2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Huckabee - Illinois [20 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-07-21 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-07-30 03:39 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Huckabee National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Huckabee
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonHuckabeeMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-07-21 00:00

PPP

51.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2015-07-20
2015-07-21

2015-07-29
2015-07-30 03:39

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

57.6%

40.7%

DEM
by 16.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:26

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

61.9%

36.8%

DEM
by 25.1%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-25 05:29

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

54.8%

44.5%

DEM
by 10.3%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 05:43

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

54.6%

42.6%

DEM
by 12.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-09 06:05

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonHuckabeeMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

54.3%

36.8%

DEM
by 17.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:48

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

48.6%

34.3%

DEM
by 14.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:23

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

48.6%

50.7%

REP
by 2.1%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 08:14

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

43.3%

56.2%

REP
by 12.9%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:34

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

41.7%

49.7%

REP
by 7.9%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:31

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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