2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Virginia [13 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:28 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

39.3%

31.7%

Clinton
by 7.6%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:28

2016-11-04 12:00

Hampton

45.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-11-02
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 00:29

2016-11-04 00:00

CNU w/4P

48.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-07 23:26

2016-11-04 00:00

PPP [2]

51.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-04

2016-11-04
2016-11-04 20:34

2016-11-04 00:00

PPP w/4P [2]

48.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-04

2016-11-04
2016-11-04 20:31

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

49.5%

43.9%

Clinton
by 5.6%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:53

2016-11-03 00:00

Gravis w/4P

47.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-04

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 23:30

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-02 00:00

Remington w/3P

46.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-02

2016-11-07
2016-11-07 23:38

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

49.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 18:48

2016-10-31 12:00

Ipsos

48.8%

41.9%

Clinton
by 6.9%

2016-10-28
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:37

2016-10-31 00:00

Roanoke w/4P

45.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-01

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 02:22

2016-10-30 12:00

Remington w/3P

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-30
2016-10-30

2016-10-30
2016-11-02 00:43

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.6%

42.8%

Clinton
by 6.8%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 18:08

2016-10-29 12:00

Emerson w/4P

49.1%

44.8%

Clinton
by 4.3%

2016-10-28
2016-10-30

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 18:48

2016-10-29 00:00

WaPo [2]

51.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-27
2016-10-30

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 19:03

2016-10-29 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

48.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-27
2016-10-30

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 18:59

2016-10-28 12:00

Hampton

41.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-26
2016-10-30

2016-11-02
2016-11-03 06:50

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

38.7%

33.9%

Clinton
by 4.9%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 22:11

2016-10-27 00:00

Roanoke w/3P

50.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 18.0%

2016-10-25
2016-10-28

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 02:19

2016-10-27 00:00

Winthrop w/4P

44.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-23
2016-10-30

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 02:03

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

49.5%

46.2%

Clinton
by 3.3%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 03:16

2016-10-25 00:00

CNU w/4P

46.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-23
2016-10-26

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 10:56

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

49.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 18:07

2016-10-23 12:00

Quinnipiac [2]

53.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-26

2016-10-27
2016-10-29 02:28

2016-10-23 12:00

Quinnipiac w/4P [2]

50.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-26

2016-10-27
2016-10-29 02:26

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.4%

43.2%

Clinton
by 6.2%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:33

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

43.1%

31.4%

Clinton
by 11.7%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 17:49

2016-10-21 12:00

Remington w/3P

48.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-22

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 07:27

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

46.1%

37.0%

Clinton
by 9.1%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:59

2016-10-21 00:00

Ipsos

48.1%

39.3%

Clinton
by 8.8%

2016-10-14
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 05:49

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

49.3%

45.6%

Clinton
by 3.7%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-30 01:56

2016-10-18 00:00

Lucid w/4P

43.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-17
2016-10-18

2016-10-24
2016-10-30 18:26

2016-10-18 00:00

CNU w/4P

45.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-16
2016-10-19

2016-10-21
2016-10-22 03:08

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

40.7%

31.1%

Clinton
by 9.6%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 17:28

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.1%

40.9%

Clinton
by 9.2%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 23:13

2016-10-14 00:00

Tarrance

47.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-10-12
2016-10-15

2016-10-19
2016-10-23 19:21

2016-10-14 00:00

Ipsos

49.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-07
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 04:59

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

49.8%

45.8%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:53

2016-10-13 00:00

CNU w/4P

44.0%

29.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-10-11
2016-10-14

2016-10-16
2016-10-16 17:10

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

40.8%

28.2%

Clinton
by 12.5%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:13

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey w/4P [2]

49.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-19 00:00

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey [2]

54.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 23:59

2016-10-11 12:00

Emerson w/4P

46.1%

43.4%

Clinton
by 2.7%

2016-10-10
2016-10-12

2016-10-13
2016-10-15 05:40

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.4%

40.0%

Clinton
by 10.4%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:38

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

49.2%

38.8%

Clinton
by 10.4%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 04:16

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

34.1%

36.6%

Trump
by 2.5%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 17:21

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

48.3%

46.8%

Clinton
by 1.5%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 05:01

2016-10-04 12:00

Roanoke [2]

45.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-10-02
2016-10-06

2016-10-11
2016-10-13 19:17

2016-10-04 12:00

Roanoke w/4P [2]

45.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-10-02
2016-10-06

2016-10-11
2016-10-13 19:14

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

50.5%

39.1%

Clinton
by 11.4%

2016-09-30
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 08:05

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.5%

41.4%

Clinton
by 9.1%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:17

2016-09-30 12:00

Hampton

46.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-09-28
2016-10-02

2016-10-08
2016-10-09 02:47

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

40.9%

27.0%

Clinton
by 13.9%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 15:28

2016-09-29 00:00

CNU w/4P

42.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-30

2016-10-03
2016-10-03 17:04

2016-09-28 00:00

PPP [2]

49.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-28

2016-09-29
2016-09-29 19:20

2016-09-28 00:00

PPP w/4P [2]

46.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-28

2016-09-29
2016-09-29 19:18

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

45.3%

50.4%

Trump
by 5.1%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 00:15

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.8%

43.3%

Clinton
by 5.5%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:13

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

40.4%

32.0%

Clinton
by 8.3%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 03:58

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

48.3%

40.4%

Clinton
by 7.9%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 03:32

2016-09-22 12:00

YouGov w/4P

45.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-23

2016-09-25
2016-09-25 20:56

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

46.5%

40.0%

Clinton
by 6.5%

2016-09-16
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:23

2016-09-19 12:00

CNU w/4P [2]

39.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-15
2016-09-23

2016-09-26
2016-09-27 07:06

2016-09-19 12:00

CNU [2]

48.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-09-15
2016-09-23

2016-09-26
2016-09-27 07:04

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

45.6%

49.5%

Trump
by 3.9%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 17:07

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

36.3%

36.8%

Trump
by 0.6%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 18:54

2016-09-17 12:00

Quinnipiac [2]

50.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-09-13
2016-09-21

2016-09-22
2016-09-23 06:10

2016-09-17 12:00

Quinnipiac w/4P [2]

45.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-13
2016-09-21

2016-09-22
2016-09-23 06:08

2016-09-16 00:00

Roanoke [2]

51.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-09-11
2016-09-20

2016-09-22
2016-09-22 18:47

2016-09-16 00:00

Roanoke w/4P [2]

44.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-09-11
2016-09-20

2016-09-22
2016-09-22 18:43

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

47.4%

37.5%

Clinton
by 9.8%

2016-09-09
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:54

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

37.2%

31.3%

Clinton
by 5.9%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 17:59

2016-09-10 12:00

PPP [2]

50.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-09-09
2016-09-11

2016-09-13
2016-09-17 15:48

2016-09-10 12:00

PPP w/4P [2]

45.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-09
2016-09-11

2016-09-13
2016-09-17 15:46

2016-09-09 12:00

UMW LV [6]

46.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-12

2016-09-15
2016-09-18 21:24

2016-09-09 12:00

UMW RV [6]

46.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-12

2016-09-15
2016-09-18 21:23

2016-09-09 12:00

UMW All [6]

46.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-12

2016-09-15
2016-09-18 21:22

2016-09-09 12:00

UMW LV w/4P [6]

40.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-12

2016-09-15
2016-09-18 21:20

2016-09-09 12:00

UMW RV w/4P [6]

38.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-12

2016-09-15
2016-09-18 21:18

2016-09-09 12:00

UMW All w/4P [6]

37.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-12

2016-09-15
2016-09-18 21:15

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

36.1%

29.3%

Clinton
by 6.8%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-10 16:44

2016-09-02 00:00

Ipsos

50.4%

37.1%

Clinton
by 13.3%

2016-08-26
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 03:00

2016-08-31 12:00

Emerson w/4P

43.5%

43.0%

Clinton
by 0.5%

2016-08-30
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 01:14

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

38.5%

30.0%

Clinton
by 8.6%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-10 16:42

2016-08-26 12:00

Hampton

43.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-08-24
2016-08-28

2016-09-01
2016-09-01 21:47

2016-08-26 00:00

Ipsos

50.1%

36.9%

Clinton
by 13.2%

2016-08-19
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 05:10

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

43.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:16

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

49.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:14

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

36.2%

29.0%

Clinton
by 7.3%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-10 16:41

2016-08-19 00:00

Ipsos

48.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 22:41

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

39.6%

34.2%

Clinton
by 5.4%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:30

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

44.3%

37.0%

Clinton
by 7.3%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:29

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

40.3%

26.0%

Clinton
by 14.3%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-10 16:28

2016-08-13 00:00

Quinnipiac w/4P [2]

45.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-08-09
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-08-18 03:24

2016-08-13 00:00

Quinnipiac [2]

50.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-08-09
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-08-18 03:14

2016-08-13 00:00

WaPo LV w/4P [4]

46.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-08-11
2016-08-14

2016-08-16
2016-08-17 06:22

2016-08-13 00:00

WaPo RV w/4P [4]

45.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-08-11
2016-08-14

2016-08-16
2016-08-17 06:20

2016-08-13 00:00

WaPo LV [4]

51.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-08-11
2016-08-14

2016-08-16
2016-08-17 06:18

2016-08-13 00:00

WaPo RV [4]

52.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-08-11
2016-08-14

2016-08-16
2016-08-17 06:14

2016-08-12 12:00

Roanoke [2]

55.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-08-07
2016-08-17

2016-08-23
2016-08-23 14:18

2016-08-12 12:00

Roanoke w/4P [2]

48.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-08-07
2016-08-17

2016-08-23
2016-08-23 14:14

2016-08-12 00:00

Ipsos

45.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 22:43

2016-08-07 12:00

Marist w/4P [2]

43.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-10

2016-08-12
2016-08-13 06:20

2016-08-07 12:00

Marist [2]

46.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-10

2016-08-12
2016-08-13 06:06

2016-08-04 00:00

YouGov w/3P

49.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-08-02
2016-08-05

2016-08-07
2016-08-07 15:49

2016-07-27 12:00

RABA

42.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-07-27
2016-07-27

2016-07-31
2016-08-01 06:35

2016-07-11 00:00

Fox w/4P [2]

39.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-07-09
2016-07-12

2016-07-13
2016-07-14 07:58

2016-07-11 00:00

Fox [2]

44.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-07-09
2016-07-12

2016-07-13
2016-07-14 07:55

2016-07-08 12:00

Hampton

38.8%

39.2%

Trump
by 0.4%

2016-07-06
2016-07-10

2016-07-15
2016-07-17 15:36

2016-07-08 00:00

Marist w/4P [2]

41.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-07-05
2016-07-10

2016-07-15
2016-07-15 06:23

2016-07-08 00:00

Marist [2]

44.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-07-05
2016-07-10

2016-07-15
2016-07-15 06:21

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia w/3P [2]

43.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 17:28

2016-06-16 12:00

Ballotpedia [2]

45.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-22

2016-06-29
2016-06-29 15:22

2016-06-14 12:00

PPP [2]

48.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-06-13
2016-06-15

2016-06-16
2016-06-16 20:52

2016-06-14 12:00

PPP w/4P [2]

42.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-06-13
2016-06-15

2016-06-16
2016-06-16 20:51

2016-05-24 12:00

Gravis w/3P [2]

44.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-05-24
2016-05-24

2016-05-26
2016-05-26 16:12

2016-05-24 12:00

Gravis [2]

45.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-05-24
2016-05-24

2016-05-26
2016-05-26 16:07

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

43.6%

38.9%

Clinton
by 4.7%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:29

2016-05-13 12:00

Roanoke

38.0%

38.0%

TIED

2016-05-09
2016-05-17

2016-05-23
2016-05-24 14:57

2016-03-29 00:00

CNU

44.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-03-23
2016-04-03

2016-04-07
2016-04-08 14:44

2016-02-20 12:00

Hampton

48.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-02-18
2016-02-22

2016-02-23
2016-08-27 22:48

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

44.6%

40.1%

Clinton
by 4.5%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:23

2016-01-22 12:00

Roanoke

52.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-01-18
2016-01-26

2016-02-03
2016-02-06 20:42

2015-11-11 12:00

Roanoke

50.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2015-11-09
2015-11-13

2015-11-17
2015-11-22 16:22

2015-10-04 00:00

CNU

47.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2015-09-29
2015-10-08

2015-10-12
2015-10-15 04:21

2015-08-15 12:00

Roanoke

45.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2015-08-10
2015-08-20

2015-08-25
2015-08-26 03:09

2015-07-14 12:00

PPP

49.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2015-07-13
2015-07-15

2015-07-16
2015-07-20 14:02

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

51.2%

47.3%

DEM
by 3.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:16

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

52.6%

46.3%

DEM
by 6.3%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 03:17

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

45.5%

53.7%

REP
by 8.2%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:15

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

44.4%

52.5%

REP
by 8.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:10

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

45.2%

47.1%

REP
by 2.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:48

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

40.6%

45.0%

REP
by 4.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:04

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

39.2%

59.7%

REP
by 20.5%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:06

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

37.1%

62.3%

REP
by 25.2%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:41

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

40.3%

53.0%

REP
by 12.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:28

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

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If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

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