2024 Electoral College
Biden vs Trump - Georgia [16 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2023-11-29 12:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2023-12-06 01:48 UTC
Best Polled: Biden vs Trump Biden vs DeSantis Biden vs Haley Harris vs Trump Biden vs Pence Biden vs Youngkin || Comparison
Switch to Biden vs Trump National Summary
Probabilities
Chances of winning given historical Election Graphs poll average accuracy:
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Biden <> Trump Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2023-11-29 12:00
JL Partners [2]
44.0%
10.0%
46.0%
Trump by 2.0%
2023-11-27 2023-12-01
2023-12-04 2023-12-05 06:53
2023-11-29 12:00
JL Partners w/4P [2]
36.0%
25.0%
39.0%
Trump by 3.0%
2023-11-27 2023-12-01
2023-12-04 2023-12-05 06:50
2023-11-28 12:00
Redfield & Wilton w/3P
35.0%
20.0%
45.0%
Trump by 10.0%
2023-11-27 2023-11-29
2023-12-05 2023-12-06 01:48
2023-11-03 12:00
Morning Consult w/4P [2]
34.0%
23.0%
43.0%
Trump by 9.0%
2023-10-30 2023-11-07
2023-11-10 2023-11-10 19:52
2023-11-03 12:00
Morning Consult [2]
41.0%
11.0%
48.0%
Trump by 7.0%
2023-10-30 2023-11-07
2023-11-10 2023-11-10 19:49
2023-11-02 00:00
Emerson RV [2]
39.7%
13.4%
46.9%
Trump by 7.2%
2023-10-30 2023-11-04
2023-11-09 2023-11-10 02:00
2023-11-02 00:00
Emerson LV [2]
41.4%
9.5%
49.1%
Trump by 7.7%
2023-10-30 2023-11-04
2023-11-09 2023-11-10 01:57
2023-10-30 12:00
University of Georgia
44.0%
11.0%
45.0%
Trump by 1.0%
2023-10-26 2023-11-03
2023-11-08 2023-11-09 01:17
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Biden <> Trump Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2023-10-28 12:00
Siena LV w/3P [6]
31.0%
31.0%
38.0%
Trump by 7.0%
2023-10-22 2023-11-03
2023-11-05 2023-11-07 16:48
2023-10-28 12:00
Siena RV w/3P [6]
29.0%
35.0%
36.0%
Trump by 7.0%
2023-10-22 2023-11-03
2023-11-05 2023-11-07 16:45
2023-10-28 12:00
Siena LV Definitely [6]
32.0%
30.0%
38.0%
Trump by 6.0%
2023-10-22 2023-11-03
2023-11-05 2023-11-05 17:24
2023-10-28 12:00
Siena LV w/Lean [6]
44.0%
7.0%
49.0%
Trump by 5.0%
2023-10-22 2023-11-03
2023-11-05 2023-11-05 17:21
2023-10-28 12:00
Siena RV Definitely [6]
29.0%
35.0%
36.0%
Trump by 7.0%
2023-10-22 2023-11-03
2023-11-05 2023-11-05 15:55
2023-10-28 12:00
Siena RV w/Lean [6]
43.0%
8.0%
49.0%
Trump by 6.0%
2023-10-22 2023-11-03
2023-11-05 2023-11-05 15:52
2023-10-11 00:00
Zogby w/4P [2]
36.0%
19.0%
45.0%
Trump by 9.0%
2023-10-09 2023-10-12
2023-10-28 2023-10-28 20:52
2023-10-11 00:00
Zogby [2]
49.0%
0.0%
51.0%
Trump by 2.0%
2023-10-09 2023-10-12
2023-10-28 2023-10-28 20:49
2023-10-08 00:00
Morning Consult
43.0%
9.0%
48.0%
Trump by 5.0%
2023-10-05 2023-10-10
2023-10-19 2023-10-19 15:48
2023-10-08 00:00
Redfield & Wilton w/3P [2]
38.0%
21.0%
41.0%
Trump by 3.0%
2023-10-07 2023-10-08
2023-10-15 2023-10-16 02:10
2023-10-08 00:00
Redfield & Wilton [2]
40.0%
17.0%
43.0%
Trump by 3.0%
2023-10-07 2023-10-08
2023-10-15 2023-10-16 02:07
2023-09-10 00:00
Rasmussen
38.0%
15.0%
47.0%
Trump by 9.0%
2023-09-08 2023-09-11
2023-09-15 2023-09-15 16:07
2023-06-21 12:00
Prime w/NL [2]
36.0%
19.0%
45.0%
Trump by 9.0%
2023-06-14 2023-06-28
2023-07-13 2023-08-15 14:22
2023-06-21 12:00
Prime [2]
48.0%
0.0%
52.0%
Trump by 4.0%
2023-06-14 2023-06-28
2023-07-13 2023-07-14 05:41
2023-06-18 12:00
Public Opinion Strategies Definitely [2]
41.0%
19.0%
40.0%
Biden by 1.0%
2023-06-17 2023-06-19
2023-06-20 2023-08-11 06:12
2023-06-18 12:00
Public Opinion Strategies Total [2]
47.0%
9.0%
44.0%
Biden by 3.0%
2023-06-17 2023-06-19
2023-06-20 2023-06-21 06:11
2023-06-06 12:00
Cygnal
41.0%
17.0%
42.0%
Trump by 1.0%
2023-06-05 2023-06-07
2023-06-09 2023-06-09 17:06
2023-05-16 12:00
Public Opinion Strategies
44.0%
13.0%
43.0%
Biden by 1.0%
2023-05-15 2023-05-17
2023-05-19 2023-05-19 16:22
2023-04-26 12:00
Public Opinion Strategies
44.0%
13.0%
43.0%
Biden by 1.0%
2023-04-25 2023-04-27
2023-05-02 2023-05-02 14:46
2022-11-29 12:00
Emerson
43.5%
13.4%
43.1%
Biden by 0.4%
2022-11-28 2022-11-30
2022-12-01 2023-03-24 06:38
2022-11-23 12:00
UMass Lowell
47.0%
10.0%
43.0%
Biden by 4.0%
2022-11-18 2022-11-28
2022-12-05 2023-03-24 06:57
2022-11-04 12:00
Targoz LV [2]
43.0%
5.0%
52.0%
Trump by 9.0%
2022-11-02 2022-11-06
2022-11-07 2023-03-24 03:36
2022-11-04 12:00
Targoz RV [2]
41.0%
7.0%
52.0%
Trump by 11.0%
2022-11-02 2022-11-06
2022-11-07 2023-03-24 03:32
2022-10-30 00:00
Emerson
43.8%
9.3%
46.9%
Trump by 3.1%
2022-10-28 2022-10-31
2022-11-03 2023-03-24 02:56
2022-10-24 00:00
Rasmussen
39.0%
14.0%
47.0%
Trump by 8.0%
2022-10-23 2022-10-24
2022-10-27 2023-03-23 05:30
2022-10-07 00:00
Emerson
43.4%
11.4%
45.2%
Trump by 1.8%
2022-10-06 2022-10-07
2022-10-11 2023-03-23 03:21
2022-09-04 00:00
Echelon Definitely [2]
38.0%
28.0%
34.0%
Biden by 4.0%
2022-08-31 2022-09-07
2022-09-13 2023-07-27 02:58
2022-09-04 00:00
Echelon Total [2]
47.0%
8.0%
45.0%
Biden by 2.0%
2022-08-31 2022-09-07
2022-09-13 2023-03-22 00:53
2022-08-29 00:00
Emerson
45.8%
3.5%
50.7%
Trump by 4.9%
2022-08-28 2022-08-29
2022-08-30 2023-03-21 05:10
2022-07-23 12:00
PEM
39.9%
12.0%
48.0%
Trump by 8.1%
2022-07-22 2022-07-24
2022-07-28 2023-03-21 02:36
2022-06-08 00:00
ECU
40.2%
13.1%
46.7%
Trump by 6.5%
2022-06-06 2022-06-09
2022-06-14 2023-03-20 16:45
2022-02-16 00:00
Blueprint
36.3%
13.8%
49.9%
Trump by 13.6%
2022-02-15 2022-02-16
2022-03-08 2023-03-20 14:31
2021-11-14 00:00
Fabrizio Lee Definitely [2]
40.0%
17.0%
43.0%
Trump by 3.0%
2021-11-11 2021-11-16
2021-11-21 2023-07-04 00:43
2021-11-14 00:00
Fabrizio Lee Total [2]
45.0%
7.0%
48.0%
Trump by 3.0%
2021-11-11 2021-11-16
2021-11-21 2023-03-20 13:14
2020-11-03 12:00
Election2020
49.5%
1.2%
49.3%
DEM by 0.2%
2020-11-03 2020-11-03
2020-11-03 2023-03-15 05:31
2016-11-08 12:00
Election2016
45.6%
3.6%
50.8%
REP by 5.1%
2016-11-08 2016-11-08
2016-11-08 2019-02-18 06:28
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
45.5%
1.2%
53.3%
REP by 7.8%
2012-11-06 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:23
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
47.0%
0.8%
52.2%
REP by 5.2%
2008-11-04 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 2013-09-25 01:14
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
41.4%
0.7%
58.0%
REP by 16.6%
2004-11-02 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 2013-10-14 05:37
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
43.0%
2.4%
54.7%
REP by 11.7%
2000-11-07 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 2013-11-09 06:00
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
45.8%
7.2%
47.0%
REP by 1.2%
1996-11-06 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:45
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
43.5%
13.7%
42.9%
DEM by 0.6%
1992-11-03 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:18
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
39.5%
0.8%
59.8%
REP by 20.3%
1988-11-08 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 2014-05-17 06:27
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
39.8%
0.0%
60.2%
REP by 20.4%
1984-11-06 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 2014-05-21 07:27
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
55.8%
3.3%
41.0%
DEM by 14.8%
1980-11-04 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:27
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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2020 data using the methodology in the January 2023 blog post titled "Prepping the Math Stuff for 2024 ".
For more information, read the FAQ .
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