2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Oklahoma [7 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 10:54 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:

Best Polled:

Democrat:

Republican:

State:

History Shown in Graph:

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

Poll Average

Clinton		Trump

Polls Used in Average

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-11-04 12:00	Google w/3P	26.7%	43.3%	Trump by 16.6%	2016-11-01 2016-11-07	2016-11-08 2016-11-08 10:54
2016-11-03 00:00	CVoter	33.6%	62.6%	Trump by 29.0%	2016-10-30 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 07:29
2016-11-01 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	31.0%	57.0%	Trump by 26.0%	2016-10-29 2016-11-04	2016-11-05 2016-11-05 20:50
2016-10-30 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	33.1%	57.3%	Trump by 24.2%	2016-10-23 2016-11-05	2016-11-06 2016-11-07 17:44
2016-10-28 12:00	Google w/3P	27.3%	47.8%	Trump by 20.6%	2016-10-25 2016-10-31	2016-11-01 2016-11-02 21:14

Older Polls

Middate/Time	Pollster	Clinton	Trump	Margin	Start/End	Released/Entered
2016-10-26 12:00	CVoter	33.3%	63.2%	Trump by 29.9%	2016-10-23 2016-10-29	2016-10-31 2016-11-03 02:23
2016-10-24 12:00	Ipsos	29.7%	60.3%	Trump by 30.6%	2016-10-14 2016-11-03	2016-11-04 2016-11-06 00:59
2016-10-24 12:00	SurveyMonkey EM w/3P	30.0%	57.0%	Trump by 27.0%	2016-10-20 2016-10-28	2016-10-28 2016-10-29 16:29
2016-10-23 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	31.9%	59.7%	Trump by 27.8%	2016-10-16 2016-10-29	2016-10-30 2016-10-31 01:33
2016-10-22 12:00	Google w/3P	30.6%	40.3%	Trump by 9.8%	2016-10-20 2016-10-24	2016-10-25 2016-10-30 16:42
2016-10-21 00:00	CCES w/4P	26.8%	53.4%	Trump by 26.6%	2016-10-04 2016-11-06	2016-11-07 2016-11-08 03:35
2016-10-20 00:00	CVoter	33.7%	62.6%	Trump by 28.9%	2016-10-16 2016-10-23	2016-10-24 2016-10-29 21:35
2016-10-19 12:00	Sooner w/3P	29.6%	59.6%	Trump by 30.0%	2016-10-18 2016-10-20	2016-10-23 2016-10-23 21:11
2016-10-17 12:00	Ipsos	35.7%	52.3%	Trump by 16.7%	2016-10-07 2016-10-27	2016-10-28 2016-10-31 04:50
2016-10-17 12:00	Google w/3P	27.5%	41.3%	Trump by 13.9%	2016-10-15 2016-10-19	2016-10-20 2016-10-23 16:10
2016-10-16 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	32.2%	57.6%	Trump by 25.4%	2016-10-09 2016-10-22	2016-10-23 2016-10-25 22:26
2016-10-13 00:00	CVoter	33.5%	62.6%	Trump by 29.1%	2016-10-09 2016-10-16	2016-10-17 2016-10-19 10:19
2016-10-12 12:00	Google w/3P	33.7%	44.5%	Trump by 10.8%	2016-10-10 2016-10-14	2016-10-15 2016-10-19 06:19
2016-10-10 12:00	Ipsos	36.1%	51.3%	Trump by 15.2%	2016-09-30 2016-10-20	2016-10-22 2016-10-23 04:16
2016-10-09 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	33.0%	55.9%	Trump by 22.9%	2016-10-02 2016-10-15	2016-10-16 2016-10-25 17:11
2016-10-07 00:00	Google w/3P	33.5%	41.6%	Trump by 8.2%	2016-10-04 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-11 17:01
2016-10-06 00:00	CVoter	33.8%	61.7%	Trump by 27.9%	2016-10-02 2016-10-09	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 22:56
2016-10-03 12:00	Ipsos	36.0%	51.3%	Trump by 15.3%	2016-09-23 2016-10-13	2016-10-15 2016-10-16 02:52
2016-10-02 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	33.5%	57.4%	Trump by 23.9%	2016-09-25 2016-10-08	2016-10-09 2016-10-25 01:47
2016-09-30 12:00	Google w/3P	29.0%	39.6%	Trump by 10.7%	2016-09-27 2016-10-03	2016-10-04 2016-10-07 06:12
2016-09-26 12:00	Ipsos	33.2%	53.2%	Trump by 20.0%	2016-09-16 2016-10-06	2016-10-10 2016-10-12 07:43
2016-09-26 00:00	CVoter	32.0%	64.5%	Trump by 32.5%	2016-09-19 2016-10-02	2016-10-03 2016-10-04 19:51
2016-09-25 00:00	YouGov EM w/4P	32.0%	59.7%	Trump by 27.7%	2016-09-18 2016-10-01	2016-10-02 2016-10-24 17:44
2016-09-24 00:00	Google w/3P	22.6%	35.9%	Trump by 13.3%	2016-09-21 2016-09-26	2016-09-27 2016-09-30 03:03
2016-09-19 00:00	CVoter	32.1%	63.7%	Trump by 31.6%	2016-09-12 2016-09-25	2016-09-26 2016-09-28 16:43
2016-09-17 12:00	Google w/3P	27.8%	44.2%	Trump by 16.4%	2016-09-14 2016-09-20	2016-09-21 2016-09-25 05:24
2016-09-14 12:00	Sooner w/3P	35.6%	50.9%	Trump by 15.3%	2016-09-13 2016-09-15	2016-09-17 2016-09-18 20:05
2016-09-12 12:00	Ipsos	29.6%	54.9%	Trump by 25.4%	2016-09-02 2016-09-22	2016-09-26 2016-09-29 04:04
2016-09-10 12:00	Google w/3P	21.6%	44.6%	Trump by 23.0%	2016-09-07 2016-09-13	2016-09-14 2016-09-18 16:27
2016-09-05 12:00	Ipsos	32.1%	53.2%	Trump by 21.1%	2016-08-26 2016-09-15	2016-09-16 2016-09-18 00:39
2016-09-03 12:00	Google w/3P	29.3%	44.6%	Trump by 15.2%	2016-08-31 2016-09-06	2016-09-07 2016-09-11 18:35
2016-08-29 12:00	Ipsos	33.3%	52.4%	Trump by 19.1%	2016-08-19 2016-09-08	2016-09-09 2016-09-12 02:39
2016-08-27 12:00	Google w/3P	28.7%	37.1%	Trump by 8.3%	2016-08-24 2016-08-30	2016-08-31 2016-09-11 18:33
2016-08-22 12:00	Ipsos	35.5%	48.4%	Trump by 12.9%	2016-08-12 2016-09-01	2016-09-02 2016-09-04 07:16
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo w/4P [2]	26.0%	49.0%	Trump by 23.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 06:54
2016-08-21 00:00	WaPo [2]	33.0%	57.0%	Trump by 24.0%	2016-08-09 2016-09-01	2016-09-06 2016-09-07 06:52
2016-08-20 12:00	Google w/3P	24.4%	42.2%	Trump by 17.8%	2016-08-17 2016-08-23	2016-08-24 2016-09-11 18:32
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult w/4P [2]	24.6%	48.5%	Trump by 23.9%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 17:01
2016-08-16 12:00	Morning Consult [2]	28.5%	53.8%	Trump by 25.3%	2016-08-01 2016-08-31	2016-09-08 2016-09-14 16:59
2016-08-15 12:00	Ipsos	32.0%	54.0%	Trump by 22.0%	2016-08-05 2016-08-25	2016-08-26 2016-08-28 01:15
2016-08-13 12:00	Google w/3P	27.3%	39.3%	Trump by 12.0%	2016-08-10 2016-08-16	2016-08-17 2016-09-11 18:31
2016-08-08 12:00	Ipsos	29.0%	58.0%	Trump by 29.0%	2016-07-29 2016-08-18	2016-08-19 2016-08-28 01:17
2016-07-23 00:00	Sooner w/3P	28.6%	53.0%	Trump by 24.4%	2016-07-20 2016-07-25	2016-07-30 2016-08-01 06:48
2016-05-16 12:00	Morning Consult	33.9%	47.9%	Trump by 14.0%	2016-04-01 2016-06-30	2016-07-14 2016-07-25 23:06
2016-05-03 12:00	Oklahoman w/3P	28.0%	48.0%	Trump by 20.0%	2016-05-02 2016-05-04	2016-05-15 2016-07-11 03:35
2016-02-19 00:00	Morning Consult	34.1%	47.9%	Trump by 13.8%	2016-01-01 2016-04-07	2016-04-13 2016-07-23 20:57
2012-11-06 12:00	Election2012	33.2%	66.8%	REP by 33.5%	2012-11-06 2012-11-06	2012-11-06 2013-09-22 05:06
2008-11-04 12:00	Election2008	34.4%	65.7%	REP by 31.3%	2008-11-04 2008-11-04	2008-11-04 2013-10-05 08:35
2004-11-02 12:00	Election2004	34.4%	65.6%	REP by 31.1%	2004-11-02 2004-11-02	2004-11-02 2013-10-14 07:02
2000-11-07 12:00	Election2000	38.4%	60.3%	REP by 21.9%	2000-11-07 2000-11-07	2000-11-07 2013-11-10 10:43
1996-11-06 12:00	Election1996	40.5%	48.3%	REP by 7.8%	1996-11-06 1996-11-06	1996-11-06 2014-02-16 19:38
1992-11-03 12:00	Election1992	34.0%	42.7%	REP by 8.6%	1992-11-03 1992-11-03	1992-11-03 2014-03-17 06:39
1988-11-08 12:00	Election1988	41.3%	57.9%	REP by 16.7%	1988-11-08 1988-11-08	1988-11-08 2014-05-17 19:43
1984-11-06 12:00	Election1984	30.7%	68.6%	REP by 37.9%	1984-11-06 1984-11-06	1984-11-06 2014-05-24 06:51
1980-11-04 12:00	Election1980	35.0%	60.5%	REP by 25.5%	1980-11-04 1980-11-04	1980-11-04 2014-10-17 19:06

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

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