2016 Electoral College

Sanders vs Trump - New Hampshire [4 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-05-14 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-05-19 03:39 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Sanders vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Sanders Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterSandersTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-05-14 00:00

WBUR

54.0%

38.0%

Sanders
by 16.0%

2016-05-12
2016-05-15

2016-05-18
2016-05-19 03:39

2016-04-13 12:00

Dartmouth

49.0%

28.4%

Sanders
by 20.6%

2016-04-11
2016-04-15

2016-05-04
2016-05-10 14:09

2016-04-12 12:00

WMUR

58.0%

31.0%

Sanders
by 27.0%

2016-04-07
2016-04-17

2016-04-21
2016-04-25 06:34

2016-02-24 12:00

WMUR

55.0%

34.0%

Sanders
by 21.0%

2016-02-20
2016-02-28

2016-02-29
2016-03-01 14:29

2016-02-06 12:00

UML

55.0%

34.0%

Sanders
by 21.0%

2016-02-05
2016-02-07

2016-02-08
2016-02-09 03:22

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterSandersTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-02-05 12:00

UML

55.0%

33.0%

Sanders
by 22.0%

2016-02-04
2016-02-06

2016-02-07
2016-02-07 18:25

2016-02-04 12:00

UML

54.0%

34.0%

Sanders
by 20.0%

2016-02-03
2016-02-05

2016-02-06
2016-02-06 17:58

2016-02-03 12:00

UML

54.0%

35.0%

Sanders
by 19.0%

2016-02-02
2016-02-04

2016-02-05
2016-02-06 20:21

2016-01-16 00:00

WMUR

57.0%

34.0%

Sanders
by 23.0%

2016-01-13
2016-01-18

2016-01-20
2016-01-21 09:09

2016-01-05 12:00

PPP

54.0%

34.0%

Sanders
by 20.0%

2016-01-04
2016-01-06

2016-01-08
2016-01-09 18:34

2016-01-05 00:00

Marist

56.0%

37.0%

Sanders
by 19.0%

2016-01-02
2016-01-07

2016-01-10
2016-01-11 14:46

2015-12-01 12:00

PPP

49.0%

40.0%

Sanders
by 9.0%

2015-11-30
2015-12-02

2015-12-07
2015-12-08 08:54

2015-10-17 12:00

PPP

49.0%

40.0%

Sanders
by 9.0%

2015-10-16
2015-10-18

2015-10-21
2015-10-25 20:10

2015-09-27 00:00

Marist

52.0%

42.0%

Sanders
by 10.0%

2015-09-23
2015-09-30

2015-10-05
2015-10-06 04:53

2015-09-20 12:00

WMUR

57.0%

37.0%

Sanders
by 20.0%

2015-09-17
2015-09-23

2015-09-25
2015-09-26 01:39

2015-08-23 00:00

PPP

50.0%

41.0%

Sanders
by 9.0%

2015-08-21
2015-08-24

2015-08-26
2015-08-27 15:50

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.0%

46.4%

DEM
by 5.6%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:47

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

54.1%

44.5%

DEM
by 9.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:30

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

50.2%

48.9%

DEM
by 1.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:52

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.8%

48.1%

REP
by 1.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:28

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

49.3%

39.4%

DEM
by 10.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 16:06

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

38.9%

37.7%

DEM
by 1.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:20

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.3%

62.5%

REP
by 26.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:22

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

31.0%

68.7%

REP
by 37.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:35

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

28.4%

57.7%

REP
by 29.4%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:54

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2016 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

If you find this site interesting or useful, please consider visiting the Tip Jar.

 

The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

Page cached at 2019-03-05 18:26:13 UTC

Original calculation time was 0.576 seconds

 

Page displayed at 2024-11-04 18:42:48 UTC

Page generated in 0.053 seconds