2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Rhode Island [4 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 11:03 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	40.7%	23.1%	Clinton by 17.6%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 11:03
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	58.9%	36.6%	Clinton by 22.3%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 07:36
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	49.0%	36.0%	Clinton by 13.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 21:27
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	54.0%	35.4%	Clinton by 18.6%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 17:50
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	38.4%	36.6%	Clinton by 1.8%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 21:44

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	57.2%	39.7%	Clinton by 17.5%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-03 02:30
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	48.0%	37.0%	Clinton by 11.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 17:40
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	54.5%	36.7%	Clinton by 17.8%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-31 02:13
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	46.7%	28.3%	Clinton by 18.4%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 17:31
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	47.0%	29.2%	Clinton by 17.8%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 03:45
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	58.1%	39.0%	Clinton by 19.1%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-29 22:18
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	45.1%	32.8%	Clinton by 12.3%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 16:48
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	57.6%	33.6%	Clinton by 24.0%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 22:57
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	58.3%	38.6%	Clinton by 19.7%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 10:40
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	57.3%	13.1%	Clinton by 44.3%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 06:59
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	57.8%	32.4%	Clinton by 25.4%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 17:20
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	52.2%	25.0%	Clinton by 27.2%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 17:08
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	57.8%	38.6%	Clinton by 19.2%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-13 04:30
2016-10-03 12:00	Emerson w/4P	51.8%	32.3%	Clinton by 19.5%	2016-10-02 2016-10-04	2016-10-06 2016-10-07 17:04
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	54.7%	35.3%	Clinton by 19.4%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-25 01:59
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	44.8%	28.5%	Clinton by 16.3%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-07 15:06
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	56.7%	40.2%	Clinton by 16.5%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-04 23:41
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	52.5%	37.5%	Clinton by 15.0%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 17:58
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	42.4%	23.0%	Clinton by 19.4%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-30 03:31
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	56.2%	40.2%	Clinton by 16.0%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 16:49
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	46.4%	30.9%	Clinton by 15.5%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-25 18:06
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	37.7%	30.2%	Clinton by 7.5%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 15:42
2016-09-04 00:00	Emerson w/4P	43.7%	41.1%	Clinton by 2.6%	2016-09-02 2016-09-05	2016-09-07 2016-09-07 17:20
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	41.2%	23.5%	Clinton by 17.7%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 14:52
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	38.9%	19.9%	Clinton by 19.0%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 14:51
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo w/4P [2]	41.0%	33.0%	Clinton by 8.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 13:45
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo [2]	50.0%	40.0%	Clinton by 10.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 13:43
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	44.2%	18.5%	Clinton by 25.7%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 14:50
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	45.1%	29.8%	Clinton by 15.3%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 17:11
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	50.1%	32.1%	Clinton by 18.0%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 17:09
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	34.2%	27.0%	Clinton by 7.1%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 14:48
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	47.3%	35.7%	Clinton by 11.6%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 23:13
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	48.9%	35.7%	Clinton by 13.2%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 21:04
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	62.7%	35.2%	DEM by 27.5%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:09
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	62.9%	35.1%	DEM by 27.8%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-10-05 08:40
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	59.4%	38.7%	DEM by 20.8%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:06
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	61.0%	31.9%	DEM by 29.1%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:48
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	59.7%	26.8%	DEM by 32.9%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 19:45
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	47.0%	29.0%	DEM by 18.0%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:43
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	55.6%	43.9%	DEM by 11.7%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:50
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	48.0%	51.7%	REP by 3.6%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:57
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	47.7%	37.2%	DEM by 10.5%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:11

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

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2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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