2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - South Carolina [9 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:22 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-05 00:00

Gravis w/4P

43.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 5.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 12:22

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

31.9%

45.5%

Trump
by 13.6%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 11:06

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

42.1%

53.2%

Trump
by 11.1%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:39

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

43.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:55

2016-10-31 00:00

Starboard w/3P

36.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-10-30
2016-10-31

2016-11-03
2016-11-08 04:22

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

43.2%

49.8%

Trump
by 6.6%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:53

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

31.9%

38.2%

Trump
by 6.3%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:49

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

44.3%

49.2%

Trump
by 4.9%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:21

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

41.6%

54.0%

Trump
by 12.4%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 02:32

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

43.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 17:43

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

42.7%

49.1%

Trump
by 6.4%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 02:16

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

30.1%

40.9%

Trump
by 10.8%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 17:35

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

35.6%

46.6%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:47

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

42.1%

53.4%

Trump
by 11.3%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 22:20

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

43.5%

48.6%

Trump
by 5.1%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 05:38

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

29.2%

45.1%

Trump
by 15.9%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 16:52

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

42.5%

48.8%

Trump
by 6.3%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 22:59

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

42.4%

53.0%

Trump
by 10.6%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:43

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

30.0%

44.3%

Trump
by 14.3%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 07:02

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

43.7%

50.9%

Trump
by 7.2%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 04:43

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

43.0%

48.4%

Trump
by 5.4%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:23

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

31.4%

45.5%

Trump
by 14.1%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 17:10

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

42.2%

52.6%

Trump
by 10.4%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-13 04:37

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

46.0%

48.8%

Trump
by 2.9%

2016-09-23
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 03:00

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

43.4%

49.7%

Trump
by 6.3%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 02:03

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

29.8%

40.8%

Trump
by 11.0%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 15:09

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

46.7%

48.3%

Trump
by 1.6%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 07:52

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

40.8%

54.6%

Trump
by 13.8%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 23:52

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

43.0%

49.7%

Trump
by 6.7%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 18:00

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

28.3%

45.7%

Trump
by 17.4%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 03:34

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

44.4%

49.0%

Trump
by 4.6%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 03:17

2016-09-22 12:00

Winthrop w/4P

38.0%

42.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-09-18
2016-09-26

2016-09-29
2016-09-29 19:26

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

40.8%

53.9%

Trump
by 13.1%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 16:52

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

33.2%

41.0%

Trump
by 7.7%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 18:15

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

42.9%

49.7%

Trump
by 6.7%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 05:07

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

30.5%

39.1%

Trump
by 8.6%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 19:30

2016-09-09 12:00

Trafalgar w/4P

37.6%

53.0%

Trump
by 15.4%

2016-09-06
2016-09-12

2016-09-14
2016-09-17 17:29

2016-09-08 12:00

Starboard w/3P

35.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 13.0%

2016-09-07
2016-09-09

2016-09-13
2016-09-18 19:49

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

43.5%

50.5%

Trump
by 7.1%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:46

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

30.3%

40.2%

Trump
by 9.9%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 21:31

2016-08-31 12:00

First Tuesday w/4P

38.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 12.0%

2016-08-30
2016-09-01

2016-09-07
2016-09-07 17:41

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

44.6%

48.9%

Trump
by 4.4%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:49

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

31.8%

41.7%

Trump
by 9.9%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 21:30

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

45.1%

48.1%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-08-12
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 06:56

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

38.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:50

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

42.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 7.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:48

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

27.1%

39.4%

Trump
by 12.3%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 21:29

2016-08-20 00:00

Feldman [2]

43.0%

45.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-08-18
2016-08-21

2016-08-23
2016-08-24 14:15

2016-08-20 00:00

Feldman w/4P [2]

39.0%

39.0%

TIED

2016-08-18
2016-08-21

2016-08-23
2016-08-24 13:55

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

33.2%

42.1%

Trump
by 8.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:14

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

36.6%

45.9%

Trump
by 9.3%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:12

2016-08-16 12:00

Gravis w/4P [2]

37.0%

41.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-08-15
2016-08-17

2016-08-21
2016-08-22 14:01

2016-08-16 12:00

Gravis [2]

42.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-08-15
2016-08-17

2016-08-21
2016-08-22 13:59

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

46.0%

46.0%

TIED

2016-08-05
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-28 03:59

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

30.1%

39.2%

Trump
by 9.1%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 21:26

2016-08-10 00:00

PPP w/4P

39.0%

41.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-08-09
2016-08-10

2016-08-11
2016-08-12 05:16

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

41.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 9.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 04:02

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

36.6%

46.2%

Trump
by 9.6%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:16

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

36.2%

46.7%

Trump
by 10.5%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:08

2015-11-13 12:00

Morning Consult

41.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2015-11-10
2015-11-16

2015-11-19
2015-11-22 09:31

2015-11-08 00:00

PPP

42.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 5.0%

2015-11-07
2015-11-08

2015-11-17
2015-11-22 15:58

2015-09-05 00:00

PPP

39.0%

50.0%

Trump
by 11.0%

2015-09-03
2015-09-06

2015-09-11
2015-09-13 17:19

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

44.1%

54.6%

REP
by 10.5%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:10

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

44.9%

53.9%

REP
by 9.0%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 01:46

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

40.9%

58.0%

REP
by 17.1%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:07

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

40.9%

56.8%

REP
by 15.9%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:50

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

43.9%

49.9%

REP
by 6.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:39

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

39.9%

48.0%

REP
by 8.1%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:45

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

37.6%

61.5%

REP
by 23.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:52

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

35.6%

63.6%

REP
by 28.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:59

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

48.0%

49.6%

REP
by 1.5%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:13

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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