2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Cruz - New Hampshire [4 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-13 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-25 00:22 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Cruz
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-04-13 12:00

Dartmouth

34.3%

32.6%

Clinton
by 1.7%

2016-04-11
2016-04-15

2016-05-04
2016-05-10 13:59

2016-04-12 12:00

WMUR

48.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-04-07
2016-04-17

2016-04-21
2016-04-25 06:26

2016-02-24 12:00

WMUR

46.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-02-20
2016-02-28

2016-02-29
2016-03-01 14:34

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

42.8%

38.9%

Clinton
by 3.9%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-25 00:22

2016-02-06 12:00

UML

45.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-02-05
2016-02-07

2016-02-08
2016-02-09 03:15

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-02-05 12:00

UML

45.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-02-04
2016-02-06

2016-02-07
2016-02-07 17:55

2016-02-04 12:00

UML

46.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-02-03
2016-02-05

2016-02-06
2016-02-06 17:47

2016-02-03 12:00

UML

44.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-02-02
2016-02-04

2016-02-05
2016-02-06 20:12

2016-01-16 00:00

WMUR

47.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-01-13
2016-01-18

2016-01-20
2016-01-21 09:14

2016-01-05 12:00

PPP

48.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-01-04
2016-01-06

2016-01-08
2016-01-09 18:13

2016-01-05 00:00

Marist

44.0%

48.0%

Cruz
by 4.0%

2016-01-02
2016-01-07

2016-01-10
2016-01-11 14:36

2015-12-01 12:00

PPP

47.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2015-11-30
2015-12-02

2015-12-07
2015-12-08 08:27

2015-11-16 12:00

Fox

44.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-11-15
2015-11-17

2015-11-18
2015-11-22 10:24

2015-10-17 12:00

PPP

50.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2015-10-16
2015-10-18

2015-10-21
2015-10-25 18:48

2015-08-23 00:00

PPP

49.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2015-08-21
2015-08-24

2015-08-26
2015-08-27 15:03

2015-04-29 00:00

WMUR

46.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2015-04-24
2015-05-03

2015-05-07
2015-05-08 02:53

2015-04-29 00:00

Dartmouth

39.6%

28.7%

Clinton
by 10.9%

2015-04-27
2015-04-30

2015-05-06
2015-05-07 04:59

2015-04-22 00:00

Gravis

47.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-04-21
2015-04-22

2015-04-27
2015-05-01 05:38

2015-04-11 12:00

PPP

52.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2015-04-09
2015-04-13

2015-04-21
2015-04-21 17:16

2014-07-10 12:00

Marist

51.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2014-07-07
2014-07-13

2014-07-17
2014-07-18 14:50

2014-01-11 00:00

PPP

51.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2014-01-09
2014-01-12

2014-01-16
2014-01-23 23:32

2013-09-15 00:00

PPP

50.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2013-09-13
2013-09-16

2013-09-18
2013-09-25 23:24

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.0%

46.4%

DEM
by 5.6%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:47

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

54.1%

44.5%

DEM
by 9.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:30

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

50.2%

48.9%

DEM
by 1.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:52

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.8%

48.1%

REP
by 1.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:28

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

49.3%

39.4%

DEM
by 10.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 16:06

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

38.9%

37.7%

DEM
by 1.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:20

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.3%

62.5%

REP
by 26.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:22

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

31.0%

68.7%

REP
by 37.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:35

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

28.4%

57.7%

REP
by 29.4%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:54

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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