2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Tennessee [11 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:21 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

34.2%

44.3%

Trump
by 10.1%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:21

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

39.1%

54.8%

Trump
by 15.7%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:43

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

41.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 8.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:42

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

38.8%

53.7%

Trump
by 14.9%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:58

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

31.4%

42.3%

Trump
by 10.9%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:56

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

35.2%

49.8%

Trump
by 14.6%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:28

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

38.4%

56.8%

Trump
by 18.4%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 03:06

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

38.0%

51.0%

Trump
by 13.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 17:48

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

37.5%

55.5%

Trump
by 18.0%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:21

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

27.7%

43.8%

Trump
by 16.2%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 17:41

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

33.9%

48.3%

Trump
by 14.4%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:51

2016-10-21 00:00

Ipsos

35.4%

42.9%

Trump
by 7.5%

2016-10-14
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 05:41

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

38.8%

56.3%

Trump
by 17.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 22:27

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

26.9%

44.6%

Trump
by 17.7%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 17:01

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

37.0%

54.1%

Trump
by 17.1%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 23:02

2016-10-16 00:00

iCitizen w/4P

34.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 10.0%

2016-10-14
2016-10-17

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 18:23

2016-10-14 00:00

Ipsos

34.7%

44.4%

Trump
by 9.7%

2016-10-07
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 04:48

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

39.2%

55.9%

Trump
by 16.7%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:47

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

31.1%

43.0%

Trump
by 11.9%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:07

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

37.0%

54.1%

Trump
by 17.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:28

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

34.6%

47.3%

Trump
by 12.7%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 03:06

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

33.3%

43.4%

Trump
by 10.1%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 17:14

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

39.3%

55.2%

Trump
by 15.9%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 04:44

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

38.0%

55.2%

Trump
by 17.2%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:07

2016-09-30 12:00

MTSU [3]

40.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 10.0%

2016-09-28
2016-10-02

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 18:48

2016-09-30 12:00

MTSU w/Lean w/4P [3]

38.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-09-28
2016-10-02

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 18:47

2016-09-30 12:00

MTSU w/4P [3]

36.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-09-28
2016-10-02

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 18:45

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

31.6%

42.7%

Trump
by 11.1%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 15:18

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

33.9%

48.6%

Trump
by 14.7%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 07:57

2016-09-26 00:00

Vanderbilt w/4P

33.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-06
2016-10-09 05:41

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

38.1%

57.1%

Trump
by 19.0%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 00:00

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

37.4%

55.6%

Trump
by 18.2%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:04

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

25.4%

47.7%

Trump
by 22.3%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 03:45

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

35.1%

47.1%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 03:23

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

38.1%

56.8%

Trump
by 18.7%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 16:56

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

28.6%

41.5%

Trump
by 12.9%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 18:31

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

33.4%

47.0%

Trump
by 13.6%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:14

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

23.9%

49.1%

Trump
by 25.2%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 16:37

2016-09-09 00:00

Ipsos

26.5%

49.7%

Trump
by 23.3%

2016-09-02
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:48

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

30.6%

43.7%

Trump
by 13.1%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 03:21

2016-09-02 00:00

Ipsos

27.9%

48.5%

Trump
by 20.6%

2016-08-26
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:52

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

27.1%

44.6%

Trump
by 17.6%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 03:18

2016-08-26 00:00

Ipsos

31.5%

49.4%

Trump
by 18.0%

2016-08-19
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 06:33

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

31.0%

51.0%

Trump
by 20.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:58

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

37.0%

55.0%

Trump
by 18.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:57

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

25.9%

46.3%

Trump
by 20.3%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 03:16

2016-08-19 00:00

Ipsos

33.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 13.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 23:13

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

29.0%

46.9%

Trump
by 17.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:21

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

32.5%

49.6%

Trump
by 17.1%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:20

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

24.8%

41.5%

Trump
by 16.7%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 03:13

2016-08-12 00:00

Ipsos

36.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 23:16

2016-07-26 12:00

iCitizen

33.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 16.0%

2016-07-25
2016-07-27

2016-08-02
2016-08-03 04:20

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

33.4%

49.0%

Trump
by 15.6%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:21

2016-05-03 12:00

Vanderbilt

35.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 9.0%

2016-04-25
2016-05-11

2016-05-12
2016-05-20 14:47

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

34.2%

50.2%

Trump
by 16.0%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:13

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

39.1%

59.5%

REP
by 20.4%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:12

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

41.8%

56.9%

REP
by 15.1%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 01:51

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

42.5%

56.8%

REP
by 14.3%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:10

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

47.3%

51.2%

REP
by 3.9%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:02

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

48.0%

45.6%

DEM
by 2.4%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:43

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

47.1%

42.4%

DEM
by 4.7%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:55

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

41.6%

57.9%

REP
by 16.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:59

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

41.6%

57.8%

REP
by 16.3%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:05

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

48.4%

48.7%

REP
by 0.3%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:17

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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