2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Cruz - Arizona [11 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-08 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-07-24 04:16 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Cruz National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Cruz
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-04-08 00:00

BRC

38.0%

43.0%

Cruz
by 5.0%

2016-04-04
2016-04-11

2016-04-25
2016-04-30 15:24

2016-03-09 12:00

Merrill

35.0%

41.0%

Cruz
by 6.0%

2016-03-07
2016-03-11

2016-03-16
2016-03-19 15:46

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

39.4%

43.5%

Cruz
by 4.1%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-24 04:16

2015-12-07 00:00

Strategies 360

40.0%

50.0%

Cruz
by 10.0%

2015-12-04
2015-12-09

2015-12-16
2015-12-19 20:03

2015-05-02 12:00

PPP

43.0%

44.0%

Cruz
by 1.0%

2015-05-01
2015-05-03

2015-05-06
2015-05-07 05:26

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonCruzMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

44.6%

53.7%

REP
by 9.1%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-21 23:07

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

45.1%

53.6%

REP
by 8.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:38

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

44.4%

54.9%

REP
by 10.5%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-13 23:27

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

44.7%

51.0%

REP
by 6.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-05 07:10

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

46.5%

44.3%

DEM
by 2.2%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:13

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

36.5%

38.5%

REP
by 2.0%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:06

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

38.7%

60.0%

REP
by 21.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 03:08

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

32.5%

66.4%

REP
by 33.9%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 06:15

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

28.2%

60.6%

REP
by 32.4%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:10

 

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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