2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Wyoming [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:40 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	25.0%	47.1%	Trump by 22.1%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 11:40
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	27.9%	67.2%	Trump by 39.3%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 08:10
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	22.0%	60.0%	Trump by 38.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 21:22
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	27.8%	62.1%	Trump by 34.3%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 18:17
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	26.7%	57.3%	Trump by 30.6%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 22:27

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	29.8%	65.4%	Trump by 35.6%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-03 04:01
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	24.0%	60.0%	Trump by 36.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 18:26
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	28.6%	61.6%	Trump by 33.0%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-31 02:46
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	20.8%	52.8%	Trump by 32.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 18:01
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	26.2%	59.0%	Trump by 32.8%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 04:09
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	30.0%	65.0%	Trump by 35.0%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-30 02:13
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	27.4%	46.1%	Trump by 18.7%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 17:44
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	29.1%	58.3%	Trump by 29.2%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 23:20
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	30.2%	64.3%	Trump by 34.1%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 11:02
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	16.6%	51.9%	Trump by 35.3%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 07:24
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	27.9%	59.0%	Trump by 31.1%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 17:47
2016-10-08 12:00	WSAC w/4P	20.0%	58.0%	Trump by 38.0%	2016-10-05 2016-10-11	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 18:09
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	11.0%	52.7%	Trump by 41.7%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 18:30
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	30.7%	63.0%	Trump by 32.3%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-13 05:16
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	29.5%	61.0%	Trump by 31.5%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-25 02:26
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	18.8%	35.1%	Trump by 16.3%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-07 16:45
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	29.4%	65.2%	Trump by 35.8%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-05 00:55
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	28.7%	60.9%	Trump by 32.2%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 18:22
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	17.8%	45.9%	Trump by 28.1%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-30 04:31
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	29.2%	65.1%	Trump by 35.9%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 18:53
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	30.1%	45.3%	Trump by 15.1%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-25 19:27
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	16.6%	58.2%	Trump by 41.7%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 17:32
2016-09-09 00:00	DFM w/4P	19.0%	54.0%	Trump by 35.0%	2016-09-06 2016-09-11	2016-09-13 2016-09-23 07:04
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	22.4%	46.8%	Trump by 24.4%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 16:47
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	21.3%	42.5%	Trump by 21.2%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 16:45
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo w/4P [2]	21.0%	57.0%	Trump by 36.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 14:33
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo [2]	27.0%	65.0%	Trump by 38.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 14:27
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	26.3%	41.8%	Trump by 15.5%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 16:44
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	19.2%	48.2%	Trump by 29.0%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 17:49
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	22.0%	57.4%	Trump by 35.4%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 17:47
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	22.0%	40.8%	Trump by 18.8%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 16:41
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	24.5%	58.5%	Trump by 34.0%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 23:40
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	26.6%	54.8%	Trump by 28.2%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 21:48
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	27.8%	68.6%	REP by 40.8%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:20
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	32.5%	64.8%	REP by 32.2%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-10-06 05:23
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	29.1%	68.9%	REP by 39.8%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:21
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	27.7%	67.8%	REP by 40.1%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 11:18
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	36.8%	49.8%	REP by 13.0%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-18 15:55
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	34.1%	39.7%	REP by 5.6%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 07:13
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	38.0%	60.5%	REP by 22.5%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 20:15
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	28.2%	70.5%	REP by 42.3%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 07:48
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	28.0%	62.6%	REP by 34.7%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:37

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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