2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - South Dakota [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:17 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	35.5%	36.3%	Trump by 0.9%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 11:17
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	40.1%	55.0%	Trump by 14.9%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 07:41
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	30.0%	53.0%	Trump by 23.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 19:45
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.2%	55.5%	Trump by 21.3%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 17:55
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	19.5%	43.3%	Trump by 23.8%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 21:52

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	40.4%	55.9%	Trump by 15.5%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-03 02:35
2016-10-25 12:00	Nielson w/3P	35.0%	49.0%	Trump by 14.0%	2016-10-24 2016-10-26	2016-20-31 2016-11-02 00:29
2016-10-24 12:00	Ipsos	29.6%	51.9%	Trump by 22.3%	2016-10-14 2016-11-03	2016-11-04 2016-11-06 01:24
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	30.0%	53.0%	Trump by 23.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 17:45
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.1%	56.2%	Trump by 22.1%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-31 02:19
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	29.9%	41.9%	Trump by 12.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 17:38
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	31.3%	49.6%	Trump by 18.3%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 03:49
2016-10-20 12:00	Remington w/3P	37.0%	48.0%	Trump by 11.0%	2016-10-19 2016-10-21	2016-10-25 2016-10-27 21:25
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	41.3%	54.8%	Trump by 13.5%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-29 22:23
2016-10-19 12:00	Mason-Dixon w/3P	37.0%	44.0%	Trump by 7.0%	2016-10-18 2016-10-20	2016-10-25 2016-10-27 07:31
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	28.3%	44.0%	Trump by 15.8%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 16:57
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.3%	54.9%	Trump by 20.6%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 23:01
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	41.8%	54.1%	Trump by 12.3%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 10:44
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	28.6%	38.3%	Trump by 9.7%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 07:05
2016-10-10 12:00	Ipsos	32.8%	49.6%	Trump by 16.9%	2016-09-30 2016-10-20	2016-10-22 2016-10-23 04:45
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.3%	53.4%	Trump by 19.1%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 17:25
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	32.7%	36.9%	Trump by 4.2%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 17:12
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	41.6%	53.7%	Trump by 12.1%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-13 04:41
2016-10-03 12:00	Ipsos	34.0%	48.0%	Trump by 14.0%	2016-09-23 2016-10-13	2016-10-15 2016-10-16 03:03
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	34.9%	54.2%	Trump by 19.3%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-25 02:06
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	36.2%	37.4%	Trump by 1.2%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-07 15:14
2016-09-26 12:00	Ipsos	35.7%	45.4%	Trump by 9.7%	2016-09-16 2016-10-06	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 07:54
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	40.0%	56.2%	Trump by 16.2%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-04 23:58
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	33.7%	57.2%	Trump by 23.5%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 18:02
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	29.1%	31.1%	Trump by 2.0%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-30 03:42
2016-09-19 12:00	Ipsos	31.7%	46.8%	Trump by 15.1%	2016-09-09 2016-09-29	2016-10-03 2016-10-06 03:20
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	40.6%	55.0%	Trump by 14.4%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 16:54
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	31.0%	30.1%	Clinton by 0.9%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-25 18:23
2016-09-12 12:00	Ipsos	28.3%	51.6%	Trump by 23.3%	2016-09-02 2016-09-22	2016-09-26 2016-09-29 05:11
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	22.8%	43.0%	Trump by 20.3%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 15:00
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	35.4%	34.6%	Clinton by 0.7%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 02:25
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	27.9%	38.6%	Trump by 10.6%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 02:23
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo w/4P [2]	29.0%	43.0%	Trump by 14.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 13:54
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo [2]	37.0%	51.0%	Trump by 14.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 13:53
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	33.2%	25.6%	Clinton by 7.7%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 02:21
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	26.5%	42.9%	Trump by 16.4%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 17:17
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	31.3%	48.6%	Trump by 17.3%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 17:16
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	24.7%	34.7%	Trump by 10.0%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 02:20
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	32.4%	46.7%	Trump by 14.3%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 23:19
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	38.2%	44.6%	Trump by 6.4%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 21:11
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	39.9%	57.9%	REP by 18.0%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:11
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	44.8%	53.2%	REP by 8.4%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-10-06 01:49
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	38.4%	59.9%	REP by 21.5%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:08
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	37.6%	60.3%	REP by 22.7%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:51
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	43.0%	46.5%	REP by 3.5%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-18 15:41
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	37.1%	40.7%	REP by 3.5%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:50
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	46.5%	52.9%	REP by 6.3%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:57
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	36.5%	63.0%	REP by 26.5%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 07:02
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	31.7%	60.5%	REP by 28.8%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:15

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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