2]	86.0%	12.0%	Biden by 74.0%	2020-09-01 2020-09-30	2020-10-02 2020-10-03 23:08
2020-08-16 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [2]	83.0%	16.0%	Biden by 67.0%	2020-08-01 2020-08-31	2020-10-02 2020-10-09 14:35
2020-08-16 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [2]	81.0%	16.0%	Biden by 65.0%	2020-08-01 2020-08-31	2020-09-23 2020-09-25 17:40
2020-07-16 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [2]	91.0%	8.0%	Biden by 83.0%	2020-07-01 2020-07-31	2020-10-02 2020-10-09 14:32
2020-07-16 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [2]	89.0%	8.0%	Biden by 81.0%	2020-07-01 2020-07-31	2020-09-23 2020-09-25 02:31
2020-06-19 12:00	SurveyMonkey LV [2]	87.0%	11.0%	Biden by 76.0%	2020-06-08 2020-06-30	2020-10-02 2020-10-09 14:29
2020-06-19 12:00	SurveyMonkey RV [2]	87.0%	10.0%	Biden by 77.0%	2020-06-08 2020-06-30	2020-09-23 2020-09-24 15:35
2016-11-08 12:00	Election2016	90.5%	4.1%	DEM by 86.4%	2016-11-08 2016-11-08	2016-11-08 2019-02-18 06:15

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Biden	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	90.9%	7.3%	DEM by 83.6%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:07
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	92.5%	6.5%	DEM by 85.9%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-09-22 10:46
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	89.2%	9.3%	DEM by 79.8%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 01:25
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	85.2%	9.0%	DEM by 76.2%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-09 05:50
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	85.2%	9.3%	DEM by 75.9%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:30
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	84.6%	9.1%	DEM by 75.5%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:15
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	82.7%	14.3%	DEM by 68.4%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 04:38
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	85.4%	13.7%	DEM by 71.7%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-21 07:13
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	74.9%	13.4%	DEM by 61.5%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:23

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2020 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2020 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email feedback@electiongraphs.com

If you find this site interesting or useful, please consider visiting the Tip Jar.

The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2016 data using the methodology in the January 2019 blog post titled "Polling Error vs Final Margin".

Analysis for the 2008, 2012, and 2016 election cycles can be found here.

Page cached at 2024-09-13 04:32:29 UTC

Original calculation time was 26.732 seconds

Page displayed at 2024-09-13 11:39:20 UTC

Page generated in 0.246 seconds