2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Bush - North Carolina [15 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-02-15 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-02-20 07:23 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Bush National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Bush
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonBushMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-02-15 12:00

PPP

42.0%

44.0%

Bush
by 2.0%

2016-02-14
2016-02-16

2016-02-17
2016-02-20 07:23

2016-01-19 00:00

PPP

43.0%

45.0%

Bush
by 2.0%

2016-01-18
2016-01-19

2016-01-20
2016-01-21 06:46

2015-12-06 12:00

PPP

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2015-12-05
2015-12-07

2015-12-08
2015-12-10 04:12

2015-10-31 12:00

Elon

46.6%

43.0%

Clinton
by 3.6%

2015-10-29
2015-11-02

2015-11-05
2015-11-06 07:24

2015-10-24 12:00

PPP

46.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-10-23
2015-10-25

2015-10-27
2015-10-29 04:03

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonBushMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-09-29 12:00

Civitas

41.0%

45.0%

Bush
by 4.0%

2015-09-28
2015-09-30

2015-10-09
2015-10-15 07:47

2015-09-26 00:00

PPP

41.0%

46.0%

Bush
by 5.0%

2015-09-24
2015-09-27

2015-09-29
2015-09-30 02:18

2015-09-19 12:00

Elon

42.6%

46.0%

Bush
by 3.4%

2015-09-17
2015-09-21

2015-09-24
2015-09-26 00:48

2015-08-14 12:00

PPP

42.0%

42.0%

TIED

2015-08-12
2015-08-16

2015-08-19
2015-08-20 00:41

2015-07-04 12:00

PPP

45.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-07-02
2015-07-06

2015-07-08
2015-07-12 00:08

2015-05-30 00:00

PPP

47.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2015-05-28
2015-05-31

2015-06-04
2015-06-05 13:33

2015-04-30 12:00

Gravis

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2015-04-30
2015-04-30

2015-05-11
2015-05-12 06:10

2015-04-25 00:00

SurveyUSA

45.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-04-22
2015-04-27

2015-04-27
2015-05-01 03:58

2015-04-22 12:00

Elon

47.4%

44.0%

Clinton
by 3.4%

2015-04-20
2015-04-24

2015-04-27
2015-05-01 04:38

2015-04-04 00:00

PPP

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2015-04-02
2015-04-05

2015-04-10
2015-04-11 06:40

2015-02-25 12:00

PPP

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2015-02-24
2015-02-26

2015-03-04
2015-03-05 02:30

2015-02-18 12:00

Elon

45.7%

40.2%

Clinton
by 5.5%

2015-02-16
2015-02-20

2015-02-24
2015-02-25 03:53

2015-01-30 12:00

PPP

44.0%

44.0%

TIED

2015-01-29
2015-01-31

2015-02-04
2015-02-05 01:38

2014-12-06 00:00

PPP

46.0%

46.0%

TIED

2014-12-04
2014-12-07

2014-12-11
2014-12-12 05:00

2014-09-13 00:00

PPP

43.0%

45.0%

Bush
by 2.0%

2014-09-11
2014-09-14

2014-09-16
2014-09-17 16:54

2014-08-16 00:00

PPP

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2014-08-14
2014-08-17

2014-08-20
2014-08-23 10:06

2014-07-29 00:00

Civitas

47.0%

48.0%

Bush
by 1.0%

2014-07-28
2014-07-29

2014-08-06
2014-08-07 06:27

2014-06-14 00:00

PPP

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2014-06-12
2014-06-15

2014-06-19
2014-06-19 17:02

2014-05-10 12:00

PPP

45.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2014-05-09
2014-05-11

2014-05-14
2014-05-15 05:57

2014-04-05 00:00

PPP

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2014-04-03
2014-04-06

2014-04-10
2014-04-28 05:17

2014-03-08 00:00

PPP

47.0%

46.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2014-03-06
2014-03-09

2014-03-12
2014-03-16 09:28

2014-02-08 00:00

PPP

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2014-02-06
2014-02-09

2014-02-12
2014-02-22 17:11

2014-01-11 00:00

PPP

46.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2014-01-09
2014-01-12

2014-01-16
2014-01-23 23:09

2013-12-07 00:00

PPP

46.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2013-12-05
2013-12-08

2013-12-12
2013-12-14 22:58

2013-11-10 00:00

PPP

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2013-11-08
2013-11-11

2013-11-13
2014-01-25 21:18

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

48.4%

50.4%

REP
by 2.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:03

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

49.7%

49.4%

DEM
by 0.3%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:36

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

43.6%

56.0%

REP
by 12.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:58

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

43.2%

56.0%

REP
by 12.8%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:38

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

44.0%

48.7%

REP
by 4.7%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 17:30

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

42.7%

43.4%

REP
by 0.8%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:35

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

41.7%

58.0%

REP
by 16.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:32

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

37.9%

61.9%

REP
by 24.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:45

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

47.2%

49.3%

REP
by 2.1%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:01

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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