2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Kasich - Nebraska (All) [2 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-02-19 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-25 19:54 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Kasich National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Kasich
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

30.8%

50.6%

Kasich
by 19.8%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-25 19:54

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

38.0%

59.8%

REP
by 21.8%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:42

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

41.6%

56.5%

REP
by 14.9%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:20

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

32.7%

65.9%

REP
by 33.2%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:31

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

33.3%

62.3%

REP
by 29.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:02

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

35.0%

53.7%

REP
by 18.7%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 15:42

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

29.4%

46.6%

REP
by 17.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 03:36

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

39.2%

60.2%

REP
by 21.0%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 12:39

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

28.8%

70.6%

REP
by 41.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 03:53

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

26.0%

65.5%

REP
by 39.5%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:27

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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