2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Washington [12 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 18:52 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-05 12:00

Insights West Dec w/4P [2]

55.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-11-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 18:52

2016-11-05 12:00

Insights West All w/4P [2]

51.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-11-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 18:50

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

42.7%

30.4%

Clinton
by 12.2%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:33

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

55.8%

38.7%

Clinton
by 17.1%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:55

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

52.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 18.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:40

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyUSA w/4P

50.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-31
2016-11-02

2016-11-03
2016-11-05 17:05

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

51.7%

37.9%

Clinton
by 13.8%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 18:10

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

43.7%

26.7%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 22:16

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

46.4%

39.4%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:39

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

52.5%

43.2%

Clinton
by 9.3%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 03:48

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

52.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 18.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 18:10

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.6%

38.5%

Clinton
by 12.1%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:35

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

45.3%

29.0%

Clinton
by 16.3%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 17:53

2016-10-21 12:00

Elway w/4P

48.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-22

2016-10-24
2016-10-27 14:39

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

47.4%

31.7%

Clinton
by 15.7%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 04:03

2016-10-21 00:00

Ipsos

46.6%

37.4%

Clinton
by 9.1%

2016-10-14
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 05:51

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

52.9%

42.9%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-30 01:59

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

45.7%

25.4%

Clinton
by 20.3%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 17:34

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.6%

37.3%

Clinton
by 13.3%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 23:15

2016-10-14 00:00

Ipsos

46.1%

42.4%

Clinton
by 3.8%

2016-10-07
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 05:02

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

53.6%

42.1%

Clinton
by 11.5%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:55

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

43.2%

26.7%

Clinton
by 16.5%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:18

2016-10-10 00:00

UW w/Lean [2]

53.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-13

2016-10-27
2016-11-02 01:19

2016-10-10 00:00

UW [2]

48.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-13

2016-10-27
2016-11-02 01:17

2016-10-10 00:00

YouGov w/ Lean [2]

53.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-13

2016-10-27
2016-10-28 05:03

2016-10-10 00:00

YouGov [2]

48.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-13

2016-10-27
2016-10-28 05:01

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

51.9%

35.6%

Clinton
by 16.3%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:40

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

46.9%

37.2%

Clinton
by 9.7%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 04:42

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

45.5%

28.0%

Clinton
by 17.5%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 18:24

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

53.4%

41.7%

Clinton
by 11.7%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 05:05

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

50.9%

33.3%

Clinton
by 17.6%

2016-09-30
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 16:25

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

51.7%

37.2%

Clinton
by 14.5%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:20

2016-10-01 12:00

Strategies360 w/4P [2]

47.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-09-29
2016-10-03

2016-10-07
2016-10-09 03:06

2016-10-01 12:00

Strategies360 [2]

50.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-09-29
2016-10-03

2016-10-07
2016-10-09 03:03

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

45.4%

24.7%

Clinton
by 20.7%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 16:03

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

52.0%

43.5%

Clinton
by 8.5%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 00:44

2016-09-26 00:00

Emerson w/4P

44.2%

38.4%

Clinton
by 5.8%

2016-09-25
2016-09-26

2016-09-28
2016-09-29 18:00

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.7%

39.8%

Clinton
by 10.9%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:16

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

42.9%

25.3%

Clinton
by 17.7%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 04:20

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

48.9%

35.3%

Clinton
by 13.7%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 03:36

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

52.3%

42.6%

Clinton
by 9.7%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 18:44

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

37.0%

28.2%

Clinton
by 8.8%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 19:08

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

49.4%

35.2%

Clinton
by 14.2%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:26

2016-09-13 12:00

Insights West w/4P

38.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-09-12
2016-09-14

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 06:54

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

43.9%

24.3%

Clinton
by 19.6%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 17:34

2016-09-09 00:00

Ipsos

46.8%

36.9%

Clinton
by 9.9%

2016-09-02
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:57

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

41.5%

25.6%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-10 18:12

2016-09-02 00:00

Ipsos

45.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-08-26
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 03:04

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

40.5%

26.9%

Clinton
by 13.6%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-10 18:11

2016-08-26 00:00

Ipsos

45.4%

35.4%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-08-19
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 06:47

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

41.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:20

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

53.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:14

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

43.1%

24.4%

Clinton
by 18.7%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-10 18:09

2016-08-19 00:00

Ipsos

49.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 23:21

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

40.4%

32.3%

Clinton
by 8.1%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:39

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

44.0%

36.4%

Clinton
by 7.6%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:35

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

43.1%

27.2%

Clinton
by 15.9%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-10 18:07

2016-08-12 00:00

Ipsos

45.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 23:24

2016-08-11 12:00

Elway LV [2]

45.0%

24.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-08-09
2016-08-13

2016-08-15
2016-08-17 06:36

2016-08-11 12:00

Elway RV w/4P [2]

43.0%

24.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-08-09
2016-08-13

2016-08-15
2016-08-17 06:34

2016-06-18 00:00

Realtor

48.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-06-15
2016-06-20

2016-06-29
2016-06-30 07:06

2016-06-15 00:00

PPP

49.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-06-14
2016-06-15

2016-06-16
2016-06-19 06:28

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

47.6%

33.8%

Clinton
by 13.8%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:33

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

48.1%

33.8%

Clinton
by 14.3%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:31

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

56.2%

41.3%

DEM
by 14.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:17

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

57.7%

40.5%

DEM
by 17.2%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 03:19

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

52.8%

45.6%

DEM
by 7.2%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:17

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

50.2%

44.6%

DEM
by 5.6%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:12

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

49.8%

37.3%

DEM
by 12.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:51

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.4%

32.0%

DEM
by 11.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:06

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

50.1%

48.5%

DEM
by 1.6%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:09

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

42.9%

55.8%

REP
by 13.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:43

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

37.3%

49.7%

REP
by 12.3%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:31

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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