| Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | <> | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
|---|
2024-03-12 00:00 | Emerson w/5P [3] | 40.2% | 16.1% | 43.7% | Trump
by 3.5% | 2024-03-10
2024-03-13 | 2024-03-14
2024-03-15 02:59 |
2024-03-12 00:00 | Emerson w/Lean [3] | 48.2% | 0.0% | 51.8% | Trump
by 3.6% | 2024-03-10
2024-03-13 | 2024-03-14
2024-03-15 02:57 |
2024-03-12 00:00 | Emerson [3] | 43.2% | 9.7% | 47.1% | Trump
by 3.9% | 2024-03-10
2024-03-13 | 2024-03-14
2024-03-15 02:54 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 45.0% | 10.0% | 45.0% | TIED | 2024-03-08
2024-03-12 | 2024-03-26
2024-03-26 11:31 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 38.0% | 18.0% | 44.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2024-03-08
2024-03-12 | 2024-03-26
2024-03-26 11:28 |
2024-03-09 12:00 | Beacon/Shaw w/5P [2] | 42.0% | 16.0% | 42.0% | TIED | 2024-03-07
2024-03-11 | 2024-03-13
2024-03-14 15:50 |
2024-03-09 12:00 | Beacon/Shaw [2] | 47.0% | 4.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-03-07
2024-03-11 | 2024-03-13
2024-03-14 15:43 |
2024-03-02 12:00 | Susquehanna | 50.0% | 5.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2024-02-26
2024-03-07 | 2024-03-25
2024-03-25 20:16 |
2024-02-26 12:00 | Axis w/5P | 40.0% | 21.0% | 39.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2024-02-25
2024-02-27 | 2024-03-05
2024-03-05 22:08 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 43.0% | 8.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2024-02-12
2024-02-18 | 2024-02-28
2024-03-01 07:02 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 36.0% | 19.0% | 45.0% | Trump
by 9.0% | 2024-02-12
2024-02-18 | 2024-02-28
2024-03-01 06:58 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Emerson w/5P [2] | 37.0% | 21.0% | 42.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2024-02-14
2024-02-16 | 2024-02-20
2024-02-21 02:42 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Emerson [2] | 43.0% | 12.0% | 45.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2024-02-14
2024-02-16 | 2024-02-20
2024-02-21 02:38 |
2024-02-07 12:00 | Chism | 32.0% | 28.0% | 40.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2024-02-06
2024-02-08 | 2024-02-09
2024-02-10 06:06 |
2024-01-24 00:00 | Public Opinion Strategies | 42.0% | 10.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2024-01-22
2024-01-25 | 2024-02-26
2024-02-27 00:56 |
2024-01-23 00:00 | Franklin & Marshall w/4P [2] | 42.0% | 21.0% | 37.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-28 | 2024-02-01
2024-02-02 03:39 |
2024-01-23 00:00 | Franklin & Marshall [2] | 43.0% | 15.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-28 | 2024-02-01
2024-02-02 03:35 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata LV 2W [3] | 48.6% | 0.0% | 51.4% | Trump
by 2.8% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01
2024-03-02 03:02 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata LV [3] | 42.0% | 11.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01
2024-03-02 03:01 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata All [3] | 38.0% | 16.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 8.0% | 2024-01-17
2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01
2024-03-02 02:59 |
2024-01-19 00:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 45.0% | 7.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-01-16
2024-01-21 | 2024-01-31
2024-01-31 19:39 |
2024-01-19 00:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 40.0% | 17.0% | 43.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2024-01-16
2024-01-21 | 2024-01-31
2024-01-31 19:33 |
2024-01-18 12:00 | Susquehanna | 46.8% | 13.9% | 39.3% | Biden
by 7.5% | 2024-01-15
2024-01-21 | 2024-01-23
2024-01-23 17:13 |
2024-01-06 12:00 | Quinnipiac w/5P [2] | 41.0% | 20.0% | 39.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2024-01-04
2024-01-08 | 2024-01-10
2024-01-12 05:59 |
2024-01-06 12:00 | Quinnipiac [2] | 49.0% | 5.0% | 46.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2024-01-04
2024-01-08 | 2024-01-10
2024-01-12 05:55 |
2023-12-29 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P | 39.0% | 21.0% | 40.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2023-12-28
2023-12-30 | 2024-01-08
2024-01-08 22:46 |
2023-12-16 12:00 | Bullfinch Total [2] | 45.0% | 10.0% | 45.0% | TIED | 2023-12-14
2023-12-18 | 2023-12-18
2023-12-19 03:17 |
2023-12-16 12:00 | Bullfinch Definitely [2] | 38.0% | 27.0% | 35.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2023-12-14
2023-12-18 | 2023-12-18
2023-12-19 03:14 |
2023-12-05 12:00 | Change Research | 40.0% | 14.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2023-12-03
2023-12-07 | 2024-01-08
2024-01-08 22:10 |
2023-12-02 00:00 | Muhlenberg | 42.0% | 17.0% | 41.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2023-11-20
2023-12-13 | 2023-12-19
2023-12-20 17:52 |
2023-12-02 00:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 44.0% | 10.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2023-11-27
2023-12-06 | 2023-12-14
2023-12-15 02:09 |
2023-12-02 00:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 38.0% | 23.0% | 39.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2023-11-27
2023-12-06 | 2023-12-14
2023-12-15 02:06 |
2023-11-28 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P | 37.0% | 19.0% | 44.0% | Trump
by 7.0% | 2023-11-27
2023-11-29 | 2023-12-05
2023-12-06 02:01 |
2023-11-03 12:00 | Morning Consult w/4P [2] | 38.0% | 21.0% | 41.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2023-10-30
2023-11-07 | 2023-11-10
2023-11-10 20:27 |
2023-11-03 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 44.0% | 9.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2023-10-30
2023-11-07 | 2023-11-10
2023-11-10 20:22 |
2023-11-02 00:00 | Emerson RV [2] | 43.2% | 10.4% | 46.4% | Trump
by 3.2% | 2023-10-30
2023-11-04 | 2023-11-09
2023-11-10 01:52 |
2023-11-02 00:00 | Emerson LV [2] | 45.2% | 5.7% | 49.1% | Trump
by 3.9% | 2023-10-30
2023-11-04 | 2023-11-09
2023-11-10 01:45 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV w/3P [6] | 36.0% | 28.0% | 36.0% | TIED | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-07 17:12 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV w/3P [6] | 35.0% | 30.0% | 35.0% | TIED | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-07 17:06 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV Definitely [6] | 35.0% | 27.0% | 38.0% | Trump
by 3.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 18:07 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV w/Lean [6] | 44.0% | 7.0% | 49.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 18:04 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV Definitely [6] | 34.0% | 30.0% | 36.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 16:23 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV w/Lean [6] | 44.0% | 8.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 4.0% | 2023-10-22
2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05
2023-11-05 16:19 |
2023-10-17 00:00 | Franklin & Marshall | 44.0% | 14.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2023-10-11
2023-10-22 | 2023-10-26
2023-10-26 15:50 |
2023-10-08 00:00 | Morning Consult | 45.0% | 9.0% | 46.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2023-10-05
2023-10-10 | 2023-10-19
2023-10-19 16:07 |
2023-10-08 00:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P [2] | 39.0% | 22.0% | 39.0% | TIED | 2023-10-07
2023-10-08 | 2023-10-15
2023-10-16 05:02 |
2023-10-08 00:00 | Redfield & Wilton [2] | 43.0% | 15.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2023-10-07
2023-10-08 | 2023-10-15
2023-10-16 04:57 |
2023-10-03 00:00 | Emerson | 36.4% | 18.3% | 45.3% | Trump
by 8.9% | 2023-10-01
2023-10-04 | 2023-10-11
2023-10-12 05:27 |
2023-09-30 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 45.0% | 8.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 2.0% | 2023-09-28
2023-10-02 | 2023-10-04
2023-10-05 05:14 |
2023-09-26 00:00 | PPP | 48.0% | 7.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 3.0% | 2023-09-25
2023-09-26 | 2023-09-29
2023-09-29 15:57 |
2023-09-24 00:00 | Susquehanna | 47.0% | 8.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2023-09-19
2023-09-28 | 2023-10-05
2023-10-05 15:37 |
2023-09-16 00:00 | NPA | 47.0% | 8.0% | 45.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2023-09-14
2023-09-17 | 2023-09-21
2023-09-22 01:58 |
2023-08-15 00:00 | Franklin & Marshall | 42.0% | 18.0% | 40.0% | Biden
by 2.0% | 2023-08-09
2023-08-20 | 2023-08-24
2023-08-24 19:33 |
2023-06-24 12:00 | Quinnipiac | 46.0% | 7.0% | 47.0% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2023-06-22
2023-06-26 | 2023-06-28
2023-06-29 06:27 |
2023-06-21 12:00 | Prime w/NL [2] | 38.0% | 19.0% | 43.0% | Trump
by 5.0% | 2023-06-14
2023-06-28 | 2023-07-13
2023-08-15 14:36 |
2023-06-21 12:00 | Prime [2] | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | TIED | 2023-06-14
2023-06-28 | 2023-07-13
2023-07-14 05:52 |
2023-06-18 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies Definitely [2] | 43.0% | 18.0% | 39.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2023-06-17
2023-06-19 | 2023-06-20
2023-08-11 06:19 |
2023-06-18 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies Total [2] | 48.0% | 8.0% | 44.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2023-06-17
2023-06-19 | 2023-06-20
2023-06-21 06:21 |
2023-04-12 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies | 46.0% | 12.0% | 42.0% | Biden
by 4.0% | 2023-04-11
2023-04-13 | 2023-04-16
2023-04-17 16:18 |
2023-04-02 00:00 | Franklin & Marshall | 36.0% | 29.0% | 35.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2023-03-27
2023-04-07 | 2023-04-13
2023-04-13 22:38 |
2023-02-23 00:00 | Susquehanna | 48.0% | 11.0% | 41.0% | Biden
by 7.0% | 2023-02-19
2023-02-26 | 2023-03-02
2023-03-25 02:52 |
2022-11-04 12:00 | Targoz LV [2] | 46.0% | 2.0% | 52.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2022-11-02
2022-11-06 | 2022-11-07
2023-03-24 03:49 |
2022-11-04 12:00 | Targoz RV [2] | 48.0% | 4.0% | 48.0% | TIED | 2022-11-02
2022-11-06 | 2022-11-07
2023-03-24 03:47 |
2022-10-30 00:00 | Emerson | 44.2% | 11.5% | 44.3% | Trump
by 0.1% | 2022-10-28
2022-10-31 | 2022-11-03
2023-03-24 02:33 |
2022-09-25 00:00 | Emerson | 44.9% | 9.2% | 45.9% | Trump
by 1.0% | 2022-09-23
2022-09-26 | 2022-09-29
2023-03-23 02:39 |
2022-09-04 00:00 | Echelon Definitely [2] | 39.0% | 31.0% | 30.0% | Biden
by 9.0% | 2022-08-31
2022-09-07 | 2022-09-13
2023-07-27 03:20 |
2022-09-04 00:00 | Echelon Total [2] | 48.0% | 9.0% | 43.0% | Biden
by 5.0% | 2022-08-31
2022-09-07 | 2022-09-13
2023-03-22 01:51 |
2022-08-23 00:00 | Emerson | 41.7% | 11.1% | 47.2% | Trump
by 5.5% | 2022-08-22
2022-08-23 | 2022-08-25
2023-03-21 04:13 |
2022-07-23 12:00 | PEM | 41.7% | 13.8% | 44.4% | Trump
by 2.7% | 2022-07-22
2022-07-24 | 2022-07-28
2023-03-21 02:45 |
2022-07-20 12:00 | Blueprint | 42.0% | 17.0% | 41.0% | Biden
by 1.0% | 2022-07-19
2022-07-21 | 2022-07-26
2023-03-21 02:01 |
2022-02-16 00:00 | Blueprint | 45.1% | 15.0% | 39.9% | Biden
by 5.2% | 2022-02-15
2022-02-16 | 2022-02-22
2023-03-20 14:20 |
2021-11-14 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Definitely [2] | 39.0% | 13.0% | 48.0% | Trump
by 9.0% | 2021-11-11
2021-11-16 | 2021-11-21
2023-07-04 00:48 |
2021-11-14 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Total [2] | 45.0% | 4.0% | 51.0% | Trump
by 6.0% | 2021-11-11
2021-11-16 | 2021-11-21
2023-03-20 13:33 |
2020-11-03 12:00 | Election2020 | 50.0% | 1.2% | 48.8% | DEM
by 1.2% | 2020-11-03
2020-11-03 | 2020-11-03
2023-03-17 05:34 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 47.5% | 4.4% | 48.2% | REP
by 0.7% | 2016-11-08
2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08
2019-02-20 04:57 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 52.0% | 1.4% | 46.6% | DEM
by 5.4% | 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:08 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 54.5% | 1.3% | 44.2% | DEM
by 10.3% | 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04
2013-10-05 08:39 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 50.9% | 0.7% | 48.4% | DEM
by 2.5% | 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:04 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 50.6% | 3.0% | 46.4% | DEM
by 4.2% | 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:47 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 49.2% | 10.9% | 40.0% | DEM
by 9.2% | 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06
2014-02-16 19:43 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 45.2% | 18.7% | 36.1% | DEM
by 9.0% | 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:41 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 48.4% | 0.9% | 50.7% | REP
by 2.3% | 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:47 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 46.0% | 0.7% | 53.3% | REP
by 7.4% | 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:55 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 42.5% | 7.9% | 49.6% | REP
by 7.1% | 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:10 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2020 data using the methodology in the January 2023 blog post titled "Prepping the Math Stuff for 2024".