2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Kasich - Florida [29 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-06-16 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-08-27 05:10 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Kasich National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Kasich
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia w/3P [2]

44.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 17:33

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia [2]

45.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 16:12

2016-03-15 12:00

St Leo

45.6%

36.9%

Clinton
by 8.7%

2016-03-13
2016-03-17

2016-03-18
2016-08-27 05:10

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

43.6%

38.6%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-25 14:58

2015-09-12 12:00

PPP

41.0%

44.0%

Kasich
by 3.0%

2015-09-11
2015-09-13

2015-09-15
2015-09-16 08:12

2015-06-10 00:00

Quinnipiac

48.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2015-06-04
2015-06-15

2015-06-17
2015-06-20 16:13

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonKasichMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

50.0%

49.1%

DEM
by 0.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:08

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

51.0%

48.2%

DEM
by 2.8%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:48

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

47.1%

52.1%

REP
by 5.0%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 01:26

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

48.8%

48.9%

REP
by 0.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-09 05:52

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

48.0%

42.3%

DEM
by 5.7%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:31

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

39.0%

40.9%

REP
by 1.9%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:16

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

38.5%

60.9%

REP
by 22.4%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 05:14

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

34.7%

65.3%

REP
by 30.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:24

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

38.5%

55.5%

REP
by 17.0%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:24

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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