2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - South Dakota [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:17 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

35.5%

36.3%

Trump
by 0.9%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:17

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

40.1%

55.0%

Trump
by 14.9%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:41

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

30.0%

53.0%

Trump
by 23.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:45

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

34.2%

55.5%

Trump
by 21.3%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:55

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

19.5%

43.3%

Trump
by 23.8%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:52

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

40.4%

55.9%

Trump
by 15.5%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 02:35

2016-10-25 12:00

Nielson w/3P

35.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-10-24
2016-10-26

2016-20-31
2016-11-02 00:29

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

29.6%

51.9%

Trump
by 22.3%

2016-10-14
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:24

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

30.0%

53.0%

Trump
by 23.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 17:45

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

34.1%

56.2%

Trump
by 22.1%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:19

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

29.9%

41.9%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 17:38

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

31.3%

49.6%

Trump
by 18.3%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:49

2016-10-20 12:00

Remington w/3P

37.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-10-19
2016-10-21

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 21:25

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

41.3%

54.8%

Trump
by 13.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 22:23

2016-10-19 12:00

Mason-Dixon w/3P

37.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-10-18
2016-10-20

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 07:31

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

28.3%

44.0%

Trump
by 15.8%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 16:57

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

34.3%

54.9%

Trump
by 20.6%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 23:01

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

41.8%

54.1%

Trump
by 12.3%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:44

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

28.6%

38.3%

Trump
by 9.7%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:05

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

32.8%

49.6%

Trump
by 16.9%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 04:45

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

34.3%

53.4%

Trump
by 19.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:25

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

32.7%

36.9%

Trump
by 4.2%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 17:12

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

41.6%

53.7%

Trump
by 12.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 04:41

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

34.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-09-23
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 03:03

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

34.9%

54.2%

Trump
by 19.3%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:06

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

36.2%

37.4%

Trump
by 1.2%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 15:14

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

35.7%

45.4%

Trump
by 9.7%

2016-09-16
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 07:54

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

40.0%

56.2%

Trump
by 16.2%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 23:58

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

33.7%

57.2%

Trump
by 23.5%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:02

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

29.1%

31.1%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 03:42

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

31.7%

46.8%

Trump
by 15.1%

2016-09-09
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 03:20

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

40.6%

55.0%

Trump
by 14.4%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 16:54

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

31.0%

30.1%

Clinton
by 0.9%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 18:23

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

28.3%

51.6%

Trump
by 23.3%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:11

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

22.8%

43.0%

Trump
by 20.3%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 15:00

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

35.4%

34.6%

Clinton
by 0.7%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 02:25

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

27.9%

38.6%

Trump
by 10.6%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 02:23

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

29.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:54

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

37.0%

51.0%

Trump
by 14.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:53

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

33.2%

25.6%

Clinton
by 7.7%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 02:21

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

26.5%

42.9%

Trump
by 16.4%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:17

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

31.3%

48.6%

Trump
by 17.3%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:16

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

24.7%

34.7%

Trump
by 10.0%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 02:20

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

32.4%

46.7%

Trump
by 14.3%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:19

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

38.2%

44.6%

Trump
by 6.4%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:11

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

39.9%

57.9%

REP
by 18.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:11

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

44.8%

53.2%

REP
by 8.4%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 01:49

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

38.4%

59.9%

REP
by 21.5%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:08

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

37.6%

60.3%

REP
by 22.7%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:51

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

43.0%

46.5%

REP
by 3.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:41

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

37.1%

40.7%

REP
by 3.5%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:50

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

46.5%

52.9%

REP
by 6.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:57

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

36.5%

63.0%

REP
by 26.5%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:02

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

31.7%

60.5%

REP
by 28.8%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:15

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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