2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Wisconsin [10 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:24 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-05 00:00

Gravis w/4P

47.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 12:24

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

43.2%

31.1%

Clinton
by 12.1%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:35

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

51.3%

43.1%

Clinton
by 8.2%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 08:06

2016-11-02 00:00

Clarity w/4P

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-02

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 01:01

2016-11-02 00:00

Remington w/3P

49.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-02

2016-11-07
2016-11-07 23:41

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

44.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:02

2016-11-01 00:00

PPP

48.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-31
2016-11-01

2016-11-03
2016-11-06 03:34

2016-11-01 00:00

Loras w/4P [4]

39.4%

31.6%

Clinton
by 7.8%

2016-10-31
2016-11-01

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 17:24

2016-11-01 00:00

Loras w/Lean [4]

43.8%

42.3%

Clinton
by 1.5%

2016-10-31
2016-11-01

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 17:22

2016-11-01 00:00

Loras [4]

36.5%

35.5%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-31
2016-11-01

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 17:19

2016-11-01 00:00

Loras w/Lean w/4P [4]

43.9%

37.9%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-31
2016-11-01

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 02:01

2016-10-30 12:00

Remington w/3P

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-30
2016-10-30

2016-10-30
2016-11-02 00:50

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.2%

43.7%

Clinton
by 4.5%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 18:15

2016-10-29 00:00

Marquette LV w/4P [2]

46.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-26
2016-10-31

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 01:01

2016-10-29 00:00

Marquette RV w/4P [2]

43.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-26
2016-10-31

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 01:00

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

41.2%

28.7%

Clinton
by 12.5%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 22:21

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

47.2%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.2%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:45

2016-10-28 00:00

Emerson w/4P

47.8%

41.9%

Clinton
by 5.9%

2016-10-27
2016-10-28

2016-10-29
2016-10-31 09:32

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

50.5%

46.3%

Clinton
by 4.2%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 03:57

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

43.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 18:23

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

47.3%

44.8%

Clinton
by 2.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:43

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

41.8%

27.0%

Clinton
by 14.8%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 17:56

2016-10-21 12:00

Remington w/3P

46.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-22

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 06:59

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

42.2%

37.7%

Clinton
by 4.5%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 04:07

2016-10-21 00:00

Ipsos

46.8%

41.6%

Clinton
by 5.1%

2016-10-14
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 06:00

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

50.7%

46.0%

Clinton
by 4.7%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-30 02:11

2016-10-19 12:00

McLaughlin

48.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-18
2016-10-20

2016-10-24
2016-10-30 14:28

2016-10-19 00:00

PPP

50.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-18
2016-10-19

2016-10-19
2016-10-23 18:35

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

38.2%

28.9%

Clinton
by 9.4%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 17:36

2016-10-17 00:00

Monmouth w/4P

47.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-15
2016-10-18

2016-10-19
2016-10-21 06:59

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

47.7%

43.7%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 23:19

2016-10-15 00:00

St. Norbert w/4P

47.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-13
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 20:03

2016-10-14 00:00

Ipsos

45.4%

41.9%

Clinton
by 3.5%

2016-10-07
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 05:08

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

51.1%

45.5%

Clinton
by 5.6%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 11:00

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

42.2%

27.3%

Clinton
by 14.8%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:20

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey w/4P [2]

43.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-19 00:25

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey [2]

48.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-19 00:24

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.8%

42.2%

Clinton
by 6.6%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:45

2016-10-08 00:00

Marquette LV Sat/Sun w/4P [7]

49.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 18:24

2016-10-08 00:00

Marquette LV Fri w/4P [7]

44.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 18:22

2016-10-08 00:00

Marquette LV Thu w/4P [7]

40.0%

41.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 18:18

2016-10-08 00:00

Marquette LV w/4P [7]

44.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 18:16

2016-10-08 00:00

Marquette LV [7]

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 18:14

2016-10-08 00:00

Marquette RV w/4P [7]

41.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 18:13

2016-10-08 00:00

Marquette RV [7]

45.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-09

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 18:10

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

41.6%

37.4%

Clinton
by 4.2%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 04:48

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

44.3%

27.2%

Clinton
by 17.1%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 18:26

2016-10-06 12:00

YouGov w/4P

43.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-05
2016-10-07

2016-10-09
2016-10-10 03:55

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

50.5%

45.6%

Clinton
by 4.9%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 05:13

2016-10-05 00:00

Loras w/Lean w/4P [4]

43.2%

34.6%

Clinton
by 8.6%

2016-10-04
2016-10-05

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 00:55

2016-10-05 00:00

Loras w/4P [4]

39.6%

27.6%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-04
2016-10-05

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 00:53

2016-10-05 00:00

Loras w/Lean [4]

46.6%

37.0%

Clinton
by 9.6%

2016-10-04
2016-10-05

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 00:51

2016-10-05 00:00

Loras [4]

42.6%

28.8%

Clinton
by 13.8%

2016-10-04
2016-10-05

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 00:49

2016-10-04 12:00

Gravis w/4P

48.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-04
2016-10-04

2016-10-05
2016-10-09 01:08

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.2%

44.1%

Clinton
by 4.1%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:24

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

43.0%

27.7%

Clinton
by 15.3%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 16:38

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

45.7%

42.3%

Clinton
by 3.4%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 16:29

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

49.6%

47.1%

Clinton
by 2.5%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 00:52

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

47.3%

45.0%

Clinton
by 2.3%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:21

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

40.7%

27.6%

Clinton
by 13.1%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 04:24

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

42.5%

42.0%

Clinton
by 0.5%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 05:35

2016-09-20 00:00

Emerson w/4P

44.5%

38.4%

Clinton
by 6.1%

2016-09-19
2016-09-20

2016-09-22
2016-09-22 21:45

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

49.8%

46.4%

Clinton
by 3.4%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 18:51

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

42.2%

24.5%

Clinton
by 17.7%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 19:14

2016-09-17 00:00

Marquette LV w/4P [4]

41.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-09-15
2016-09-18

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 04:44

2016-09-17 00:00

Marquette LV [4]

44.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-09-15
2016-09-18

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 04:42

2016-09-17 00:00

Marquette RV w/4P [4]

39.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-09-15
2016-09-18

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 04:40

2016-09-17 00:00

Marquette RV [4]

43.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-15
2016-09-18

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 04:38

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

41.1%

41.1%

Clinton
by 0.0%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:35

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

37.4%

27.1%

Clinton
by 10.3%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 18:44

2016-09-09 00:00

Ipsos

42.9%

39.6%

Clinton
by 3.3%

2016-09-02
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 01:00

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

40.8%

29.1%

Clinton
by 11.8%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 03:05

2016-09-02 00:00

Ipsos

38.4%

39.7%

Trump
by 1.2%

2016-08-26
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 03:11

2016-08-29 00:00

Monmouth w/4P

43.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-08-27
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-01 18:23

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

39.9%

27.2%

Clinton
by 12.6%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 03:01

2016-08-27 00:00

PPP

48.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-08-26
2016-08-27

2016-09-01
2016-09-02 03:06

2016-08-27 00:00

Marquette LV w/4P [4]

41.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-08-25
2016-08-28

2016-08-31
2016-09-01 18:18

2016-08-27 00:00

Marquette LV [4]

45.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-08-25
2016-08-28

2016-08-31
2016-09-01 18:15

2016-08-27 00:00

Marquette RV w/4P [4]

37.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-08-25
2016-08-28

2016-08-31
2016-09-01 18:13

2016-08-27 00:00

Marquette RV [4]

42.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-08-25
2016-08-28

2016-08-31
2016-09-01 18:11

2016-08-26 00:00

Ipsos

37.5%

38.2%

Trump
by 0.6%

2016-08-19
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 06:29

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

39.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:29

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

46.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:27

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

42.0%

27.9%

Clinton
by 14.1%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 03:00

2016-08-19 00:00

Ipsos

36.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 23:49

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

37.7%

34.8%

Clinton
by 2.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:42

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

42.1%

38.1%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:41

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

44.1%

24.5%

Clinton
by 19.6%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 02:58

2016-08-12 00:00

Ipsos

38.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 23:51

2016-08-06 00:00

Marquette LV w/4P [4]

47.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-07

2016-08-10
2016-08-11 03:09

2016-08-06 00:00

Marquette LV [4]

52.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-07

2016-08-10
2016-08-11 03:06

2016-08-06 00:00

Marquette RV w/4P [4]

42.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-07

2016-08-10
2016-08-11 03:04

2016-08-06 00:00

Marquette RV [4]

46.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-07

2016-08-10
2016-08-11 03:01

2016-07-09 00:00

Marquette LV w/4P [4]

43.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-07-07
2016-07-10

2016-07-13
2016-07-14 08:22

2016-07-09 00:00

Marquette LV [4]

45.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-07-07
2016-07-10

2016-07-13
2016-07-14 08:18

2016-07-09 00:00

Marquette RV w/4P [4]

40.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-07-07
2016-07-10

2016-07-13
2016-07-14 08:16

2016-07-09 00:00

Marquette RV [4]

43.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-07-07
2016-07-10

2016-07-13
2016-07-14 08:10

2016-06-23 00:00

PPP

47.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-06-22
2016-06-23

2016-06-28
2016-06-28 07:39

2016-06-23 00:00

YouGov w/4P

41.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-06-21
2016-06-24

2016-06-26
2016-06-27 07:20

2016-06-16 00:00

Democracy Corp [2]

47.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-06-11
2016-06-20

2016-06-30
2016-07-10 18:13

2016-06-16 00:00

Democracy Corp w/3P [2]

44.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-06-11
2016-06-20

2016-06-30
2016-07-01 06:39

2016-06-11 00:00

Marquette RV [2]

42.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-06-09
2016-06-12

2016-06-15
2016-06-16 21:39

2016-06-11 00:00

Marquette LV [2]

45.8%

36.9%

Clinton
by 8.9%

2016-06-09
2016-06-12

2016-06-15
2016-06-16 21:03

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

41.4%

39.4%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:36

2016-05-11 12:00

POS

43.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-05-10
2016-05-12

2016-05-25
2016-05-26 19:15

2016-04-14 00:00

St. Norbert

46.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-04-12
2016-04-15

2016-04-20
2016-04-21 02:22

2016-04-01 12:00

Emerson

47.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-03-30
2016-04-03

2016-04-04
2016-04-05 14:40

2016-03-29 12:00

Gravis w/3P [2]

49.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-03-28
2016-03-30

2016-03-31
2016-07-11 04:50

2016-03-29 12:00

Gravis [2]

53.0%

47.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-03-28
2016-03-30

2016-03-31
2016-07-11 04:46

2016-03-29 12:00

Fox

49.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-03-28
2016-03-30

2016-03-31
2016-04-02 03:02

2016-03-26 12:00

Marquette

47.1%

36.6%

Clinton
by 10.5%

2016-03-24
2016-03-28

2016-03-30
2016-03-31 05:34

2016-03-21 12:00

Emerson

47.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-03-20
2016-03-22

2016-03-23
2016-03-24 07:01

2016-02-20 00:00

Marquette

47.5%

36.6%

Clinton
by 10.9%

2016-02-18
2016-02-21

2016-02-26
2016-02-27 15:25

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

43.4%

37.9%

Clinton
by 5.5%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:44

2016-01-23 00:00

Marquette

46.7%

38.3%

Clinton
by 8.4%

2016-01-21
2016-01-24

2016-01-28
2016-01-29 02:28

2015-11-14 00:00

Marquette

47.5%

38.3%

Clinton
by 9.2%

2015-11-12
2015-11-15

2015-11-19
2015-11-22 18:20

2015-10-16 00:00

St. Norbert

50.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2015-10-14
2015-10-17

2015-10-22
2015-10-25 20:22

2015-09-26 12:00

Marquette

49.8%

36.4%

Clinton
by 13.4%

2015-09-24
2015-09-28

2015-09-30
2015-10-02 06:50

2015-08-15 00:00

Marquette

51.1%

35.4%

Clinton
by 15.7%

2015-08-13
2015-08-16

2015-08-20
2015-08-21 07:33

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.8%

45.9%

DEM
by 6.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:19

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

56.2%

42.3%

DEM
by 13.9%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 05:22

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

49.7%

49.3%

DEM
by 0.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:19

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

47.8%

47.6%

DEM
by 0.2%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:16

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

48.8%

38.5%

DEM
by 10.3%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:53

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

41.1%

36.8%

DEM
by 4.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:09

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

51.4%

47.8%

DEM
by 3.6%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:13

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

45.0%

54.2%

REP
by 9.2%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:46

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

43.2%

47.9%

REP
by 4.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:35

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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