2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Rubio - Minnesota [10 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-01-19 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-01-29 03:30 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Rubio National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Rubio
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRubioMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-01-19 12:00

Mason-Dixon

40.0%

49.0%

Rubio
by 9.0%

2016-01-18
2016-01-20

2016-01-24
2016-01-29 03:30

2015-10-31 12:00

SurveyUSA

41.0%

47.0%

Rubio
by 6.0%

2015-10-29
2015-11-02

2015-11-08
2015-11-10 02:01

2015-08-01 00:00

PPP

42.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-07-30
2015-08-02

2015-08-04
2015-08-06 05:41

2013-01-19 12:00

PPP

50.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2013-01-18
2013-01-20

2013-01-24
2013-03-21 18:27

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.7%

45.0%

DEM
by 7.7%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:38

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonRubioMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

54.1%

43.8%

DEM
by 10.2%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:07

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

51.1%

47.6%

DEM
by 3.5%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:23

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

47.9%

45.4%

DEM
by 2.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:54

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

51.1%

35.0%

DEM
by 16.1%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 15:38

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.5%

31.9%

DEM
by 11.6%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 03:27

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

52.9%

45.9%

DEM
by 7.0%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 11:09

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

49.7%

49.5%

DEM
by 0.2%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 03:45

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

46.5%

42.6%

DEM
by 3.9%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:00

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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