2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Wyoming [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:40 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

25.0%

47.1%

Trump
by 22.1%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:40

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

27.9%

67.2%

Trump
by 39.3%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 08:10

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

22.0%

60.0%

Trump
by 38.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 21:22

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

27.8%

62.1%

Trump
by 34.3%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 18:17

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

26.7%

57.3%

Trump
by 30.6%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 22:27

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

29.8%

65.4%

Trump
by 35.6%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 04:01

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

24.0%

60.0%

Trump
by 36.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 18:26

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

28.6%

61.6%

Trump
by 33.0%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:46

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

20.8%

52.8%

Trump
by 32.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 18:01

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

26.2%

59.0%

Trump
by 32.8%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 04:09

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

30.0%

65.0%

Trump
by 35.0%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-30 02:13

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

27.4%

46.1%

Trump
by 18.7%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 17:44

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

29.1%

58.3%

Trump
by 29.2%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 23:20

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

30.2%

64.3%

Trump
by 34.1%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 11:02

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

16.6%

51.9%

Trump
by 35.3%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:24

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

27.9%

59.0%

Trump
by 31.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:47

2016-10-08 12:00

WSAC w/4P

20.0%

58.0%

Trump
by 38.0%

2016-10-05
2016-10-11

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 18:09

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

11.0%

52.7%

Trump
by 41.7%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 18:30

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

30.7%

63.0%

Trump
by 32.3%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 05:16

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

29.5%

61.0%

Trump
by 31.5%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:26

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

18.8%

35.1%

Trump
by 16.3%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 16:45

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

29.4%

65.2%

Trump
by 35.8%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 00:55

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

28.7%

60.9%

Trump
by 32.2%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:22

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

17.8%

45.9%

Trump
by 28.1%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 04:31

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

29.2%

65.1%

Trump
by 35.9%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 18:53

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

30.1%

45.3%

Trump
by 15.1%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 19:27

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

16.6%

58.2%

Trump
by 41.7%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 17:32

2016-09-09 00:00

DFM w/4P

19.0%

54.0%

Trump
by 35.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-11

2016-09-13
2016-09-23 07:04

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

22.4%

46.8%

Trump
by 24.4%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 16:47

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

21.3%

42.5%

Trump
by 21.2%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 16:45

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

21.0%

57.0%

Trump
by 36.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:33

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

27.0%

65.0%

Trump
by 38.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:27

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

26.3%

41.8%

Trump
by 15.5%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 16:44

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

19.2%

48.2%

Trump
by 29.0%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:49

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

22.0%

57.4%

Trump
by 35.4%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:47

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

22.0%

40.8%

Trump
by 18.8%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 16:41

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

24.5%

58.5%

Trump
by 34.0%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:40

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

26.6%

54.8%

Trump
by 28.2%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:48

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

27.8%

68.6%

REP
by 40.8%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:20

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

32.5%

64.8%

REP
by 32.2%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 05:23

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

29.1%

68.9%

REP
by 39.8%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:21

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

27.7%

67.8%

REP
by 40.1%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:18

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

36.8%

49.8%

REP
by 13.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:55

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

34.1%

39.7%

REP
by 5.6%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:13

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

38.0%

60.5%

REP
by 22.5%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:15

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

28.2%

70.5%

REP
by 42.3%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:48

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

28.0%

62.6%

REP
by 34.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:37

 

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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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