2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Cruz - Utah [6 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-03-30 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-25 01:04 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Cruz
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-03-30 00:00

UtahPolicy

26.0%

67.0%

Cruz
by 41.0%

2016-03-23
2016-04-05

2016-04-18
2016-04-19 04:51

2016-03-12 00:00

Deseret

32.0%

60.0%

Cruz
by 28.0%

2016-03-08
2016-03-15

2016-03-20
2016-03-20 19:35

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

27.7%

55.2%

Cruz
by 27.5%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-25 01:04

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

24.8%

72.8%

REP
by 48.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:14

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

34.4%

62.6%

REP
by 28.2%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 01:55

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

26.0%

71.5%

REP
by 45.5%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:12

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

26.3%

66.8%

REP
by 40.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:07

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

33.3%

54.4%

REP
by 21.1%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:46

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

24.7%

43.4%

REP
by 18.7%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:01

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

32.1%

66.2%

REP
by 34.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:03

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

24.7%

74.5%

REP
by 49.8%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:09

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

20.6%

72.8%

REP
by 52.2%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:25

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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