2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - New York [29 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:11 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-05 00:00

Gravis w/4P

55.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 12:11

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

39.8%

33.3%

Clinton
by 6.5%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 10:48

2016-11-04 00:00

Siena w/4P

51.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-04

2016-11-06
2016-11-06 18:33

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

58.6%

37.8%

Clinton
by 20.8%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:19

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

58.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 26.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 18:32

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-31 12:00

Ipsos

56.4%

34.2%

Clinton
by 22.2%

2016-10-28
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 00:47

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

56.5%

35.5%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:35

2016-10-28 12:00

McLaughlin

49.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-27
2016-10-29

2016-11-01
2016-11-04 04:05

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

42.3%

30.2%

Clinton
by 12.1%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:08

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

58.4%

38.0%

Clinton
by 20.4%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 01:13

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

52.0%

30.3%

Clinton
by 21.7%

2016-10-21
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:44

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

57.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 25.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 16:17

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

56.3%

35.9%

Clinton
by 20.4%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 01:18

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

44.0%

29.1%

Clinton
by 14.9%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 16:37

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

52.7%

31.4%

Clinton
by 21.3%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:21

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

58.5%

37.9%

Clinton
by 20.6%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 21:24

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

44.0%

29.0%

Clinton
by 15.1%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 16:04

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

53.7%

30.1%

Clinton
by 23.6%

2016-10-14
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 04:05

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

58.2%

33.7%

Clinton
by 24.5%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 22:18

2016-10-15 12:00

Siena w/4P

54.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 24.0%

2016-10-13
2016-10-17

2016-10-19
2016-10-19 15:45

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

58.7%

37.5%

Clinton
by 21.2%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:10

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

47.4%

27.7%

Clinton
by 19.7%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 06:15

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

52.6%

26.7%

Clinton
by 25.9%

2016-10-07
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 02:42

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

57.9%

34.3%

Clinton
by 23.6%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:02

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

41.7%

30.8%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 16:53

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

58.2%

37.6%

Clinton
by 20.6%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 22:45

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

54.8%

31.1%

Clinton
by 23.7%

2016-09-30
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 06:57

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

58.3%

34.8%

Clinton
by 23.5%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 01:39

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

43.0%

31.3%

Clinton
by 11.8%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 06:07

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

49.3%

29.1%

Clinton
by 20.3%

2016-09-23
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 21:52

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

57.0%

39.5%

Clinton
by 17.5%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 19:41

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

56.7%

35.6%

Clinton
by 21.1%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 17:36

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

42.5%

29.4%

Clinton
by 13.1%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 01:39

2016-09-22 12:00

Marist LV w/4P [4]

52.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-23

2016-09-26
2016-09-27 08:07

2016-09-22 12:00

Marist LV [4]

57.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 24.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-23

2016-09-26
2016-09-27 08:05

2016-09-22 12:00

Marist RV w/4P [4]

50.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-23

2016-09-26
2016-09-27 08:04

2016-09-22 12:00

Marist RV [4]

55.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 22.0%

2016-09-21
2016-09-23

2016-09-26
2016-09-27 08:01

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

52.8%

34.1%

Clinton
by 18.8%

2016-09-16
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 03:14

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

57.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 18.0%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 16:34

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

41.6%

28.2%

Clinton
by 13.3%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 03:16

2016-09-13 12:00

Siena w/4P

51.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-09-11
2016-09-15

2016-09-20
2016-09-21 16:28

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

53.4%

30.0%

Clinton
by 23.5%

2016-09-09
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:31

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

39.8%

31.4%

Clinton
by 8.5%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 16:35

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

51.8%

30.1%

Clinton
by 21.7%

2016-09-02
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:30

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

37.3%

28.8%

Clinton
by 8.5%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 22:01

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

50.0%

28.5%

Clinton
by 21.5%

2016-08-26
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 04:55

2016-08-29 12:00

Emerson w/4P

52.1%

34.2%

Clinton
by 17.9%

2016-08-28
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-01 18:28

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

41.6%

29.9%

Clinton
by 11.7%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 21:59

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

53.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 22.0%

2016-08-19
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 17:16

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

51.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 20.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:36

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

57.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 22.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:34

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

39.1%

27.7%

Clinton
by 11.4%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 21:58

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

48.5%

28.6%

Clinton
by 19.9%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:51

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

51.6%

31.8%

Clinton
by 19.8%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:49

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

52.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 22.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 17:18

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

41.2%

26.0%

Clinton
by 15.2%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 21:56

2016-08-09 00:00

Siena w/4P [2]

50.0%

25.0%

Clinton
by 25.0%

2016-08-07
2016-08-10

2016-08-15
2016-08-17 07:23

2016-08-09 00:00

Siena [2]

57.0%

27.0%

Clinton
by 30.0%

2016-08-07
2016-08-10

2016-08-15
2016-08-17 07:19

2016-08-06 12:00

Gravis w/4P [2]

48.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-08

2016-08-09
2016-08-12 06:15

2016-08-06 12:00

Gravis [2]

53.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 17.0%

2016-08-04
2016-08-08

2016-08-09
2016-08-12 06:11

2016-07-15 12:00

Quinnipiac w/4P [2]

45.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-07-13
2016-07-17

2016-07-19
2016-07-20 07:41

2016-07-15 12:00

Quinnipiac [2]

47.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-07-13
2016-07-17

2016-07-19
2016-07-20 07:38

2016-06-25 12:00

Siena

54.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 23.0%

2016-06-22
2016-06-28

2016-06-30
2016-07-01 05:25

2016-05-24 12:00

Siena

52.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-05-22
2016-05-26

2016-05-31
2016-06-01 15:11

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

50.9%

33.7%

Clinton
by 17.2%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 23:01

2016-04-26 00:00

Siena

56.0%

30.0%

Clinton
by 26.0%

2016-04-24
2016-04-27

2016-05-03
2016-05-05 06:26

2016-04-16 12:00

Emerson

55.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2016-04-15
2016-04-17

2016-04-17
2016-04-19 02:46

2016-04-09 00:00

PPP

55.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 20.0%

2016-04-07
2016-04-10

2016-04-12
2016-04-13 05:35

2016-04-08 12:00

Marist

61.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 29.0%

2016-04-06
2016-04-10

2016-04-12
2016-04-13 05:45

2016-04-08 00:00

NY1

51.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-04-05
2016-04-10

2016-04-11
2016-04-13 04:15

2016-04-07 00:00

Emerson

54.1%

36.3%

Clinton
by 17.8%

2016-04-06
2016-04-07

2016-04-08
2016-04-09 14:52

2016-04-06 00:00

Fox

53.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-04-04
2016-04-07

2016-04-10
2016-04-10 19:11

2016-03-26 00:00

Quinnipiac

53.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 20.0%

2016-03-22
2016-03-29

2016-03-31
2016-04-02 03:26

2016-03-15 12:00

Emerson

54.5%

35.8%

Clinton
by 18.7%

2016-03-14
2016-03-16

2016-03-18
2016-03-19 04:09

2016-03-01 12:00

Siena

57.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 23.0%

2016-02-28
2016-03-03

2016-03-07
2016-03-08 15:30

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

52.8%

33.6%

Clinton
by 19.2%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 20:41

2016-02-02 00:00

Siena

57.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 25.0%

2016-01-31
2016-02-03

2016-02-08
2016-06-01 14:48

2015-09-16 00:00

Siena

55.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2015-09-14
2015-09-17

2015-09-21
2015-09-23 02:42

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

63.4%

35.2%

DEM
by 28.2%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:02

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

62.9%

36.0%

DEM
by 26.9%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:34

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

58.4%

40.1%

DEM
by 18.3%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:56

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

60.2%

35.2%

DEM
by 25.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:35

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

59.5%

30.6%

DEM
by 28.9%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 17:28

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

49.7%

33.9%

DEM
by 15.9%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:26

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

51.6%

47.5%

DEM
by 4.1%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:29

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

45.8%

53.8%

REP
by 8.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:43

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

44.0%

46.7%

REP
by 2.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:59

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

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Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

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