2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Cruz - New York [29 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-16 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-25 00:35 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Cruz
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-04-16 12:00

Emerson

59.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 31.0%

2016-04-15
2016-04-17

2016-04-17
2016-04-19 02:57

2016-04-09 00:00

PPP

56.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 26.0%

2016-04-07
2016-04-10

2016-04-12
2016-04-13 04:25

2016-04-08 12:00

Marist

61.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 30.0%

2016-04-06
2016-04-10

2016-04-12
2016-04-13 05:55

2016-04-07 00:00

Emerson

57.6%

29.6%

Clinton
by 28.0%

2016-04-06
2016-04-07

2016-04-08
2016-04-09 14:57

2016-03-26 00:00

Quinnipiac

53.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-03-22
2016-03-29

2016-03-31
2016-04-02 03:18

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-03-15 12:00

Emerson

60.5%

30.4%

Clinton
by 30.1%

2016-03-14
2016-03-16

2016-03-18
2016-03-19 04:13

2016-03-01 12:00

Siena

58.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 25.0%

2016-02-28
2016-03-03

2016-03-07
2016-03-08 15:27

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

53.3%

29.9%

Clinton
by 23.4%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-25 00:35

2015-04-21 12:00

Siena

59.0%

26.0%

Clinton
by 33.0%

2015-04-19
2015-04-23

2015-04-27
2015-05-01 04:35

2015-03-14 00:00

Quinnipiac

60.0%

27.0%

Clinton
by 33.0%

2015-03-11
2015-03-16

2015-03-23
2015-03-24 18:11

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

63.4%

35.2%

DEM
by 28.2%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:02

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

62.9%

36.0%

DEM
by 26.9%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:34

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

58.4%

40.1%

DEM
by 18.3%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:56

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

60.2%

35.2%

DEM
by 25.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:35

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

59.5%

30.6%

DEM
by 28.9%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 17:28

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

49.7%

33.9%

DEM
by 15.9%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:26

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

51.6%

47.5%

DEM
by 4.1%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:29

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

45.8%

53.8%

REP
by 8.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:43

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

44.0%

46.7%

REP
by 2.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:59

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2016 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

If you find this site interesting or useful, please consider visiting the Tip Jar.

 

The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

Page cached at 2019-03-05 01:23:59 UTC

Original calculation time was 0.635 seconds

 

Page displayed at 2019-10-19 17:39:32 UTC

Page generated in 0.147 seconds