2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Kasich - Ohio [18 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-08-20 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-08-27 18:18 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Kasich National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Kasich
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-08-20 00:00

Monmouth

33.0%

57.0%

Kasich
by 24.0%

2016-08-18
2016-08-21

2016-08-22
2016-08-23 14:07

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia w/3P [2]

35.0%

46.0%

Kasich
by 11.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 17:43

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia [2]

35.0%

49.0%

Kasich
by 14.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 16:31

2016-04-27 00:00

PPP

41.0%

43.0%

Kasich
by 2.0%

2016-04-26
2016-04-27

2016-05-02
2016-05-03 13:27

2016-03-07 12:00

Marist

36.0%

57.0%

Kasich
by 21.0%

2016-03-04
2016-03-10

2016-03-13
2016-03-14 03:34

2016-03-05 12:00

PPP

37.0%

52.0%

Kasich
by 15.0%

2016-03-04
2016-03-06

2016-03-10
2016-03-11 06:02

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

34.5%

49.5%

Kasich
by 15.0%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-25 20:20

2016-02-18 12:00

Quinnipiac

37.0%

54.0%

Kasich
by 17.0%

2016-02-16
2016-02-20

2016-02-24
2016-02-25 14:08

2016-02-16 00:00

BWU

34.0%

55.0%

Kasich
by 21.0%

2016-02-11
2016-02-20

2016-02-24
2016-08-27 18:18

2015-06-10 00:00

Quinnipiac

40.0%

47.0%

Kasich
by 7.0%

2015-06-04
2015-06-15

2015-06-17
2015-06-20 16:17

2015-06-06 00:00

PPP

40.0%

47.0%

Kasich
by 7.0%

2015-06-04
2015-06-07

2015-06-10
2015-06-14 12:41

2015-01-27 12:00

Quinnipiac

44.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2015-01-22
2015-02-01

2015-02-03
2015-02-04 06:25

2014-10-29 12:00

Fox

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2014-10-28
2014-10-30

2014-10-30
2014-11-17 05:59

2014-07-26 12:00

Quinnipiac

47.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2014-07-24
2014-07-28

2014-07-31
2014-07-31 14:08

2014-05-10 00:00

Quinnipiac

47.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2014-05-07
2014-05-12

2014-05-15
2014-05-15 15:37

2014-02-15 00:00

Quinnipiac

51.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2014-02-12
2014-02-17

2014-02-20
2014-02-22 17:44

2013-11-22 00:00

Quinnipiac

49.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2013-11-19
2013-11-24

2013-11-27
2013-11-27 21:53

2013-08-18 00:00

PPP

53.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 18.0%

2013-08-16
2013-08-19

2013-08-22
2014-01-25 21:32

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

50.7%

47.7%

DEM
by 3.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:05

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

51.5%

46.9%

DEM
by 4.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-05 08:33

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

48.7%

50.8%

REP
by 2.1%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:00

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.5%

50.0%

REP
by 3.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:42

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

47.4%

41.0%

DEM
by 6.4%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 18:19

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

40.2%

38.4%

DEM
by 1.8%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:37

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

44.2%

55.0%

REP
by 10.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:40

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

40.1%

58.9%

REP
by 18.8%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:49

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

40.9%

51.5%

REP
by 10.6%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:04

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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