2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Texas [38 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:24 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

32.3%

42.5%

Trump
by 10.2%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:24

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

40.4%

54.1%

Trump
by 13.7%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:45

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

42.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 5.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:57

2016-11-01 00:00

Emerson w/4P

34.5%

49.2%

Trump
by 14.7%

2016-10-31
2016-11-01

2016-11-03
2016-11-04 20:58

2016-10-31 12:00

Ipsos

39.6%

49.4%

Trump
by 9.8%

2016-10-28
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:32

2016-10-31 12:00

Marist RV w/4P [4]

41.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-10-30
2016-11-01

2016-11-03
2016-11-04 21:32

2016-10-31 12:00

Marist LV w/4P [4]

40.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 9.0%

2016-10-30
2016-11-01

2016-11-03
2016-11-04 21:30

2016-10-31 12:00

Marist RV [4]

43.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-30
2016-11-01

2016-11-03
2016-11-04 21:28

2016-10-31 12:00

Marist LV [4]

41.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 8.0%

2016-10-30
2016-11-01

2016-11-03
2016-11-04 21:26

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

42.6%

50.0%

Trump
by 7.4%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 18:01

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

31.5%

43.0%

Trump
by 11.5%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:59

2016-10-28 12:00

Dixie w/4P

39.4%

51.5%

Trump
by 12.1%

2016-10-27
2016-10-29

2016-11-01
2016-11-01 20:49

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

40.7%

54.7%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 03:08

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

34.0%

48.4%

Trump
by 14.4%

2016-10-21
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 05:44

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

40.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 17:51

2016-10-23 12:00

Crosswind w/3P

38.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-10-22
2016-10-24

2016-10-26
2016-10-27 05:34

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

42.2%

51.0%

Trump
by 8.8%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:24

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

30.2%

43.6%

Trump
by 13.3%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 17:44

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

36.8%

44.7%

Trump
by 7.9%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:53

2016-10-21 00:00

YouGov w/4P

43.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-21

2016-10-23
2016-10-23 21:24

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

41.2%

54.1%

Trump
by 12.9%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 22:29

2016-10-19 00:00

UT/TT w/4P

42.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-14
2016-10-23

2016-10-27
2016-10-27 20:09

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

33.3%

40.8%

Trump
by 7.5%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 17:04

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

39.0%

52.2%

Trump
by 13.2%

2016-10-14
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 04:52

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

42.5%

48.7%

Trump
by 6.2%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 23:05

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

41.4%

53.4%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:48

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

29.8%

41.5%

Trump
by 11.7%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:09

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey w/4P [2]

42.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 23:56

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey [2]

46.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 23:54

2016-10-11 12:00

UH w/4P

38.0%

41.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-07
2016-10-15

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 20:47

2016-10-11 12:00

SurveyUSA w/4P

43.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-12

2016-10-13
2016-10-15 19:23

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

31.6%

57.0%

Trump
by 25.4%

2016-10-07
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 03:09

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

42.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:31

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

31.8%

40.0%

Trump
by 8.2%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 17:17

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

41.3%

53.0%

Trump
by 11.7%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 04:47

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

33.6%

50.1%

Trump
by 16.6%

2016-09-30
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 07:58

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

42.0%

49.8%

Trump
by 7.8%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:10

2016-09-30 12:00

Dixie w/4P

38.0%

44.9%

Trump
by 6.9%

2016-09-29
2016-10-01

2016-10-05
2016-10-07 17:46

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

33.4%

40.4%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 15:24

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

32.9%

48.3%

Trump
by 15.4%

2016-09-23
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 03:26

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

39.2%

56.3%

Trump
by 17.1%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 00:03

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

40.6%

50.9%

Trump
by 10.3%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:06

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

29.9%

42.1%

Trump
by 12.2%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 03:48

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

32.6%

48.1%

Trump
by 15.5%

2016-09-16
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:17

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

39.1%

56.1%

Trump
by 17.0%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 17:00

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

28.9%

42.4%

Trump
by 13.4%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 18:39

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

28.5%

51.1%

Trump
by 22.6%

2016-09-09
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:50

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

28.8%

39.7%

Trump
by 10.9%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 18:20

2016-09-09 00:00

Emerson w/4P

36.1%

42.4%

Trump
by 6.3%

2016-09-07
2016-09-10

2016-09-13
2016-09-17 17:34

2016-09-06 12:00

Texas Lyceum RV w/4P [4]

29.0%

30.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-09-01
2016-09-11

2016-09-15
2016-09-17 16:23

2016-09-06 12:00

Texas Lyceum LV w/4P [4]

32.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-09-01
2016-09-11

2016-09-15
2016-09-17 16:22

2016-09-06 12:00

Texas Lyceum RV [4]

39.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-09-01
2016-09-11

2016-09-15
2016-09-17 16:19

2016-09-06 12:00

Texas Lyceum LV [4]

36.0%

42.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-09-01
2016-09-11

2016-09-15
2016-09-17 16:17

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

30.9%

48.3%

Trump
by 17.4%

2016-09-02
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:54

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

30.5%

39.6%

Trump
by 9.1%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 18:26

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

31.9%

48.9%

Trump
by 16.9%

2016-08-26
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 03:44

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

34.1%

37.4%

Trump
by 3.3%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 18:25

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

32.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 13.0%

2016-08-19
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 17:23

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

40.0%

40.0%

TIED

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:02

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

46.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 14:01

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

32.9%

38.8%

Trump
by 5.9%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 18:19

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

32.3%

39.9%

Trump
by 7.6%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:24

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

37.2%

43.1%

Trump
by 5.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:23

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

32.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 17:26

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

31.1%

40.5%

Trump
by 9.4%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 18:17

2016-08-13 12:00

PPP [2]

44.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-14

2016-08-16
2016-08-17 05:46

2016-08-13 12:00

PPP w/4P [2]

38.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-14

2016-08-16
2016-08-17 05:43

2016-08-09 00:00

Dixie

35.5%

46.3%

Trump
by 10.8%

2016-08-08
2016-08-09

2016-08-11
2016-08-12 04:27

2016-06-15 12:00

UT/TT w/3P [2]

32.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-20

2016-06-27
2016-06-28 07:07

2016-06-15 12:00

UT/TT [2]

33.0%

41.0%

Trump
by 8.0%

2016-06-10
2016-06-20

2016-06-27
2016-06-28 07:00

2016-06-14 00:00

Beatty w/3P

29.7%

36.8%

Trump
by 7.1%

2016-06-13
2016-06-14

2016-06-22
2016-06-26 01:05

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

38.2%

43.5%

Trump
by 5.3%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:23

2016-02-22 00:00

SurveyUSA

44.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-02-21
2016-02-22

2016-02-24
2016-07-11 04:04

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

38.8%

43.8%

Trump
by 5.0%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:16

2015-09-15 00:00

Texas Lyceum

37.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2015-09-08
2015-09-21

2015-10-01
2015-10-02 05:43

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

41.4%

57.2%

REP
by 15.8%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:13

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

43.7%

55.5%

REP
by 11.8%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 01:52

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

38.2%

61.1%

REP
by 22.9%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:11

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

38.0%

59.3%

REP
by 21.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:05

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

43.8%

48.8%

REP
by 4.9%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:44

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

37.1%

40.6%

REP
by 3.5%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:58

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

43.4%

56.0%

REP
by 12.6%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:01

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

36.1%

63.6%

REP
by 27.5%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:07

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

41.4%

55.3%

REP
by 13.9%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:20

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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