2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - Nevada [6 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 18:46 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-05 12:00

Insights West Dec w/4P [2]

46.0%

46.0%

TIED

2016-11-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 18:46

2016-11-05 12:00

Insights West All w/4P [2]

42.0%

42.0%

TIED

2016-11-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 18:44

2016-11-05 00:00

Gravis w/4P

45.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-11-03
2016-11-06

2016-11-06
2016-11-08 00:34

2016-11-05 00:00

Emerson w/4P

46.8%

45.8%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-11-04
2016-11-05

2016-11-07
2016-11-07 22:10

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

36.0%

38.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 10:45

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

49.3%

45.9%

Clinton
by 3.4%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:07

2016-11-03 00:00

Trafalgar w/4P

45.0%

49.6%

Trump
by 4.6%

2016-11-01
2016-11-04

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 10:18

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-02 12:00

Alliance w/3P

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2016-11-01
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 02:44

2016-11-02 00:00

Remington w/3P

45.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-02

2016-11-07
2016-11-07 23:07

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

42.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 18:53

2016-11-01 00:00

PPP

48.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-10-31
2016-11-01

2016-11-03
2016-11-06 03:23

2016-10-30 12:00

Lucid w/4P

45.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-28
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-03 20:35

2016-10-30 12:00

JMC w/3P

45.0%

45.0%

TIED

2016-10-28
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-03 06:43

2016-10-30 12:00

Remington w/3P

44.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-10-30
2016-10-30

2016-10-31
2016-11-01 23:06

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

46.4%

45.6%

Clinton
by 0.8%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:25

2016-10-30 00:00

CNN LV [4]

45.0%

51.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-10-27
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 00:21

2016-10-30 00:00

CNN RV [4]

46.0%

48.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-10-27
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 00:17

2016-10-30 00:00

CNN LV w/3P [4]

43.0%

49.0%

Trump
by 6.0%

2016-10-27
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 00:16

2016-10-30 00:00

CNN RV w/3P [4]

43.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-27
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-04 00:14

2016-10-29 12:00

Alliance w/3P

44.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-27
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 17:45

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

40.4%

33.3%

Clinton
by 7.1%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:06

2016-10-27 00:00

Emerson w/4P

44.0%

42.4%

Clinton
by 1.6%

2016-10-26
2016-10-27

2016-10-29
2016-10-31 09:35

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

47.8%

46.1%

Clinton
by 1.7%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 00:43

2016-10-25 12:00

Gravis w/4P

46.0%

46.0%

TIED

2016-10-25
2016-10-25

2016-10-27
2016-10-31 09:46

2016-10-25 12:00

Alliance 3 Day w/4P

44.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-24
2016-10-26

2016-10-27
2016-10-28 05:26

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

47.2%

41.7%

Clinton
by 5.6%

2016-10-14
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 00:34

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

43.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 16:00

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

46.1%

45.9%

Clinton
by 0.2%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 00:38

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

36.4%

33.2%

Clinton
by 3.2%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 16:34

2016-10-22 12:00

Marist RV w/3P [4]

43.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-26
2016-10-27 03:35

2016-10-22 12:00

Marist LV w/3P [4]

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-26
2016-10-27 03:33

2016-10-22 12:00

Marist RV [4]

45.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-26
2016-10-27 03:30

2016-10-22 12:00

Marist LV [4]

45.0%

45.0%

TIED

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-26
2016-10-27 03:28

2016-10-22 00:00

B&A w/3P

48.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-23

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 04:38

2016-10-21 12:00

Remington w/3P

44.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-22

2016-10-25
2016-10-27 07:37

2016-10-21 12:00

Rasmussen w/3P

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-22

2016-10-24
2016-10-27 04:45

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

42.5%

40.9%

Clinton
by 1.6%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:10

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

48.3%

45.4%

Clinton
by 2.9%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 21:14

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

40.2%

40.1%

Clinton
by 0.1%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:37

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

36.7%

35.8%

Clinton
by 0.9%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 16:02

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

46.8%

44.6%

Clinton
by 2.2%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 22:08

2016-10-16 00:00

Monmouth w/3P

47.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-14
2016-10-17

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 20:13

2016-10-13 12:00

YouGov w/3P

46.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-12
2016-10-14

2016-10-16
2016-10-16 17:39

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

48.8%

44.8%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:02

2016-10-13 00:00

CNN LV [4]

50.0%

46.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-15

2016-10-17
2016-10-18 18:55

2016-10-13 00:00

CNN RV [4]

51.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-15

2016-10-17
2016-10-18 18:54

2016-10-13 00:00

CNN LV w/3P [4]

46.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-15

2016-10-17
2016-10-18 18:52

2016-10-13 00:00

CNN RV w/3P [4]

46.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-15

2016-10-17
2016-10-18 18:50

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

33.6%

35.3%

Trump
by 1.7%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 06:14

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey w/4P [2]

40.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 21:58

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey [2]

47.0%

46.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 21:57

2016-10-12 00:00

POS w/3P

45.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-11
2016-10-12

2016-10-13
2016-10-16 07:07

2016-10-12 00:00

JMC w/3P

43.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-13

2016-10-14
2016-10-15 19:14

2016-10-11 00:00

Clarity

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2016-10-10
2016-10-11

2016-10-13
2016-10-16 08:13

2016-10-11 00:00

PPP

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-11

2016-10-12
2016-10-13 06:27

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

47.7%

43.4%

Clinton
by 4.2%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 03:46

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

46.4%

42.3%

Clinton
by 4.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 16:53

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

43.8%

30.4%

Clinton
by 13.4%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 16:50

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

48.3%

44.9%

Clinton
by 3.4%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 22:35

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

40.8%

38.7%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-09-23
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 02:31

2016-10-03 12:00

Emerson w/4P

42.5%

42.8%

Trump
by 0.3%

2016-10-02
2016-10-04

2016-10-06
2016-10-07 16:59

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

46.6%

44.3%

Clinton
by 2.3%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 01:27

2016-10-01 00:00

Hart [2]

47.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-09-29
2016-10-02

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 18:28

2016-10-01 00:00

Hart w/3P [2]

44.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-09-29
2016-10-02

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 18:27

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

35.2%

33.1%

Clinton
by 2.1%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 05:39

2016-09-28 12:00

B&A w/3P

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-29

2016-10-01
2016-10-03 17:18

2016-09-28 12:00

Suffolk [2]

36.6%

31.7%

Clinton
by 4.9%

2016-09-27
2016-09-29

2016-09-30
2016-10-01 01:05

2016-09-28 12:00

Suffolk w/3P [2]

44.2%

38.2%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-29

2016-09-30
2016-10-01 00:59

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

46.2%

42.3%

Clinton
by 3.9%

2016-09-16
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 06:45

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

47.1%

46.8%

Clinton
by 0.3%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 19:31

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

47.0%

45.2%

Clinton
by 1.8%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 17:28

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

34.0%

34.4%

Trump
by 0.5%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 01:36

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

42.4%

43.7%

Trump
by 1.3%

2016-09-09
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 19:42

2016-09-19 12:00

Fox RV [4]

40.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-09-18
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 03:31

2016-09-19 12:00

Fox LV [4]

42.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-09-18
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 03:30

2016-09-19 12:00

Fox RV w/3P [4]

38.0%

39.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-09-18
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 03:26

2016-09-19 12:00

Fox LV w/3P [4]

40.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-09-18
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 03:24

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

46.8%

46.1%

Clinton
by 0.7%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 15:12

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

32.2%

33.5%

Trump
by 1.3%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 03:03

2016-09-17 12:00

Rasmussen w/3P

39.0%

42.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-09-16
2016-09-18

2016-09-20
2016-09-21 14:50

2016-09-15 00:00

GQR [3]

49.0%

46.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-09-10
2016-09-19

2016-09-23
2016-09-25 23:21

2016-09-15 00:00

GQR w/Lean w/4P [3]

42.0%

42.0%

TIED

2016-09-10
2016-09-19

2016-09-23
2016-09-25 23:19

2016-09-15 00:00

GQR w/4P [3]

42.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-09-10
2016-09-19

2016-09-23
2016-09-25 23:17

2016-09-13 12:00

Insights West w/3P

40.0%

42.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-09-12
2016-09-14

2016-09-21
2016-09-23 06:52

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

45.0%

45.0%

Clinton
by 0.0%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 23:51

2016-09-12 12:00

Monmouth w/3P

42.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-09-11
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-17 06:23

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

27.8%

35.6%

Trump
by 7.8%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 16:41

2016-09-07 12:00

Marist RV w/4P [4]

41.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-08

2016-09-11
2016-09-12 06:14

2016-09-07 12:00

Marist LV w/4P [4]

41.0%

42.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-08

2016-09-11
2016-09-12 06:13

2016-09-07 12:00

Marist RV [4]

46.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-08

2016-09-11
2016-09-12 06:11

2016-09-07 12:00

Marist LV [4]

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-08

2016-09-11
2016-09-12 06:09

2016-09-07 00:00

PPP

45.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-07

2016-09-13
2016-09-17 15:59

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

37.6%

41.5%

Trump
by 3.9%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-17 23:46

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

34.8%

33.8%

Clinton
by 0.9%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 16:56

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

43.3%

40.5%

Clinton
by 2.8%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:16

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

34.4%

33.9%

Clinton
by 0.5%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 16:55

2016-08-22 12:00

Ipsos

42.9%

34.9%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-08-12
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 07:53

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

40.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:10

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

48.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:05

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

30.0%

41.5%

Trump
by 11.4%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 16:53

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

38.4%

36.7%

Clinton
by 1.7%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:48

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

42.9%

39.2%

Clinton
by 3.7%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:46

2016-08-16 12:00

Suffolk w/3P

43.8%

41.6%

Clinton
by 2.2%

2016-08-15
2016-08-17

2016-08-18
2016-08-19 20:11

2016-08-15 12:00

Ipsos

41.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-28 02:38

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

31.8%

35.7%

Trump
by 4.0%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 16:51

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

40.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 02:40

2016-08-04 00:00

YouGov w/4P

43.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-08-02
2016-08-05

2016-08-07
2016-08-07 15:55

2016-07-30 12:00

Rasmussen w/3P

41.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2016-07-29
2016-07-31

2016-08-01
2016-08-02 05:52

2016-07-23 12:00

Rasmussen w/3P

38.0%

43.0%

Trump
by 5.0%

2016-07-22
2016-07-24

2016-07-25
2016-07-26 16:21

2016-07-09 00:00

Monmouth w/3P

45.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-07-07
2016-07-10

2016-07-11
2016-07-12 03:43

2016-06-16 12:00

TargetPoint

45.0%

46.0%

Trump
by 1.0%

2016-06-14
2016-06-18

2016-06-19
2016-08-27 17:09

2016-06-16 00:00

Democracy Corp [2]

45.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 2.0%

2016-06-11
2016-06-20

2016-06-30
2016-07-10 18:02

2016-06-16 00:00

Democracy Corp w/3P [2]

44.0%

44.0%

TIED

2016-06-11
2016-06-20

2016-06-30
2016-07-01 06:27

2016-05-25 00:00

Gravis w/3P [2]

41.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2016-05-24
2016-05-25

2016-05-26
2016-08-28 02:46

2016-05-25 00:00

Gravis [2]

42.0%

47.0%

Trump
by 5.0%

2016-05-24
2016-05-25

2016-05-26
2016-08-28 02:44

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

43.5%

39.6%

Clinton
by 3.9%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 22:59

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

43.5%

42.1%

Clinton
by 1.4%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 20:36

2015-11-13 12:00

Morning Consult

41.0%

44.0%

Trump
by 3.0%

2015-11-10
2015-11-16

2015-11-19
2015-11-22 07:34

2015-07-14 00:00

PPP

48.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2015-07-13
2015-07-14

2015-07-15
2015-07-20 14:20

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.4%

45.7%

DEM
by 6.7%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:46

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

55.2%

42.7%

DEM
by 12.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:26

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

47.9%

50.5%

REP
by 2.6%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:51

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.0%

49.5%

REP
by 3.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:26

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

43.9%

42.9%

DEM
by 1.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 16:05

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

37.4%

34.7%

DEM
by 2.6%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:18

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

37.9%

58.9%

REP
by 20.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:19

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

32.0%

65.9%

REP
by 33.9%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:30

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

26.9%

65.5%

REP
by 38.6%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:52

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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