2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Kasich - New Hampshire [4 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-13 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-25 20:01 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Kasich National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Kasich
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-04-13 12:00

Dartmouth

25.7%

52.7%

Kasich
by 27.0%

2016-04-11
2016-04-15

2016-05-04
2016-05-10 14:06

2016-04-12 12:00

WMUR

36.0%

50.0%

Kasich
by 14.0%

2016-04-07
2016-04-17

2016-04-21
2016-04-25 06:30

2016-02-24 12:00

WMUR

37.0%

47.0%

Kasich
by 10.0%

2016-02-20
2016-02-28

2016-02-29
2016-03-01 14:52

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

33.2%

47.8%

Kasich
by 14.6%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-25 20:01

2016-01-16 00:00

WMUR

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2016-01-13
2016-01-18

2016-01-20
2016-01-21 09:38

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-11-16 12:00

Fox

40.0%

43.0%

Kasich
by 3.0%

2015-11-15
2015-11-17

2015-11-18
2015-11-22 11:07

2015-10-17 12:00

PPP

44.0%

44.0%

TIED

2015-10-16
2015-10-18

2015-10-21
2015-10-25 19:39

2015-08-23 00:00

PPP

41.0%

43.0%

Kasich
by 2.0%

2015-08-21
2015-08-24

2015-08-26
2015-08-27 15:12

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.0%

46.4%

DEM
by 5.6%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:47

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

54.1%

44.5%

DEM
by 9.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:30

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

50.2%

48.9%

DEM
by 1.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:52

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.8%

48.1%

REP
by 1.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:28

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

49.3%

39.4%

DEM
by 10.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 16:06

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

38.9%

37.7%

DEM
by 1.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:20

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.3%

62.5%

REP
by 26.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:22

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

31.0%

68.7%

REP
by 37.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:35

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

28.4%

57.7%

REP
by 29.4%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:54

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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