Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | <> | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
---|
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG w/Lean w/5P [4] | 33.6% | 29.0% | 37.4% | Trump by 3.8% | 2024-04-08 2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17 2024-04-17 18:01 |
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG w/5P [4] | 31.6% | 33.5% | 34.9% | Trump by 3.3% | 2024-04-08 2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17 2024-04-17 17:48 |
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG w/Lean [4] | 36.3% | 21.4% | 42.3% | Trump by 6.0% | 2024-04-08 2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17 2024-04-17 17:38 |
2024-04-10 00:00 | MRG [4] | 33.3% | 28.1% | 38.6% | Trump by 5.3% | 2024-04-08 2024-04-11 | 2024-04-17 2024-04-17 17:31 |
2024-03-27 00:00 | Spry w/3P [2] | 39.8% | 17.2% | 43.0% | Trump by 3.2% | 2024-03-25 2024-03-28 | 2024-04-04 2024-04-04 15:23 |
2024-03-27 00:00 | Spry [2] | 43.7% | 8.3% | 48.0% | Trump by 4.3% | 2024-03-25 2024-03-28 | 2024-04-04 2024-04-04 15:19 |
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Total [4] | 45.0% | 7.0% | 48.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2024-03-17 2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02 2024-04-03 05:08 |
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Definitely [4] | 37.0% | 22.0% | 41.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2024-03-17 2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02 2024-04-03 05:03 |
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee w/4P [4] | 40.0% | 15.0% | 45.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2024-03-17 2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02 2024-04-03 04:58 |
2024-03-21 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee w/6P [4] | 37.0% | 24.0% | 39.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2024-03-17 2024-03-24 | 2024-04-02 2024-04-03 04:51 |
2024-03-16 12:00 | Emerson w/5P [3] | 40.6% | 16.2% | 43.2% | Trump by 2.6% | 2024-03-14 2024-03-18 | 2024-03-21 2024-03-22 02:04 |
2024-03-16 12:00 | Emerson w/Lean [3] | 49.7% | 0.0% | 50.3% | Trump by 0.6% | 2024-03-14 2024-03-18 | 2024-03-21 2024-03-22 01:58 |
2024-03-16 12:00 | Emerson [3] | 43.5% | 11.1% | 45.4% | Trump by 1.9% | 2024-03-14 2024-03-18 | 2024-03-21 2024-03-22 01:48 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Echelon Total [2] | 45.0% | 4.0% | 51.0% | Trump by 6.0% | 2024-03-12 2024-03-19 | 2024-04-15 2024-04-15 16:24 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Echelon Definitely [2] | 40.0% | 16.0% | 44.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2024-03-12 2024-03-19 | 2024-04-15 2024-04-15 16:18 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/4P | 39.0% | 20.0% | 41.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2024-03-14 2024-03-17 | 2024-03-25 2024-03-25 18:53 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Mitchell w/5P [2] | 42.0% | 14.0% | 44.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2024-03-15 2024-03-16 | 2024-03-24 2024-03-24 19:07 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | Mitchell [2] | 44.0% | 9.0% | 47.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2024-03-15 2024-03-16 | 2024-03-24 2024-03-24 19:04 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | SSRS w/4P [2] | 34.0% | 26.0% | 40.0% | Trump by 6.0% | 2024-03-13 2024-03-18 | 2024-03-22 2024-03-22 14:58 |
2024-03-16 00:00 | SSRS [2] | 42.0% | 8.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 8.0% | 2024-03-13 2024-03-18 | 2024-03-22 2024-03-22 14:48 |
Middate/Time | Pollster | Biden | <> | Trump | Margin | Start/End | Released/Entered |
---|
2024-03-10 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 45.0% | 10.0% | 45.0% | TIED | 2024-03-08 2024-03-12 | 2024-03-26 2024-03-26 11:08 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 40.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | TIED | 2024-03-08 2024-03-12 | 2024-03-26 2024-03-26 10:58 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Quinnipiac [2] | 45.0% | 7.0% | 48.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2024-03-08 2024-03-12 | 2024-03-14 2024-03-15 02:45 |
2024-03-10 12:00 | Quinnipiac w/5P [2] | 36.0% | 23.0% | 41.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2024-03-08 2024-03-12 | 2024-03-14 2024-03-15 02:37 |
2024-02-24 00:00 | North Star | 43.0% | 14.0% | 43.0% | TIED | 2024-02-22 2024-02-25 | 2024-02-26 2024-02-28 03:38 |
2024-02-23 00:00 | Kaplan | 36.0% | 18.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 10.0% | 2024-02-22 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-26 2024-02-28 03:29 |
2024-02-22 12:00 | Emerson w/5P [2] | 38.7% | 18.9% | 42.4% | Trump by 3.7% | 2024-02-20 2024-02-24 | 2024-02-26 2024-02-27 01:34 |
2024-02-22 12:00 | Emerson [2] | 44.0% | 10.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2024-02-20 2024-02-24 | 2024-02-26 2024-02-27 01:24 |
2024-02-16 00:00 | EPIC | 41.0% | 14.0% | 45.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2024-02-13 2024-02-18 | 2024-02-21 2024-02-22 03:10 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 44.0% | 10.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2024-02-12 2024-02-18 | 2024-02-28 2024-03-01 06:37 |
2024-02-15 12:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 40.0% | 19.0% | 41.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2024-02-12 2024-02-18 | 2024-02-28 2024-03-01 06:27 |
2024-02-10 12:00 | Beacon/Shaw [2] | 45.0% | 8.0% | 47.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2024-02-08 2024-02-12 | 2024-02-14 2024-02-16 03:16 |
2024-02-10 12:00 | Beacon/Shaw w/5P [2] | 37.0% | 21.0% | 42.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2024-02-08 2024-02-12 | 2024-02-14 2024-02-16 03:10 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata LV 2W [3] | 50.6% | 0.0% | 49.4% | Biden by 1.2% | 2024-01-17 2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01 2024-03-02 02:41 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata LV [3] | 45.0% | 11.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2024-01-17 2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01 2024-03-02 02:40 |
2024-01-20 12:00 | Focaldata All [3] | 41.0% | 16.0% | 43.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2024-01-17 2024-01-23 | 2024-03-01 2024-03-02 02:34 |
2024-01-19 00:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 42.0% | 11.0% | 47.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2024-01-16 2024-01-21 | 2024-01-31 2024-01-31 19:12 |
2024-01-19 00:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 37.0% | 20.0% | 43.0% | Trump by 6.0% | 2024-01-16 2024-01-21 | 2024-01-31 2024-01-31 19:06 |
2024-01-07 12:00 | Target Insyght | 45.0% | 14.0% | 41.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2024-01-04 2024-01-10 | 2024-01-12 2024-01-12 22:43 |
2024-01-04 12:00 | Glengariff w/5P [2] | 29.0% | 30.0% | 41.0% | Trump by 12.0% | 2024-01-02 2024-01-06 | 2024-01-09 2024-01-10 04:04 |
2024-01-04 12:00 | Glengariff [2] | 39.0% | 14.0% | 47.0% | Trump by 8.0% | 2024-01-02 2024-01-06 | 2024-01-09 2024-01-10 03:57 |
2024-01-03 12:00 | Zogby | 44.0% | 9.0% | 47.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2024-01-02 2024-01-04 | 2024-01-07 2024-01-08 04:59 |
2023-12-29 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P | 37.0% | 24.0% | 39.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2023-12-28 2023-12-30 | 2024-01-08 2024-01-08 22:37 |
2023-12-03 00:00 | SSRS w/4P [2] | 31.0% | 30.0% | 39.0% | Trump by 8.0% | 2023-11-29 2023-12-06 | 2023-12-11 2023-12-12 02:28 |
2023-12-03 00:00 | SSRS [2] | 40.0% | 10.0% | 50.0% | Trump by 10.0% | 2023-11-29 2023-12-06 | 2023-12-11 2023-12-12 02:24 |
2023-12-02 00:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 42.0% | 12.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2023-11-27 2023-12-06 | 2023-12-14 2023-12-15 01:42 |
2023-12-02 00:00 | Morning Consult w/5P [2] | 35.0% | 26.0% | 39.0% | Trump by 4.0% | 2023-11-27 2023-12-06 | 2023-12-14 2023-12-15 01:38 |
2023-11-28 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P | 38.0% | 23.0% | 39.0% | Trump by 1.0% | 2023-11-27 2023-11-29 | 2023-12-05 2023-12-06 01:52 |
2023-11-13 12:00 | EPIC | 41.0% | 13.0% | 46.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2023-11-10 2023-11-16 | 2023-11-18 2023-11-19 07:03 |
2023-11-03 12:00 | Morning Consult w/4P [2] | 38.0% | 25.0% | 37.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2023-10-30 2023-11-07 | 2023-11-10 2023-11-10 20:02 |
2023-11-03 12:00 | Morning Consult [2] | 43.0% | 14.0% | 43.0% | TIED | 2023-10-30 2023-11-07 | 2023-11-10 2023-11-10 19:57 |
2023-11-02 00:00 | Emerson RV [2] | 42.6% | 16.4% | 41.0% | Biden by 1.6% | 2023-10-30 2023-11-04 | 2023-11-09 2023-11-10 01:40 |
2023-11-02 00:00 | Emerson LV [2] | 44.4% | 12.6% | 43.0% | Biden by 1.4% | 2023-10-30 2023-11-04 | 2023-11-09 2023-11-10 01:37 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV w/3P [6] | 34.0% | 32.0% | 34.0% | TIED | 2023-10-22 2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05 2023-11-07 16:54 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV w/3P [6] | 31.0% | 35.0% | 34.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2023-10-22 2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05 2023-11-07 16:51 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV Definitely [6] | 35.0% | 32.0% | 33.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2023-10-22 2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05 2023-11-05 17:32 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena LV w/Lean [6] | 46.0% | 8.0% | 46.0% | TIED | 2023-10-22 2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05 2023-11-05 17:29 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV Definitely [6] | 31.0% | 35.0% | 34.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2023-10-22 2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05 2023-11-05 16:03 |
2023-10-28 12:00 | Siena RV w/Lean [6] | 43.0% | 9.0% | 48.0% | Trump by 5.0% | 2023-10-22 2023-11-03 | 2023-11-05 2023-11-05 15:59 |
2023-10-08 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton w/3P [2] | 38.0% | 22.0% | 40.0% | Trump by 2.0% | 2023-10-07 2023-10-09 | 2023-10-15 2023-10-16 04:43 |
2023-10-08 12:00 | Redfield & Wilton [2] | 41.0% | 18.0% | 41.0% | TIED | 2023-10-07 2023-10-09 | 2023-10-15 2023-10-16 04:39 |
2023-10-08 00:00 | Morning Consult | 44.0% | 12.0% | 44.0% | TIED | 2023-10-05 2023-10-10 | 2023-10-19 2023-10-19 15:52 |
2023-10-05 12:00 | MRG Total [2] | 35.1% | 23.3% | 41.6% | Trump by 6.5% | 2023-10-02 2023-10-08 | 2023-10-11 2023-10-12 05:50 |
2023-10-05 12:00 | MRG wo/Lean [2] | 31.1% | 29.2% | 39.7% | Trump by 8.6% | 2023-10-02 2023-10-08 | 2023-10-11 2023-10-12 05:46 |
2023-10-03 00:00 | Emerson | 44.1% | 13.4% | 42.5% | Biden by 1.6% | 2023-10-01 2023-10-04 | 2023-10-16 2023-10-17 01:00 |
2023-09-27 00:00 | PPP | 48.0% | 8.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2023-09-26 2023-09-27 | 2023-09-29 2023-09-29 15:51 |
2023-09-10 00:00 | Susquehanna | 46.0% | 11.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2023-09-07 2023-09-12 | 2023-09-15 2023-09-15 21:06 |
2023-08-09 00:00 | EPIC Total [2] | 46.0% | 9.0% | 45.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2023-08-06 2023-08-11 | 2023-08-17 2023-08-18 05:34 |
2023-08-09 00:00 | EPIC wo/Lean [2] | 43.0% | 17.0% | 40.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2023-08-06 2023-08-11 | 2023-08-17 2023-08-18 05:29 |
2023-08-02 00:00 | Emerson w/3P [2] | 41.2% | 15.5% | 43.3% | Trump by 2.1% | 2023-08-01 2023-08-02 | 2023-08-04 2023-08-05 02:16 |
2023-08-02 00:00 | Emerson [2] | 44.1% | 12.3% | 43.6% | Biden by 0.5% | 2023-08-01 2023-08-02 | 2023-08-04 2023-08-05 02:12 |
2023-07-12 12:00 | Mitchell | 45.0% | 12.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 2.0% | 2023-07-11 2023-07-13 | 2023-07-21 2023-07-22 00:29 |
2023-07-09 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies Total [2] | 45.0% | 11.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2023-07-08 2023-07-10 | 2023-07-13 2023-07-14 07:16 |
2023-07-09 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies Definitely [2] | 40.0% | 21.0% | 39.0% | Biden by 1.0% | 2023-07-08 2023-07-10 | 2023-07-13 2023-07-14 07:13 |
2023-06-21 12:00 | Prime w/NL [2] | 40.0% | 17.0% | 43.0% | Trump by 3.0% | 2023-06-14 2023-06-28 | 2023-07-13 2023-08-15 14:24 |
2023-06-21 12:00 | Prime [2] | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | TIED | 2023-06-14 2023-06-28 | 2023-07-13 2023-07-14 05:44 |
2023-06-11 12:00 | EPIC wo/Lean [2] | 41.0% | 21.0% | 38.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2023-06-08 2023-06-14 | 2023-06-16 2023-08-09 01:18 |
2023-06-11 12:00 | EPIC Total [2] | 44.0% | 12.0% | 44.0% | TIED | 2023-06-08 2023-06-14 | 2023-06-16 2023-06-16 21:17 |
2023-04-18 12:00 | Public Opinion Strategies | 45.0% | 13.0% | 42.0% | Biden by 3.0% | 2023-04-17 2023-04-19 | 2023-04-21 2023-04-23 21:10 |
2022-12-07 00:00 | PPP | 50.0% | 7.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 7.0% | 2022-12-06 2022-12-07 | 2022-12-09 2023-03-24 07:09 |
2022-12-03 12:00 | EPIC | 47.0% | 10.0% | 43.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2022-11-30 2022-12-06 | 2022-12-09 2023-03-24 07:03 |
2022-10-30 00:00 | Emerson | 44.4% | 8.9% | 46.7% | Trump by 2.3% | 2022-10-28 2022-10-31 | 2022-11-02 2023-03-24 02:39 |
2022-10-13 12:00 | Emerson | 43.7% | 11.9% | 44.4% | Trump by 0.7% | 2022-10-12 2022-10-14 | 2022-10-18 2023-03-23 04:21 |
2022-09-17 12:00 | EPIC | 48.0% | 8.0% | 44.0% | Biden by 4.0% | 2022-09-15 2022-09-19 | 2022-09-22 2023-03-23 02:10 |
2022-08-16 00:00 | Blueprint | 41.2% | 18.0% | 40.8% | Biden by 0.4% | 2022-08-15 2022-08-16 | 2022-08-18 2023-03-21 03:53 |
2022-02-03 00:00 | Blueprint | 38.2% | 21.4% | 40.4% | Trump by 2.2% | 2022-02-01 2022-02-04 | 2022-02-10 2023-03-20 14:11 |
2021-11-14 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Definitely [2] | 38.0% | 17.0% | 45.0% | Trump by 7.0% | 2021-11-11 2021-11-16 | 2021-11-21 2023-07-04 00:46 |
2021-11-14 00:00 | Fabrizio Lee Total [2] | 41.0% | 6.0% | 53.0% | Trump by 12.0% | 2021-11-11 2021-11-16 | 2021-11-21 2023-03-20 13:24 |
2020-11-03 12:00 | Election2020 | 50.6% | 1.5% | 47.8% | DEM by 2.8% | 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 | 2020-11-03 2023-03-15 07:00 |
2016-11-08 12:00 | Election2016 | 47.3% | 5.2% | 47.5% | REP by 0.2% | 2016-11-08 2016-11-08 | 2016-11-08 2019-02-20 03:01 |
2012-11-06 12:00 | Election2012 | 54.2% | 1.1% | 44.7% | DEM by 9.5% | 2012-11-06 2012-11-06 | 2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:37 |
2008-11-04 12:00 | Election2008 | 57.4% | 1.6% | 41.0% | DEM by 16.5% | 2008-11-04 2008-11-04 | 2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:06 |
2004-11-02 12:00 | Election2004 | 51.2% | 1.0% | 47.8% | DEM by 3.4% | 2004-11-02 2004-11-02 | 2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:21 |
2000-11-07 12:00 | Election2000 | 51.3% | 2.6% | 46.2% | DEM by 5.1% | 2000-11-07 2000-11-07 | 2000-11-07 2013-11-10 09:53 |
1996-11-06 12:00 | Election1996 | 51.7% | 9.8% | 38.5% | DEM by 13.2% | 1996-11-06 1996-11-06 | 1996-11-06 2014-02-16 09:35 |
1992-11-03 12:00 | Election1992 | 43.8% | 19.9% | 36.4% | DEM by 7.4% | 1992-11-03 1992-11-03 | 1992-11-03 2014-03-17 03:25 |
1988-11-08 12:00 | Election1988 | 45.7% | 0.8% | 53.6% | REP by 7.9% | 1988-11-08 1988-11-08 | 1988-11-08 2014-05-17 10:27 |
1984-11-06 12:00 | Election1984 | 40.2% | 0.5% | 59.2% | REP by 19.0% | 1984-11-06 1984-11-06 | 1984-11-06 2014-05-22 03:42 |
1980-11-04 12:00 | Election1980 | 42.5% | 8.5% | 49.0% | REP by 6.5% | 1980-11-04 1980-11-04 | 1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:58 |
The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
State win probabilities are calculated based on 2008-2020 data using the methodology in the January 2023 blog post titled "Prepping the Math Stuff for 2024".