2016 Electoral College
Clinton vs Trump - Alaska [3 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:00 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
Nominees: Clinton vs Trump Best Polled: Clinton vs Trump Clinton vs Bush Clinton vs Cruz Clinton vs Rubio Clinton vs Huckabee || Comparison
Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Trump Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2016-11-05 00:00
Gravis w/4P
41.0%
44.0%
Trump by 3.0%
2016-11-03 2016-11-06
2016-11-07 2016-11-08 12:00
2016-11-04 12:00
Google w/3P
23.2%
47.4%
Trump by 24.2%
2016-11-01 2016-11-07
2016-11-08 2016-11-08 08:46
2016-11-03 00:00
CVoter
40.5%
52.7%
Trump by 12.2%
2016-10-30 2016-11-06
2016-11-07 2016-11-08 05:59
2016-11-01 12:00
SurveyMonkey EM w/3P
33.0%
46.0%
Trump by 13.0%
2016-10-29 2016-11-04
2016-11-05 2016-11-05 20:52
2016-10-30 00:00
YouGov EM w/4P
38.3%
48.7%
Trump by 10.4%
2016-10-23 2016-11-05
2016-11-06 2016-11-07 15:14
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Trump Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2016-10-28 12:00
Google w/3P
29.3%
32.6%
Trump by 3.3%
2016-10-25 2016-10-31
2016-11-01 2016-11-02 18:12
2016-10-26 12:00
CVoter
40.8%
54.9%
Trump by 14.1%
2016-10-23 2016-10-29
2016-10-31 2016-11-02 22:41
2016-10-26 12:00
Power (GCS) w/3P
38.0%
39.0%
Trump by 1.0%
2016-10-25 2016-10-27
2016-10-30 2016-10-31 06:11
2016-10-25 00:00
Craciun w/Lean w/4P [2]
47.0%
43.0%
Clinton by 4.0%
2016-10-22 2016-10-27
2016-10-29 2016-10-30 19:57
2016-10-25 00:00
Craciun w/4P [2]
36.0%
33.0%
Clinton by 3.0%
2016-10-22 2016-10-27
2016-10-29 2016-10-30 19:51
2016-10-24 12:00
SurveyMonkey EM w/3P
33.0%
45.0%
Trump by 12.0%
2016-10-20 2016-10-28
2016-10-28 2016-10-29 03:23
2016-10-23 00:00
YouGov EM w/4P
37.2%
49.7%
Trump by 12.5%
2016-10-16 2016-10-29
2016-10-30 2016-10-30 22:31
2016-10-22 12:00
Google w/3P
37.3%
33.2%
Clinton by 4.2%
2016-10-20 2016-10-24
2016-10-25 2016-10-30 14:37
2016-10-21 00:00
CCES w/4P
37.4%
37.7%
Trump by 0.3%
2016-10-04 2016-11-06
2016-11-07 2016-11-08 02:15
2016-10-20 00:00
CVoter
41.0%
54.5%
Trump by 13.5%
2016-10-16 2016-10-23
2016-10-24 2016-10-29 18:34
2016-10-17 12:00
Google w/3P
28.1%
36.9%
Trump by 8.8%
2016-10-15 2016-10-19
2016-10-20 2016-10-23 07:01
2016-10-16 00:00
YouGov EM w/4P
35.3%
48.5%
Trump by 13.2%
2016-10-09 2016-10-22
2016-10-23 2016-10-25 19:11
2016-10-13 00:00
CVoter
41.3%
54.1%
Trump by 12.8%
2016-10-09 2016-10-16
2016-10-17 2016-10-19 08:36
2016-10-12 12:00
Google w/3P
34.6%
30.0%
Clinton by 4.6%
2016-10-10 2016-10-14
2016-10-15 2016-10-19 02:21
2016-10-12 12:00
Lake w/4P
36.0%
37.0%
Trump by 1.0%
2016-10-11 2016-10-13
2016-10-16 2016-10-19 01:02
2016-10-09 00:00
YouGov EM w/4P
37.4%
48.1%
Trump by 10.7%
2016-10-02 2016-10-15
2016-10-16 2016-10-25 02:52
2016-10-07 00:00
Google w/3P
30.0%
27.2%
Clinton by 2.8%
2016-10-04 2016-10-09
2016-10-10 2016-10-11 05:20
2016-10-06 00:00
CVoter
41.3%
53.4%
Trump by 12.1%
2016-10-02 2016-10-09
2016-10-10 2016-10-12 16:36
2016-10-06 00:00
Ivan Moore w/4P
34.0%
37.0%
Trump by 3.0%
2016-10-05 2016-10-06
2016-10-08 2016-10-09 02:58
2016-10-02 00:00
YouGov EM w/4P
36.7%
49.9%
Trump by 13.2%
2016-09-25 2016-10-08
2016-10-09 2016-10-24 18:56
2016-09-30 12:00
ASR [2]
42.0%
45.8%
Trump by 3.8%
2016-09-28 2016-10-02
2016-10-09 2016-10-10 05:50
2016-09-30 12:00
ASR w/4P [2]
30.6%
36.1%
Trump by 5.5%
2016-09-28 2016-10-02
2016-10-09 2016-10-10 05:21
2016-09-30 12:00
Google w/3P
47.5%
36.7%
Clinton by 10.8%
2016-09-27 2016-10-03
2016-10-04 2016-10-06 05:46
2016-09-26 00:00
CVoter
40.3%
55.2%
Trump by 14.9%
2016-09-19 2016-10-02
2016-10-03 2016-10-04 04:52
2016-09-25 00:00
YouGov EM w/4P
36.7%
50.9%
Trump by 14.2%
2016-09-18 2016-10-01
2016-10-02 2016-10-24 02:30
2016-09-24 00:00
Google w/3P
28.4%
37.7%
Trump by 9.4%
2016-09-21 2016-09-26
2016-09-27 2016-09-29 19:47
2016-09-19 00:00
CVoter
40.1%
54.9%
Trump by 14.8%
2016-09-12 2016-09-25
2016-09-26 2016-09-28 05:34
2016-09-17 12:00
Google w/3P
20.8%
39.2%
Trump by 18.4%
2016-09-14 2016-09-20
2016-09-21 2016-09-23 14:57
2016-09-14 12:00
Ivan Moore w/4P
31.0%
39.0%
Trump by 8.0%
2016-09-13 2016-09-15
2016-10-08 2016-10-09 02:56
2016-09-10 12:00
Google w/3P
23.4%
41.2%
Trump by 17.8%
2016-09-07 2016-09-13
2016-09-14 2016-09-18 16:39
2016-09-03 12:00
Google w/3P
18.1%
44.2%
Trump by 26.2%
2016-08-31 2016-09-06
2016-09-07 2016-09-11 17:35
2016-08-28 12:00
Ivan Moore w/4P
29.0%
39.0%
Trump by 10.0%
2016-08-27 2016-08-29
2016-09-01 2016-09-04 08:19
2016-08-27 12:00
Google w/3P
30.8%
29.4%
Clinton by 1.5%
2016-08-24 2016-08-30
2016-08-31 2016-09-11 17:32
2016-08-21 00:00
WaPo w/4P [2]
31.0%
38.0%
Trump by 7.0%
2016-08-09 2016-09-01
2016-09-06 2016-09-06 16:21
2016-08-21 00:00
WaPo [2]
39.0%
47.0%
Trump by 8.0%
2016-08-09 2016-09-01
2016-09-06 2016-09-06 16:19
2016-08-20 12:00
Google w/3P
29.5%
38.0%
Trump by 8.5%
2016-08-17 2016-08-23
2016-08-24 2016-09-11 17:29
2016-08-16 12:00
Morning Consult w/4P [2]
26.4%
39.6%
Trump by 13.2%
2016-08-01 2016-08-31
2016-09-08 2016-09-13 14:38
2016-08-16 12:00
Morning Consult [2]
29.3%
50.2%
Trump by 20.9%
2016-08-01 2016-08-31
2016-09-08 2016-09-13 14:35
2016-08-13 12:00
Google w/3P
31.7%
28.4%
Clinton by 3.3%
2016-08-10 2016-08-16
2016-08-17 2016-09-11 17:27
2016-08-12 00:00
Lake w/4P
30.0%
38.0%
Trump by 8.0%
2016-08-09 2016-08-14
2016-10-16 2016-10-19 01:04
2016-06-18 12:00
Ivan Moore w/4P [2]
30.4%
39.4%
Trump by 9.0%
2016-06-16 2016-06-20
2016-08-22 2016-08-28 06:23
2016-06-18 12:00
Ivan Moore [2]
41.0%
45.0%
Trump by 4.0%
2016-06-16 2016-06-20
2016-08-22 2016-08-28 06:19
2016-05-16 12:00
Morning Consult
31.5%
52.5%
Trump by 21.0%
2016-04-01 2016-06-30
2016-07-14 2016-07-25 21:34
2016-02-19 00:00
Morning Consult
33.2%
48.0%
Trump by 14.8%
2016-01-01 2016-04-07
2016-04-13 2016-07-23 16:58
2016-01-09 00:00
Ivan Moore
44.1%
49.3%
Trump by 5.2%
2016-01-05 2016-01-12
2016-01-23 2016-07-10 22:05
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
40.8%
54.8%
REP by 14.0%
2012-11-06 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 2013-09-21 23:06
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
37.9%
59.4%
REP by 21.5%
2008-11-04 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 2013-09-22 10:36
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
35.5%
61.1%
REP by 25.6%
2004-11-02 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 2013-10-13 23:25
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
27.7%
58.6%
REP by 31.0%
2000-11-07 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 2013-11-05 07:08
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
33.3%
50.8%
REP by 17.5%
1996-11-06 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 2014-02-16 08:12
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
30.3%
39.5%
REP by 9.2%
1992-11-03 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 2014-03-17 02:04
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
36.3%
59.6%
REP by 23.3%
1988-11-08 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 2014-05-17 02:51
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
29.9%
66.7%
REP by 36.8%
1984-11-06 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 2014-05-21 06:12
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
26.4%
54.4%
REP by 27.9%
1980-11-04 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 2014-10-17 17:05
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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
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