2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Oregon [7 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:16 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-05 00:00

Gravis w/4P

44.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 12:16

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

45.0%

26.4%

Clinton
by 18.6%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 10:56

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

51.0%

43.2%

Clinton
by 7.8%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:31

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

51.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:05

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.1%

40.0%

Clinton
by 10.1%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:46

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

37.6%

30.6%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:16

2016-10-28 00:00

Ipsos

46.8%

38.1%

Clinton
by 8.6%

2016-10-21
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 01:06

2016-10-27 00:00

DHM w/4P

41.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-24
2016-10-29

2016-11-02
2016-11-02 02:45

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

50.4%

43.3%

Clinton
by 7.1%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 02:26

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

50.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 16:31

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.1%

40.3%

Clinton
by 8.8%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 01:36

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

48.7%

25.5%

Clinton
by 23.3%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 16:46

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

43.8%

36.0%

Clinton
by 7.8%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:39

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

50.8%

42.8%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 21:38

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

46.3%

37.7%

Clinton
by 8.6%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:52

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

47.7%

23.6%

Clinton
by 24.2%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 16:15

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.3%

39.0%

Clinton
by 10.3%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 22:28

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

51.1%

42.5%

Clinton
by 8.6%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:21

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

43.7%

24.5%

Clinton
by 19.2%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 06:21

2016-10-11 12:00

SurveyUSA w/4P

48.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-12

2016-10-13
2016-10-15 19:19

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

46.3%

37.2%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 04:19

2016-10-10 00:00

DHM w/4P

43.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-06
2016-10-13

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 20:07

2016-10-09 12:00

Riley w/4P

46.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-10-04
2016-10-14

2016-10-18
2016-10-19 16:36

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.7%

39.2%

Clinton
by 10.5%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:13

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

47.0%

37.1%

Clinton
by 9.9%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 02:55

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

48.5%

23.8%

Clinton
by 24.7%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 17:04

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

50.6%

42.5%

Clinton
by 8.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 23:00

2016-10-04 12:00

Gravis w/4P

47.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-04
2016-10-04

2016-10-07
2016-10-09 06:04

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

50.1%

39.7%

Clinton
by 10.4%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 01:49

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

48.0%

26.5%

Clinton
by 21.5%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 06:16

2016-09-30 12:00

Hoffman w/4P

45.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-09-29
2016-10-01

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 04:29

2016-09-30 00:00

Ipsos

51.3%

36.0%

Clinton
by 15.3%

2016-09-23
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 07:47

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

50.2%

44.6%

Clinton
by 5.6%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 19:53

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.8%

41.1%

Clinton
by 7.7%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 17:54

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

44.1%

28.8%

Clinton
by 15.3%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 03:22

2016-09-23 00:00

Ipsos

48.4%

37.6%

Clinton
by 10.8%

2016-09-16
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-06 03:02

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

50.5%

43.5%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 16:44

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

40.2%

28.1%

Clinton
by 12.1%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 05:54

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

43.6%

41.4%

Clinton
by 2.3%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 04:43

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

42.3%

29.8%

Clinton
by 12.6%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 15:34

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

44.2%

41.0%

Clinton
by 3.2%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:41

2016-09-05 00:00

iCitizen w/4P

43.0%

28.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-09-02
2016-09-07

2016-09-13
2016-09-17 18:11

2016-09-04 00:00

DHM w/4P

38.0%

25.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-09-01
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-10 07:42

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

38.8%

28.4%

Clinton
by 10.4%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 17:14

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

46.8%

35.0%

Clinton
by 11.8%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:42

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

42.4%

27.9%

Clinton
by 14.5%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 17:12

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

44.3%

39.2%

Clinton
by 5.1%

2016-08-12
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 07:28

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

47.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:33

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

55.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 13:31

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

37.9%

25.3%

Clinton
by 12.5%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 17:11

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

47.1%

35.4%

Clinton
by 11.7%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 17:02

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

45.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-28 01:35

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

45.2%

26.1%

Clinton
by 19.1%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 17:09

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

43.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 01:38

2016-07-11 12:00

Clout w/4P

43.1%

39.7%

Clinton
by 3.4%

2016-07-09
2016-07-13

2016-07-26
2016-07-29 08:42

2016-06-25 12:00

iCitizen

46.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-06-23
2016-06-27

2016-06-29
2016-07-10 18:28

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

45.1%

36.3%

Clinton
by 8.8%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:09

2016-05-12 00:00

Clout

42.3%

44.4%

Trump
by 2.1%

2016-05-10
2016-05-13

2016-05-18
2016-05-29 23:35

2016-05-08 00:00

DHM

43.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-05-06
2016-05-09

2016-05-09
2016-05-13 05:29

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

44.9%

37.7%

Clinton
by 7.2%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 21:00

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

54.2%

42.2%

DEM
by 12.1%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:07

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

56.8%

40.4%

DEM
by 16.4%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-05 08:37

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

51.4%

47.2%

DEM
by 4.2%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:03

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

47.0%

46.5%

DEM
by 0.4%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:45

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

47.2%

39.1%

DEM
by 8.1%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 19:40

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

42.5%

32.5%

DEM
by 10.0%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:40

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

51.3%

46.6%

DEM
by 4.7%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:45

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

43.7%

55.9%

REP
by 12.2%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:53

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

38.7%

48.3%

REP
by 9.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:08

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

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Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

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