2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - New Mexico [5 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-06 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 10:43 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-06 12:00

Zia w/4P

46.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2016-11-06
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-07 23:11

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

42.5%

29.9%

Clinton
by 12.6%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 10:43

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

46.6%

38.3%

Clinton
by 8.3%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:16

2016-11-02 12:00

R&P w/4P

45.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-03

2016-11-06
2016-11-06 09:59

2016-11-02 00:00

Gravis w/4P

45.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-02

2016-11-07
2016-11-07 23:14

2016-11-02 00:00

Zia w/4P

46.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-11-01
2016-11-02

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 01:51

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

41.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 20:07

2016-10-30 12:00

Lucid w/4P

39.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-28
2016-11-01

2016-11-02
2016-11-03 19:27

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

47.6%

37.4%

Clinton
by 10.2%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:33

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

38.6%

32.0%

Clinton
by 6.6%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:04

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

50.3%

44.3%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 01:10

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

44.7%

41.9%

Clinton
by 2.8%

2016-10-14
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 00:41

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

43.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 16:12

2016-10-24 12:00

Zia w/4P

45.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-10-24
2016-10-24

2016-10-27
2016-10-29 02:42

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

47.4%

38.6%

Clinton
by 8.8%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 01:16

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

47.7%

23.6%

Clinton
by 24.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 16:32

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

41.7%

34.6%

Clinton
by 7.1%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:16

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

50.8%

43.9%

Clinton
by 6.9%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 21:22

2016-10-17 12:00

Ipsos

48.5%

39.4%

Clinton
by 9.1%

2016-10-07
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:43

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

40.0%

26.2%

Clinton
by 13.8%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 15:58

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.7%

36.3%

Clinton
by 12.4%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 22:15

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

50.5%

43.8%

Clinton
by 6.7%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:08

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

40.3%

22.3%

Clinton
by 18.0%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 06:10

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey w/4P [2]

41.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 22:46

2016-10-12 12:00

SurveyMonkey [2]

50.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-08
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 22:44

2016-10-11 12:00

Zia w/4P

46.2%

36.0%

Clinton
by 10.2%

2016-10-11
2016-10-11

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 07:41

2016-10-10 12:00

Ipsos

51.3%

35.1%

Clinton
by 16.2%

2016-09-30
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 03:55

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

49.5%

37.3%

Clinton
by 12.2%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 17:00

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

35.4%

28.1%

Clinton
by 7.3%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 16:45

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

50.5%

43.4%

Clinton
by 7.1%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 22:42

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

43.9%

36.4%

Clinton
by 7.5%

2016-09-23
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 02:40

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

48.5%

38.5%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 01:38

2016-09-30 12:00

SurveyUSA w/4P

46.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-09-28
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-07 17:55

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

43.1%

22.7%

Clinton
by 20.3%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 05:36

2016-09-28 12:00

R&P [2]

44.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-29

2016-10-02
2016-10-03 17:14

2016-09-28 12:00

R&P w/4P [2]

35.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-09-27
2016-09-29

2016-10-02
2016-10-03 17:11

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

49.1%

35.9%

Clinton
by 13.2%

2016-09-16
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 06:53

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

49.9%

44.9%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 19:38

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

47.7%

39.3%

Clinton
by 8.4%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 17:33

2016-09-25 00:00

Zia w/4P

41.8%

36.6%

Clinton
by 5.2%

2016-09-24
2016-09-25

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 07:38

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

37.9%

26.0%

Clinton
by 11.9%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 01:23

2016-09-19 12:00

Ipsos

48.9%

39.7%

Clinton
by 9.3%

2016-09-09
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 19:49

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

49.6%

44.5%

Clinton
by 5.1%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 15:20

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

30.1%

29.8%

Clinton
by 0.4%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 02:38

2016-09-12 12:00

Ipsos

46.9%

37.9%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-09-02
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 03:11

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

42.3%

28.5%

Clinton
by 13.9%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 15:06

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

37.8%

43.2%

Trump
by 5.4%

2016-08-26
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:10

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

27.3%

30.0%

Trump
by 2.7%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 21:06

2016-08-29 12:00

Ipsos

38.0%

47.6%

Trump
by 9.6%

2016-08-19
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:27

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

36.1%

28.0%

Clinton
by 8.1%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 21:03

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

37.0%

29.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:29

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

51.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:27

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

41.7%

25.1%

Clinton
by 16.5%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 21:01

2016-08-20 12:00

PPP w/4P

40.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-08-19
2016-08-21

2016-08-24
2016-08-24 14:38

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

35.9%

34.7%

Clinton
by 1.2%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:42

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

39.8%

42.6%

Trump
by 2.8%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:40

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

37.4%

26.0%

Clinton
by 11.4%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 21:00

2016-08-08 12:00

Ipsos

44.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2016-07-29
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-28 05:39

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

42.7%

39.8%

Clinton
by 2.9%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 22:55

2016-05-14 00:00

PPP w/3P

41.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2016-05-13
2016-05-14

2016-05-17
2016-05-19 04:09

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

44.8%

40.1%

Clinton
by 4.7%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 20:33

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

53.0%

42.8%

DEM
by 10.2%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:49

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

56.9%

41.8%

DEM
by 15.1%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:33

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

49.1%

49.8%

REP
by 0.8%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:55

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

47.9%

47.9%

DEM
by 0.1%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:33

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

49.2%

41.9%

DEM
by 7.3%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 17:26

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

45.9%

37.3%

DEM
by 8.6%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:25

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

46.9%

51.9%

REP
by 5.0%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:26

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

39.2%

59.7%

REP
by 20.5%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:40

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

36.8%

55.0%

REP
by 18.2%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:58

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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