2016 Electoral College

Sanders vs Trump - West Virginia [5 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-04-30 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-05-05 06:21 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Sanders vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Sanders Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterSandersTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-04-30 12:00

PPP

35.0%

56.0%

Trump
by 21.0%

2016-04-29
2016-05-01

2016-05-03
2016-05-05 06:21

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

35.5%

62.3%

REP
by 26.8%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:18

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

42.6%

55.7%

REP
by 13.1%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 03:20

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

43.2%

56.1%

REP
by 12.9%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:18

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

45.6%

51.9%

REP
by 6.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:14

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterSandersTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

51.5%

36.8%

DEM
by 14.8%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:52

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

48.4%

35.4%

DEM
by 13.0%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:08

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

52.2%

47.5%

DEM
by 4.7%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:11

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

44.6%

55.1%

REP
by 10.5%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:44

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

49.8%

45.3%

DEM
by 4.5%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:33

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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