2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Trump - New Jersey [14 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-04 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 10:40 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Trump National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Trump
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-11-04 12:00

Google w/3P

39.4%

32.6%

Clinton
by 6.8%

2016-11-01
2016-11-07

2016-11-08
2016-11-08 10:40

2016-11-03 00:00

CVoter

54.8%

41.3%

Clinton
by 13.5%

2016-10-30
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 07:14

2016-11-01 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

53.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-10-29
2016-11-04

2016-11-05
2016-11-05 19:57

2016-10-30 12:00

Stockton w/4P

51.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-27
2016-11-02

2016-11-04
2016-11-05 02:37

2016-10-30 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

53.8%

39.5%

Clinton
by 14.3%

2016-10-23
2016-11-05

2016-11-06
2016-11-07 17:29

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonTrumpMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-10-28 12:00

Google w/3P

38.5%

33.2%

Clinton
by 5.4%

2016-10-25
2016-10-31

2016-11-01
2016-11-02 21:01

2016-10-26 12:00

CVoter

56.5%

40.3%

Clinton
by 16.2%

2016-10-23
2016-10-29

2016-10-31
2016-11-03 01:08

2016-10-24 12:00

Ipsos

49.7%

36.1%

Clinton
by 13.6%

2016-10-14
2016-11-03

2016-11-04
2016-11-06 00:38

2016-10-24 12:00

SurveyMonkey EM w/3P

54.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 20.0%

2016-10-20
2016-10-28

2016-10-28
2016-10-29 16:09

2016-10-23 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

53.1%

39.6%

Clinton
by 13.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-29

2016-10-30
2016-10-31 01:13

2016-10-22 12:00

Google w/3P

43.9%

28.6%

Clinton
by 15.3%

2016-10-20
2016-10-24

2016-10-25
2016-10-30 16:29

2016-10-21 00:00

CCES w/4P

47.7%

35.7%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-10-04
2016-11-06

2016-11-07
2016-11-08 03:14

2016-10-21 00:00

Ipsos

50.9%

34.2%

Clinton
by 16.7%

2016-10-14
2016-10-27

2016-10-28
2016-10-31 04:40

2016-10-20 00:00

CVoter

57.1%

39.6%

Clinton
by 17.5%

2016-10-16
2016-10-23

2016-10-24
2016-10-29 21:19

2016-10-17 12:00

Google w/3P

41.2%

32.5%

Clinton
by 8.7%

2016-10-15
2016-10-19

2016-10-20
2016-10-23 15:54

2016-10-16 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

54.5%

37.8%

Clinton
by 16.7%

2016-10-09
2016-10-22

2016-10-23
2016-10-25 22:12

2016-10-14 12:00

Fairleigh Dickenson w/All [4]

48.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-12
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-19 00:50

2016-10-14 12:00

Fairleigh Dickenson w/Minor [4]

48.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2016-10-12
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 18:16

2016-10-14 12:00

Fairleigh Dickenson w/4P [4]

49.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-10-12
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 18:14

2016-10-14 12:00

Fairleigh Dickenson [4]

51.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-10-12
2016-10-16

2016-10-18
2016-10-18 18:12

2016-10-14 00:00

Ipsos

52.7%

31.7%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-10-07
2016-10-20

2016-10-22
2016-10-23 03:51

2016-10-13 00:00

CVoter

57.1%

39.4%

Clinton
by 17.7%

2016-10-09
2016-10-16

2016-10-17
2016-10-19 10:07

2016-10-12 12:00

Google w/3P

39.8%

32.0%

Clinton
by 7.8%

2016-10-10
2016-10-14

2016-10-15
2016-10-19 06:08

2016-10-09 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

54.6%

38.0%

Clinton
by 16.6%

2016-10-02
2016-10-15

2016-10-16
2016-10-25 16:57

2016-10-07 00:00

Ipsos

49.9%

32.2%

Clinton
by 17.7%

2016-09-30
2016-10-13

2016-10-15
2016-10-16 02:36

2016-10-07 00:00

Google w/3P

40.3%

34.2%

Clinton
by 6.1%

2016-10-04
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-11 16:04

2016-10-06 00:00

CVoter

56.9%

39.1%

Clinton
by 17.8%

2016-10-02
2016-10-09

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 22:40

2016-10-03 12:00

Ipsos

48.5%

33.7%

Clinton
by 14.9%

2016-09-30
2016-10-06

2016-10-10
2016-10-12 06:50

2016-10-02 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

54.8%

38.6%

Clinton
by 16.2%

2016-09-25
2016-10-08

2016-10-09
2016-10-25 01:32

2016-09-30 12:00

Google w/3P

41.7%

32.6%

Clinton
by 9.1%

2016-09-27
2016-10-03

2016-10-04
2016-10-07 05:32

2016-09-26 12:00

Ipsos

46.7%

34.2%

Clinton
by 12.5%

2016-09-23
2016-09-29

2016-10-03
2016-10-05 19:46

2016-09-26 00:00

CVoter

55.4%

40.9%

Clinton
by 14.5%

2016-09-19
2016-10-02

2016-10-03
2016-10-04 19:36

2016-09-26 00:00

Stockton w/Lean [2]

46.2%

39.8%

Clinton
by 6.4%

2016-09-22
2016-09-29

2016-09-30
2016-10-03 20:11

2016-09-26 00:00

Stockton [2]

44.7%

37.0%

Clinton
by 7.7%

2016-09-22
2016-09-29

2016-09-30
2016-10-03 20:09

2016-09-25 00:00

YouGov EM w/4P

53.4%

39.4%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-09-18
2016-10-01

2016-10-02
2016-10-24 17:32

2016-09-24 00:00

Google w/3P

37.6%

35.9%

Clinton
by 1.7%

2016-09-21
2016-09-26

2016-09-27
2016-09-30 00:05

2016-09-19 00:00

CVoter

56.0%

39.9%

Clinton
by 16.1%

2016-09-12
2016-09-25

2016-09-26
2016-09-28 15:17

2016-09-17 12:00

Google w/3P

35.6%

36.2%

Trump
by 0.6%

2016-09-14
2016-09-20

2016-09-21
2016-09-25 02:32

2016-09-16 00:00

Ipsos

50.5%

32.2%

Clinton
by 18.3%

2016-09-09
2016-09-22

2016-09-26
2016-09-29 03:06

2016-09-10 12:00

Google w/3P

36.3%

34.0%

Clinton
by 2.3%

2016-09-07
2016-09-13

2016-09-14
2016-09-18 18:52

2016-09-09 00:00

Ipsos

48.9%

33.5%

Clinton
by 15.5%

2016-09-02
2016-09-15

2016-09-16
2016-09-18 00:07

2016-09-08 12:00

Rutgers [2]

59.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 24.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-10

2016-09-26
2016-10-01 00:15

2016-09-08 12:00

Rutgers w/4P [2]

50.0%

29.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-09-06
2016-09-10

2016-09-26
2016-10-01 00:12

2016-09-05 12:00

Ipsos

46.5%

35.1%

Clinton
by 11.4%

2016-09-02
2016-09-08

2016-09-09
2016-09-12 02:25

2016-09-04 00:00

Emerson w/4P

46.5%

42.8%

Clinton
by 3.7%

2016-09-02
2016-09-05

2016-09-07
2016-09-07 17:14

2016-09-03 12:00

Google w/3P

36.0%

33.1%

Clinton
by 2.8%

2016-08-31
2016-09-06

2016-09-07
2016-09-11 20:41

2016-08-27 12:00

Google w/3P

37.8%

29.0%

Clinton
by 8.8%

2016-08-24
2016-08-30

2016-08-31
2016-09-11 20:39

2016-08-26 00:00

Ipsos

47.4%

36.2%

Clinton
by 11.2%

2016-08-19
2016-09-01

2016-09-02
2016-09-04 06:39

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo w/4P [2]

49.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:22

2016-08-21 00:00

WaPo [2]

53.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-08-09
2016-09-01

2016-09-06
2016-09-07 06:21

2016-08-20 12:00

Google w/3P

37.8%

31.6%

Clinton
by 6.2%

2016-08-17
2016-08-23

2016-08-24
2016-09-11 20:37

2016-08-19 00:00

Ipsos

48.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-08-12
2016-08-25

2016-08-26
2016-08-27 19:14

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult w/4P [2]

40.2%

31.9%

Clinton
by 8.3%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:38

2016-08-16 12:00

Morning Consult [2]

44.3%

35.5%

Clinton
by 8.8%

2016-08-01
2016-08-31

2016-09-08
2016-09-14 16:36

2016-08-13 12:00

Google w/3P

42.4%

28.6%

Clinton
by 13.8%

2016-08-10
2016-08-16

2016-08-17
2016-09-11 20:36

2016-08-12 00:00

Ipsos

46.0%

33.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2016-08-05
2016-08-18

2016-08-19
2016-08-27 19:17

2016-06-24 12:00

Fairleigh Dickinson w/3P [2]

44.0%

32.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2016-06-22
2016-06-26

2016-06-29
2016-06-30 06:37

2016-06-24 12:00

Fairleigh Dickinson [2]

52.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 21.0%

2016-06-22
2016-06-26

2016-06-29
2016-06-30 06:34

2016-06-02 00:00

YouGov

49.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2016-05-31
2016-06-03

2016-06-05
2016-06-05 22:13

2016-05-25 12:00

Monmouth w/4P [2]

37.0%

31.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-05-23
2016-05-27

2016-05-31
2016-06-01 16:18

2016-05-25 12:00

Monmouth [2]

38.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2016-05-23
2016-05-27

2016-05-31
2016-06-01 16:15

2016-05-20 12:00

Fairleigh Dickinson

48.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2016-05-18
2016-05-22

2016-05-24
2016-05-25 04:23

2016-05-16 12:00

Morning Consult

46.3%

36.6%

Clinton
by 9.7%

2016-04-01
2016-06-30

2016-07-14
2016-07-25 22:54

2016-05-13 12:00

Quinnipiac

45.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2016-05-10
2016-05-16

2016-05-19
2016-05-20 13:58

2016-04-05 00:00

Rutgers

50.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2016-04-01
2016-04-08

2016-04-18
2016-04-19 02:23

2016-02-26 12:00

Fairleigh Dickinson

52.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2016-02-24
2016-02-28

2016-03-07
2016-03-09 00:16

2016-02-19 00:00

Morning Consult

44.3%

39.9%

Clinton
by 4.4%

2016-01-01
2016-04-07

2016-04-13
2016-07-23 20:28

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

58.4%

40.6%

DEM
by 17.8%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:48

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

57.3%

41.7%

DEM
by 15.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:32

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

52.9%

46.2%

DEM
by 6.7%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:54

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

56.1%

40.3%

DEM
by 15.8%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:30

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

53.7%

35.9%

DEM
by 17.9%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 17:06

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.0%

40.6%

DEM
by 2.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:23

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

42.6%

56.2%

REP
by 13.6%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:24

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

39.2%

60.1%

REP
by 20.9%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:37

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

38.6%

52.0%

REP
by 13.4%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:55

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

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