2016 Electoral College
Sanders vs Trump - New Hampshire [4 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-05-14 00:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2016-05-19 03:39 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
Nominees: Clinton vs Trump Best Polled: Clinton vs Trump Clinton vs Bush Clinton vs Cruz Clinton vs Rubio Clinton vs Huckabee || Comparison
Switch to Sanders vs Trump National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Sanders Trump Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2016-05-14 00:00
WBUR
54.0%
38.0%
Sanders by 16.0%
2016-05-12 2016-05-15
2016-05-18 2016-05-19 03:39
2016-04-13 12:00
Dartmouth
49.0%
28.4%
Sanders by 20.6%
2016-04-11 2016-04-15
2016-05-04 2016-05-10 14:09
2016-04-12 12:00
WMUR
58.0%
31.0%
Sanders by 27.0%
2016-04-07 2016-04-17
2016-04-21 2016-04-25 06:34
2016-02-24 12:00
WMUR
55.0%
34.0%
Sanders by 21.0%
2016-02-20 2016-02-28
2016-02-29 2016-03-01 14:29
2016-02-06 12:00
UML
55.0%
34.0%
Sanders by 21.0%
2016-02-05 2016-02-07
2016-02-08 2016-02-09 03:22
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Sanders Trump Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2016-02-05 12:00
UML
55.0%
33.0%
Sanders by 22.0%
2016-02-04 2016-02-06
2016-02-07 2016-02-07 18:25
2016-02-04 12:00
UML
54.0%
34.0%
Sanders by 20.0%
2016-02-03 2016-02-05
2016-02-06 2016-02-06 17:58
2016-02-03 12:00
UML
54.0%
35.0%
Sanders by 19.0%
2016-02-02 2016-02-04
2016-02-05 2016-02-06 20:21
2016-01-16 00:00
WMUR
57.0%
34.0%
Sanders by 23.0%
2016-01-13 2016-01-18
2016-01-20 2016-01-21 09:09
2016-01-05 12:00
PPP
54.0%
34.0%
Sanders by 20.0%
2016-01-04 2016-01-06
2016-01-08 2016-01-09 18:34
2016-01-05 00:00
Marist
56.0%
37.0%
Sanders by 19.0%
2016-01-02 2016-01-07
2016-01-10 2016-01-11 14:46
2015-12-01 12:00
PPP
49.0%
40.0%
Sanders by 9.0%
2015-11-30 2015-12-02
2015-12-07 2015-12-08 08:54
2015-10-17 12:00
PPP
49.0%
40.0%
Sanders by 9.0%
2015-10-16 2015-10-18
2015-10-21 2015-10-25 20:10
2015-09-27 00:00
Marist
52.0%
42.0%
Sanders by 10.0%
2015-09-23 2015-09-30
2015-10-05 2015-10-06 04:53
2015-09-20 12:00
WMUR
57.0%
37.0%
Sanders by 20.0%
2015-09-17 2015-09-23
2015-09-25 2015-09-26 01:39
2015-08-23 00:00
PPP
50.0%
41.0%
Sanders by 9.0%
2015-08-21 2015-08-24
2015-08-26 2015-08-27 15:50
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
52.0%
46.4%
DEM by 5.6%
2012-11-06 2012-11-06
2012-11-06 2013-09-22 02:47
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
54.1%
44.5%
DEM by 9.6%
2008-11-04 2008-11-04
2008-11-04 2013-09-30 03:30
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
50.2%
48.9%
DEM by 1.4%
2004-11-02 2004-11-02
2004-11-02 2013-10-14 06:52
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
46.8%
48.1%
REP by 1.3%
2000-11-07 2000-11-07
2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:28
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
49.3%
39.4%
DEM by 10.0%
1996-11-06 1996-11-06
1996-11-06 2014-02-16 16:06
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
38.9%
37.7%
DEM by 1.2%
1992-11-03 1992-11-03
1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:20
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
36.3%
62.5%
REP by 26.2%
1988-11-08 1988-11-08
1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:22
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
31.0%
68.7%
REP by 37.7%
1984-11-06 1984-11-06
1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:35
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
28.4%
57.7%
REP by 29.4%
1980-11-04 1980-11-04
1980-11-04 2014-10-17 18:54
Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races .
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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ
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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here .
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