2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Connecticut [7 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 09:02 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

38.6%

29.3%

Clinton
by 9.3%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 09:02

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

55.3%

40.2%

Clinton
by 15.1%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 06:13

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

51.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:17

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

53.6%

38.3%

Clinton
by 15.3%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 15:25

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

40.5%

31.8%

Clinton
by 8.6%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 19:03

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

49.0%

41.5%

Clinton
by 7.5%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 23:32

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

54.0%

42.8%

Clinton
by 11.2%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-02 22:53

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

51.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 03:41

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

53.0%

39.7%

Clinton
by 13.3%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-30 23:20

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

43.3%

32.0%

Clinton
by 11.4%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 14:52

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

46.6%

35.8%

Clinton
by 10.8%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 02:24

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

54.6%

42.0%

Clinton
by 12.6%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 19:38

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

51.1%

36.2%

Clinton
by 14.8%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 03:17

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

40.4%

33.4%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 07:44

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

52.7%

38.6%

Clinton
by 14.1%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 19:23

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

54.7%

41.7%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 08:48

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

49.0%

27.7%

Clinton
by 21.3%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 03:12

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

52.6%

34.8%

Clinton
by 17.7%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 00:55

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

53.3%

37.1%

Clinton
by 16.2%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 15:55

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

44.3%

26.2%

Clinton
by 18.1%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 06:35

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

54.4%

41.6%

Clinton
by 12.8%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 17:44

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

53.0%

36.1%

Clinton
by 16.9%

2016-09-23
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 01:33

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

53.4%

38.1%

Clinton
by 15.3%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-24 21:43

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

44.5%

26.6%

Clinton
by 17.9%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-06 06:12

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

53.5%

35.2%

Clinton
by 18.2%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 03:31

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

53.6%

42.8%

Clinton
by 10.8%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 05:05

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

52.2%

39.0%

Clinton
by 13.2%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 04:42

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

37.5%

31.5%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-29 20:28

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

52.0%

34.1%

Clinton
by 17.9%

2016-09-09
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 04:51

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

53.7%

41.9%

Clinton
by 11.8%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 05:51

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

39.0%

31.8%

Clinton
by 7.2%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-24 02:13

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

47.3%

37.4%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:40

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

41.8%

26.4%

Clinton
by 15.4%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 15:30

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

47.2%

37.5%

Clinton
by 9.7%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 23:04

2016-09-04 00:00

Emerson w/4P

49.8%

34.9%

Clinton
by 14.9%

2016-09-02
2016-09-05

2016-09-07
2016-09-07 16:59

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

38.6%

26.4%

Clinton
by 12.2%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 17:04

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

45.7%

40.1%

Clinton
by 5.6%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 03:16

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

40.7%

25.5%

Clinton
by 15.1%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 17:03

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

47.0%

39.1%

Clinton
by 7.9%

2016-08-12
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 07:56

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

44.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:04

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

51.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 02:02

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

43.9%

26.5%

Clinton
by 17.4%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 17:01

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

42.3%

30.2%

Clinton
by 12.1%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 15:17

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

45.2%

35.9%

Clinton
by 9.3%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-13 15:16

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

50.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-28 05:27

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

41.8%

26.6%

Clinton
by 15.2%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 16:59

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

50.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 05:29

2016-07-06 00:00

Harper

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2016-07-05
2016-07-06

2016-07-17
2016-07-18 14:41

2016-06-03 12:00

Quinnipiac w/4P [2]

41.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-06-01
2016-06-05

2016-06-07
2016-06-09 05:24

2016-06-03 12:00

Quinnipiac [2]

45.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-06-01
2016-06-05

2016-06-07
2016-06-09 05:17

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

44.6%

39.6%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 21:48

2016-04-11 00:00

Emerson

48.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-04-10
2016-04-11

2016-04-12
2016-04-13 02:52

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

47.2%

36.3%

Clinton
by 10.9%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 17:17

2015-10-09 12:00

Quinnipiac

47.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2015-10-07
2015-10-11

2015-10-13
2015-10-15 02:42

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

58.1%

40.7%

DEM
by 17.3%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:05

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

60.6%

38.2%

DEM
by 22.4%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:44

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

54.3%

44.0%

DEM
by 10.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 01:22

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

55.9%

38.4%

DEM
by 17.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-09 05:47

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

52.8%

34.7%

DEM
by 18.1%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:28

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

42.2%

35.8%

DEM
by 6.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:12

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

46.9%

52.0%

REP
by 5.1%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 04:19

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

38.8%

60.7%

REP
by 21.9%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:08

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

38.5%

48.2%

REP
by 9.6%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:19

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

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Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

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