2016 Electoral College

Sanders vs Trump - Ohio [18 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-06-14 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-08-27 18:22 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Sanders vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Sanders Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterSandersTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-06-14 00:00

Quinnipiac

48.0%

38.0%

Sanders
by 10.0%

2016-06-08
2016-06-19

2016-06-21
2016-06-22 16:12

2016-05-20 12:00

Zogby w/4P [2]

43.0%

32.0%

Sanders
by 11.0%

2016-05-18
2016-05-22

2016-05-25
2016-05-26 19:10

2016-05-20 12:00

Zogby w/Other [2]

46.0%

35.0%

Sanders
by 11.0%

2016-05-18
2016-05-22

2016-05-25
2016-05-26 19:04

2016-05-18 00:00

YouGov

48.0%

39.0%

Sanders
by 9.0%

2016-05-16
2016-05-19

2016-05-22
2016-05-24 15:23

2016-05-03 00:00

Quinnipiac

43.0%

41.0%

Sanders
by 2.0%

2016-04-27
2016-05-08

2016-05-10
2016-05-10 13:49

2016-04-27 00:00

PPP

45.0%

41.0%

Sanders
by 4.0%

2016-04-26
2016-04-27

2016-05-02
2016-05-03 13:37

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterSandersTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-03-07 12:00

Marist

50.0%

41.0%

Sanders
by 9.0%

2016-03-04
2016-03-10

2016-03-13
2016-03-14 03:39

2016-03-05 12:00

PPP

44.0%

40.0%

Sanders
by 4.0%

2016-03-04
2016-03-06

2016-03-10
2016-03-11 06:22

2016-02-18 12:00

Quinnipiac

44.0%

44.0%

TIED

2016-02-16
2016-02-20

2016-02-24
2016-02-25 14:29

2016-02-16 00:00

BWU

43.0%

38.0%

Sanders
by 5.0%

2016-02-11
2016-02-20

2016-02-24
2016-08-27 18:22

2015-09-30 12:00

Quinnipiac

44.0%

41.0%

Sanders
by 3.0%

2015-09-25
2015-10-05

2015-10-07
2015-10-08 08:16

2015-08-13 00:00

Quinnipiac

42.0%

40.0%

Sanders
by 2.0%

2015-08-07
2015-08-18

2015-08-20
2015-08-21 07:04

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

50.7%

47.7%

DEM
by 3.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:05

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

51.5%

46.9%

DEM
by 4.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-05 08:33

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

48.7%

50.8%

REP
by 2.1%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:00

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.5%

50.0%

REP
by 3.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:42

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

47.4%

41.0%

DEM
by 6.4%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 18:19

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

40.2%

38.4%

DEM
by 1.8%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:37

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

44.2%

55.0%

REP
by 10.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:40

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

40.1%

58.9%

REP
by 18.8%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:49

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

40.9%

51.5%

REP
by 10.6%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:04

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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